Projected Income Statement: China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 39,035 33,720 39,238 54,915 62,844 50,954 43,663 33,252
Change - -13.62% 16.36% 39.95% 14.44% -18.92% -14.31% -23.84%
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/30/23 3/26/24 3/26/25 3/24/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,415 2,798 2,523 2,812 2,671 4,443 4,487 5,109
Change - 15.87% -9.81% 11.43% -5.01% 66.35% 1% 13.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,428 9,833 13,027 15,832 20,795 1,715 6,129 8,556
Change - -5.7% 32.47% 21.54% 31.34% -91.75% 257.4% 39.58%
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/30/23 3/26/24 3/26/25 3/24/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.36% 6.6% 5.8% 6.01% 6.27% 6.31% 6.2% 5.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.17% 5.36% 4.51% 4.71% 4.76% 5.13% 5.21% 5.22%
EBT Margin (%) 3.55% 3.88% 4.04% 4.24% 4.38% 4.41% 4.51% 4.53%
Net margin (%) 1.59% 1.63% 1.58% 1.3% 1.5% 1.48% 1.53% 1.57%
FCF margin (%) 4.4% 3.87% 4.91% 5.74% 6.79% 0.52% 1.78% 2.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 276.68% 237.09% 311.83% 441.11% 452.64% 35.34% 116.44% 149.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.65% 1.69% 1.67% 1.33% 1.49% 2.32% 2.45% 2.86%
ROE 7.73% 8.25% 8.61% 7.11% 8.12% 7.95% 7.79% 7.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.08x 2.01x 2.55x 3.31x 3.27x 2.47x 2.05x 1.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.74x 3.43x 3.01x 3.47x 3.02x 29.71x 7.12x 3.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.02% 1.1% 0.95% 1.02% 0.87% 1.36% 1.31% 1.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.03% 16.68% 16.4% 16.94% 13.91% 21.55% 21.09% 24.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.16% 28.45% 19.37% 17.76% 12.84% 259.06% 73.21% 59.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.044 5.144 2.22 2.488 2.885 1.814 1.763 -
Change - 151.66% -56.84% 12.07% 15.97% -37.11% -2.84% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.15 0.16 0.1669 0.1445 0.2203 0.2025 0.2223 0.287
Change - 6.67% 4.33% -13.41% 52.42% -8.08% 9.79% 29.09%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.115 7.888 16.04 16.71 9.292 10.15 11.12 12.9
Change - -2.79% 103.34% 4.19% -44.4% 9.24% 9.57% 15.97%
EPS 1 0.6 0.66 0.6612 0.5677 0.7268 0.7904 0.8455 0.9122
Change - 10% 0.18% -14.14% 28.03% 8.75% 6.98% 7.89%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,282,510 6,282,510 6,282,510 6,282,510 6,282,510 6,282,510 6,282,510 6,282,510
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/30/23 3/26/24 3/26/25 3/24/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.15x 5.75x
PBR 0.48x 0.44x
EV / Sales 0.25x 0.22x
Yield 4.17% 4.57%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
4.860HKD
Average target price
6.802HKD
Spread / Average Target
+39.96%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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