Projected Income Statement: Cascades Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cascades Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,351 1,966 1,882 2,096 1,896 1,695 1,475 1,101
Change - 45.52% -4.27% 11.37% -9.54% -10.6% -12.98% -25.36%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/26/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cascades Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 286 501 350 161 152 164.5 192.4 212.2
Change - 75.17% -30.14% -54% -5.59% 8.22% 16.93% 10.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -75 -357 160 111 227 252.8 259 276.1
Change - -376% 144.82% -30.62% 104.5% 11.37% 2.43% 6.62%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/26/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cascades Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 9.83% 8.42% 12.03% 10.66% 12.06% 11.58% 12.86% 13.69%
EBIT Margin (%) - 3.46% 2.78% 6.17% 4.66% 6.05% 6.71% 7.58% -
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) - - - -1.64% - - 3.01% 4.01% -
FCF margin (%) - -1.9% -7.99% 3.45% 2.36% 4.75% 5.14% 4.98% 5.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - -210.53% - - 171.04% 124.14% -

Profitability

         
ROA 4.52% 1.63% 1.57% 3.59% 2.76% 3.73% - - -
ROE 12.91% -2.42% -0.73% -2.86% -0.79% 5.28% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 3.47x 5.23x 3.37x 4.18x 3.29x 2.98x 2.21x 1.53x
Debt / Free cash flow - -18.01x -5.51x 11.76x 18.88x 8.35x 6.71x 5.7x 3.99x

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 7.23% 11.22% 7.55% 3.42% 3.18% 3.34% 3.7% 4.03%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 73.52% 133.24% 62.72% 32.14% 26.39% 28.88% 28.76% 29.47%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -381.33% -140.34% 218.75% 145.05% 66.96% 65.07% 74.28% 76.86%

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - 3.752 2.19 3.03 -
Change - - - - - - -41.64% 38.36% -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 - 0.48 0.48 0.48
Change - - 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 18.44 18.59 17.22 17.07 17.04 18.19 18.99 -
Change - - 0.8% -7.35% -0.9% -0.17% 6.75% 4.4% -
EPS 1 - - - -0.76 - - 1.17 2.05 -
Change - - - - - - - 75.21% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 100,860 100,362 100,695 100,988 101,269 101,408 101,408 101,408
Announcement Date - 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/26/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.5x 8.3x
PBR 0.94x 0.9x
EV / Sales 0.7x 0.62x
Yield 2.82% 2.82%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
17.02CAD
Average target price
16.25CAD
Spread / Average Target
-4.52%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise