Projected Income Statement: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt - 1,650 1,640 - - - - -
Change - - -0.61% - - - - -
Announcement Date 4/14/22 4/21/23 4/18/24 4/8/25 4/14/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 283.3 1,001 1,102 1,671 1,270 2,584 1,786 1,850
Change - 253.27% 10.07% 51.65% -23.96% 103.39% -30.87% 3.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,510 - - -662.8 - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 4/14/22 4/21/23 4/18/24 4/8/25 4/14/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.7% 21.3% 11.04% 8.01% 10.47% 14.56% 15.18% 15.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.06% 20% 9.3% 5.58% 8.03% 12.59% 13.66% 14.19%
EBT Margin (%) 22.02% 19.96% 9.35% 5.57% 7.95% 12.6% 13.64% 14.16%
Net margin (%) 16.87% 16.06% 7.08% 3.05% 5.29% 8.75% 9.22% 9.46%
FCF margin (%) 11.54% - - -2.01% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 68.43% - - -66% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 19.29% - 6.15% 2.34% - 11.38% 11.81% 11.52%
ROE 37.28% 34.02% 11.44% 4.57% 9.56% 16.01% 17.13% 17.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.21x 0.44x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.93% 2.69% 3.29% 5.07% 2.98% 4.83% 2.88% 2.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.93% 12.61% 29.8% 63.26% 28.49% 33.2% 19% 16.93%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 8.07% - - -252.04% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.044 1.311 0.6716 0.2837 0.3084 -1.43 4.71 -0.59
Change - 25.59% -48.79% -57.76% 8.71% -563.68% 429.37% -112.53%
Dividend per Share 1 0.445 0.17 0.07 0.035 0.13 0.2088 0.2738 0.3593
Change - -61.8% -58.82% -50% 271.43% 60.62% 31.15% 31.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.225 5.486 5.98 6.21 6.822 7.937 9.266 10.81
Change - 29.85% 9.02% 3.84% 9.85% 16.35% 16.74% 16.65%
EPS 1 1.419 1.655 0.6558 0.2778 0.6227 1.295 1.58 1.839
Change - 16.64% -60.38% -57.64% 124.15% 107.91% 22.01% 16.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,615,066 3,615,066 3,615,066 3,615,066 3,615,066 3,615,066 3,615,066 3,615,066
Announcement Date 4/14/22 4/21/23 4/18/24 4/8/25 4/14/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 40.1x 32.9x
PBR 6.55x 5.61x
EV / Sales 3.51x 3.03x
Yield 0.4% 0.53%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
CCC
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
51.98CNY
Average target price
59.52CNY
Spread / Average Target
+14.51%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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