Projected Income Statement: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 2,432 2,779 2,741 2,175 1,714 6,567 6,299 5,911
Change - 14.27% -1.37% -20.65% -21.2% 283.16% -4.08% -6.16%
Announcement Date 3/2/22 3/1/23 3/13/24 3/26/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 1,021 1,249 2,101 1,300 1,134 1,141 1,134 1,169
Change - 22.29% 68.27% -38.11% -12.8% 0.66% -0.68% 3.12%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 410.3 366 583.2 892.8 1,057 1,207 1,099 1,181
Change - -10.8% 59.34% 53.09% 18.36% 14.21% -8.91% 7.43%
Announcement Date 3/2/22 3/1/23 3/13/24 3/26/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.61% 10.6% 8.59% 7.12% 11.91% 13.4% 12.78% 12.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.88% 7.89% 5.84% 5.41% 8.57% 9.96% 9.32% 9.48%
EBT Margin (%) 6.2% 7.45% -3.23% -12.56% 8.39% 9.63% 8.83% 8.63%
Net margin (%) 5.05% 5.7% -3.26% -9.82% 6.31% 7.25% 6.61% 6.47%
FCF margin (%) 1.56% 1.29% 1.91% 2.89% 5.44% 5.83% 5.01% 5.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 30.9% 22.66% -58.41% -29.46% 86.24% 80.46% 75.8% 78.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.3% 7.22% 5.74% 5.85% 7.39% 10.25% 10.05% 10.16%
ROE 17.7% 19.62% 16.1% 21.07% 30.7% 37.86% 34.25% 32.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.96x 0.92x 1.04x 0.99x 0.74x 2.37x 2.25x 1.97x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.93x 7.59x 4.7x 2.44x 1.62x 5.44x 5.73x 5.01x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.88% 4.41% 6.87% 4.22% 5.84% 5.52% 5.17% 5.03%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.41% 41.57% 79.92% 59.21% 49.04% 41.18% 40.45% 38.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 248.89% 341.2% 360.31% 145.67% 107.32% 94.58% 103.13% 99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.251 7.206 12.23 10.16 10.96 12.99 12.34 13.39
Change - 15.27% 69.73% -16.94% 7.93% 18.47% -5.01% 8.55%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 33.71 39.56 33.56 18.42 18.79 19.77 26.38 32.51
Change - 17.37% -15.16% -45.11% 2.01% 5.21% 33.43% 23.22%
EPS 1 5.8 7.21 -4.55 -14.05 5.94 7.826 7.778 8.247
Change - 24.31% -163.11% -208.79% 142.28% 31.74% -0.61% 6.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 224,956 221,184 217,872 215,039 198,853 187,630 187,630 187,630
Announcement Date 3/2/22 3/1/23 3/13/24 3/26/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.3x 14.4x
PBR 5.66x 4.24x
EV / Sales 1.33x 1.24x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
28
Last Close Price
111.96USD
Average target price
136.40USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.83%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. DLTR Stock
  4. Financials Dollar Tree, Inc.
-40%: Exceptional extension
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