Projected Income Statement: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -815 -384 -561 -749 -351 5,215 5,177 4,936
Change - 52.88% -46.09% -33.51% 53.14% 1,587.68% -0.73% -4.66%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 442.5 479.2 560.7 593.6 666.3 790.8 783.1 818.1
Change - 8.29% 17.02% 5.86% 12.25% 18.68% -0.97% 4.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 839.6 844 1,223 1,511 1,448 1,584 1,639 1,817
Change - 0.53% 44.87% 23.61% -4.23% 9.41% 3.45% 10.87%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.28% 16.95% 19.21% 20.02% 19.56% 17.65% 18.41% 18.7%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.91% 13.63% 15.97% 17.06% 16.53% 14.61% 15.45% 15.78%
EBT Margin (%) 10.77% 13.68% 16.42% 17.77% 16.85% 14.74% 15.75% 16.34%
Net margin (%) 8.65% 10.41% 12.45% 13.56% 12.88% 11.07% 11.84% 12.31%
FCF margin (%) 11.12% 9.77% 12.39% 13.36% 12.14% 12.16% 11.34% 11.4%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.58% 93.87% 99.51% 98.52% 94.26% 109.8% 95.8% 92.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.34% 13.24% 16.61% 17.84% 17.24% 15.8% 17.53% 18.01%
ROE 33.57% 39.43% 45.78% 45.81% 48.36% 55.41% 64.44% 62.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 2.27x 1.95x 1.66x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - 3.29x 3.16x 2.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.86% 5.55% 5.68% 5.25% 5.59% 6.07% 5.42% 5.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.37% 32.73% 29.57% 26.21% 28.56% 34.39% 29.45% 27.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.7% 56.77% 45.86% 39.27% 46.03% 49.93% 47.79% 45.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8994 0.943 1.287 1.529 1.574 1.633 1.824 2.091
Change - 4.86% 36.5% 18.8% 2.96% 3.7% 11.74% 14.61%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.612 1.688 2.21 2.656 2.108 1.963 2.323 2.784
Change - 4.72% 30.96% 20.15% -20.61% -6.91% 18.36% 19.84%
EPS 1 0.458 0.6408 0.8868 1.11 1.14 1.126 1.37 1.614
Change - 39.91% 38.39% 25.17% 2.7% -1.21% 21.65% 17.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,406,770 1,386,056 1,372,233 1,363,639 1,322,278 1,265,418 1,265,418 1,265,418
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27.3x 22.5x
PBR 15.7x 13.2x
EV / Sales 3.39x 3.05x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
35
Last Close Price
30.77USD
Average target price
43.76USD
Spread / Average Target
+42.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
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