Projected Income Statement: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - CSX Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,050 16,577 17,097 17,498 18,198 17,240 16,577 15,085
Change - 17.99% 3.14% 2.35% 4% -5.26% -3.85% -9%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,791 2,133 2,281 2,529 2,902 2,363 2,413 2,477
Change - 19.1% 6.94% 10.87% 14.75% -18.56% 2.09% 2.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,308 3,486 3,268 2,718 1,711 3,362 3,595 3,881
Change - 5.38% -6.25% -16.83% -37.05% 96.49% 6.92% 7.97%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.01% 49.68% 48.93% 48.22% 45.17% 47.63% 49.04% 49.82%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.67% 39.58% 37.94% 36.82% 33.25% 36.81% 38.35% 39.37%
EBT Margin (%) 39.54% 36.45% 33.37% 31.33% 26.75% 31.82% 33.68% 34.74%
Net margin (%) 30.19% 28.05% 25.35% 23.87% 20.5% 24.23% 25.52% 26.34%
FCF margin (%) 26.42% 23.47% 22.3% 18.69% 12.14% 22% 22.34% 23.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 87.49% 83.68% 87.97% 78.33% 59.22% 90.78% 87.51% 88.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.41% 10.11% 8.81% 8.17% 6.68% 8.26% 8.61% 9.26%
ROE 28.42% 31.89% 30.01% 28.34% 22.51% 27.25% 28.82% 29.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 2.25x 2.38x 2.5x 2.86x 2.37x 2.1x 1.82x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.25x 4.76x 5.23x 6.44x 10.64x 5.13x 4.61x 3.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.3% 14.36% 15.56% 17.39% 20.59% 15.46% 14.99% 14.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.53% 28.91% 31.8% 36.07% 45.59% 32.47% 30.57% 29.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.14% 61.19% 69.8% 93.05% 169.61% 70.3% 67.12% 63.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.261 2.624 2.757 2.7 2.463 3.051 3.369 -
Change - 16.07% 5.03% -2.04% -8.8% 23.89% 10.41% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.372 0.4 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.5731 0.6234 0.6727
Change - 7.53% 10% 9.09% 8.33% 10.22% 8.77% 7.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.987 5.892 6.027 6.437 7.026 7.664 7.666 7.724
Change - -1.59% 2.29% 6.8% 9.15% 9.07% 0.03% 0.76%
EPS 1 1.68 1.95 1.85 1.79 1.54 1.998 2.284 2.512
Change - 16.07% -5.13% -3.24% -13.97% 29.71% 14.32% 10%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,217,983 2,101,822 1,976,132 1,928,423 1,862,018 1,852,311 1,852,311 1,852,311
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24x 21x
PBR 6.25x 6.25x
EV / Sales 6.93x 6.54x
Yield 1.2% 1.3%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - CSX Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - CSX Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - CSX Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - CSX Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
47.88USD
Average target price
52.67USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - CSX Corporation
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