Projected Income Statement: Constellium

Forecast Balance Sheet: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,982 1,891 1,664 1,697 1,544 1,318 1,043 356
Change - -4.59% -12% 1.98% -9.02% -14.62% -20.86% -65.87%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/20/25 2/18/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 232 273 337 394.7 279.3 283.7 276.5 275.4
Change - 17.67% 23.44% 17.11% -29.24% 1.59% -2.56% -0.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 125 182 170 -95.56 150.6 300.3 304.1 357.4
Change - 45.6% -6.59% -156.21% 257.64% 99.35% 1.27% 17.52%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/20/25 2/18/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.44% 8.29% 9.85% 8.47% 10.01% 9.6% 9.17% 9.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.1% 4.11% 4.66% 3.34% 6.12% 7.12% 5.69% 6.01%
EBT Margin (%) 5.15% 2.5% 2.71% 1.84% 4.83% 6.63% 5.08% 5.33%
Net margin (%) 4.18% 3.71% 1.73% 0.76% 3.23% 4.73% 3.55% 3.49%
FCF margin (%) 2.03% 2.24% 2.35% -1.36% 2.11% 3.37% 3.35% 3.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 48.64% 60.47% 136% -178.57% 65.26% 71.16% 94.29% 108.55%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.87% 6.29% 3.45% 1.16% 5.41% 8.14% 6.21% -
ROE 329.51% 57.72% 21.07% 7.87% 32.93% 42.23% 25.25% 18.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.41x 2.81x 2.33x 2.85x 2.16x 1.54x 1.25x 0.4x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.86x 10.39x 9.79x -17.76x 10.25x 4.39x 3.43x 1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.77% 3.36% 4.66% 5.62% 3.91% 3.18% 3.04% 2.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.93% 40.56% 47.27% 66.29% 39.04% 33.15% 33.15% 31.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 185.6% 150% 198.24% -413% 185.39% 94.48% 90.91% 77.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.426 3.076 3.391 1.943 2.916 4.274 4.471 -
Change - 26.82% 10.22% -42.68% 50.03% 46.57% 4.62% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.93 5.066 5.742 4.391 5.768 8.335 10.72 15.05
Change - 162.48% 13.34% -23.52% 31.36% 44.51% 28.64% 40.36%
EPS 1 1.75 2.06 0.84 0.3631 1.623 3.054 2.338 2.519
Change - 17.71% -59.22% -56.77% 347.05% 88.14% -23.45% 7.74%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,677 144,302 146,820 146,266 137,802 136,150 136,150 136,150
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/20/25 2/18/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 9.8x 12.8x
PBR 3.59x 2.79x
EV / Sales 0.6x 0.56x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
29.92EUR
Average target price
32.21EUR
Spread / Average Target
+7.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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