Projected Income Statement: Danone

Forecast Balance Sheet: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,500 10,107 10,221 8,601 8,431 8,568 7,696 7,211
Change - -3.74% 1.13% -15.85% -1.98% 1.62% -10.18% -6.3%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/22/24 2/26/25 2/20/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,043 873 847 923 1,055 1,169 1,187 1,216
Change - -16.3% -2.98% 8.97% 14.3% 10.76% 1.61% 2.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,431 2,091 2,633 3,003 2,799 2,470 2,809 2,958
Change - -13.99% 25.92% 14.05% -6.79% -11.75% 13.71% 5.29%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/22/24 2/26/25 2/20/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.95% 18.94% 18.44% 17.26% 18.4% 17.65% 17.87% 18.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.74% 12.21% 12.6% 13% 13.43% 13.64% 13.91% 14.15%
EBT Margin (%) 8.22% 6.62% 6.1% 10.95% 9.3% 11.66% 12.31% 12.65%
Net margin (%) 7.92% 3.47% 3.19% 7.38% 6.69% 8.37% 8.8% 9.05%
FCF margin (%) 10.01% 7.56% 9.53% 10.97% 10.26% 8.77% 9.53% 9.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 126.35% 218.04% 298.86% 148.59% 153.37% 104.77% 108.26% 106.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.96% 4.86% 5.09% 4.5% 5.45% 5.25% 5.57% 5.7%
ROE 11.49% 12.53% 13.39% 13.81% 14.18% 14.45% 15% 15.46%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.28x 1.93x 2.01x 1.82x 1.68x 1.72x 1.46x 1.31x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.32x 4.83x 3.88x 2.86x 3.01x 3.47x 2.74x 2.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.3% 3.16% 3.07% 3.37% 3.87% 4.15% 4.03% 3.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.66% 16.66% 16.63% 19.53% 21.02% 23.49% 22.54% 22.01%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 42.9% 41.75% 32.17% 30.74% 37.69% 47.31% 42.27% 41.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 4.635 5.364 5.945 5.858 5.427 5.951 6.453
Change - -13.75% 15.72% 10.83% -1.46% -7.35% 9.66% 8.43%
Dividend per Share 1 1.94 2 2.1 2.15 2.25 2.351 2.496 2.666
Change - 3.09% 5% 2.38% 4.65% 4.48% 6.19% 6.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.07 28.02 25.2 25.1 26.22 27.63 29.26 30.77
Change - 3.52% -10.07% -0.4% 4.47% 5.36% 5.9% 5.16%
EPS 1 2.94 1.48 1.3 3.13 2.82 3.722 4.088 4.379
Change - -49.66% -12.16% 140.77% -9.9% 31.98% 9.83% 7.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 650,849 626,246 641,543 643,653 640,218 643,298 643,298 643,298
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/22/24 2/26/25 2/20/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.1x 16.5x
PBR 2.44x 2.31x
EV / Sales 1.85x 1.73x
Yield 3.48% 3.7%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
67.52EUR
Average target price
79.98EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise