Projected Income Statement: ERICSSON

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,151 -14,155 2,099 -18,390 -23,938 -50,915 -59,007 -67,744
Change - 59.73% 114.83% -976.13% -30.17% -112.7% -15.89% -14.81%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,548 4,228 3,297 2,340 2,630 3,194 3,260 3,502
Change - 19.17% -22.02% -29.03% 12.39% 21.45% 2.07% 7.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35,517 26,635 3,880 43,921 26,769 23,080 24,292 25,139
Change - -25.01% -85.43% 1,031.98% -39.05% -13.78% 5.25% 3.49%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.78% 13.98% 11.42% 20.32% 21.22% 16.42% 16.36% 16.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.9% 10.1% 6.87% 9.95% 17.31% 12.8% 13.38% 13.37%
EBT Margin (%) 12.59% 9.06% -8.85% 1.04% 16.18% 10.58% 12.12% 12.72%
Net margin (%) 9.9% 6.9% -10.04% 0.01% 12.01% 8.2% 9.25% 9.4%
FCF margin (%) 15.29% 9.81% 1.47% 17.72% 11.31% 10.15% 10.5% 10.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 154.42% 142.25% -14.67% 219,605% 94.16% 123.73% 113.53% 113.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.86% 7.41% -8.18% 0.01% 9.95% 7.2% 7.38% 7.96%
ROE 23.2% 15.37% 10.38% 3.07% 29.61% 19.21% 20.67% 21.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.54x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.53% 1.56% 1.25% 0.94% 1.11% 1.4% 1.41% 1.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.59% 11.14% 10.96% 4.65% 5.24% 8.55% 8.61% 8.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.99% 15.87% 84.97% 5.33% 9.82% 13.84% 13.42% 13.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.72 9.257 2.155 13.88 9.887 7.868 8.589 9.073
Change - -21.04% -76.72% 544.19% -28.79% -20.43% 9.17% 5.63%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.85 3 3.1 3.242 3.405
Change - 0% 8% 5.56% 5.26% 3.33% 4.59% 5.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 32.64 40.44 29.25 28.3 32.86 33.31 35.59 38.25
Change - 23.9% -27.66% -3.27% 16.14% 1.35% 6.86% 7.48%
EPS 1 6.81 5.62 -7.94 0.01 8.51 5.427 6.456 6.869
Change - -17.47% -241.28% 100.13% 85,000% -36.23% 18.98% 6.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,329,738 3,330,142 3,330,142 3,332,672 3,333,287 3,323,585 3,323,585 3,323,585
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.6x 16.5x
PBR 3.2x 2.99x
EV / Sales 1.33x 1.27x
Yield 2.91% 3.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
106.45SEK
Average target price
99.15SEK
Spread / Average Target
-6.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise