Projected Income Statement: BYD Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -16,091 -32,260 -71,056 -82,378 28,763 49,020 -50,171 -153,064
Change - -100.48% -120.26% -15.93% 134.92% 70.42% -202.35% -205.08%
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/27/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 37,344 97,189 121,623 97,360 154,710 102,795 100,998 100,208
Change - 160.26% 25.14% -19.95% 58.91% -33.56% -1.75% -0.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,123 43,649 48,102 36,094 -97,672 2,966 49,152 91,547
Change - 55.21% 10.2% -24.96% -370.6% 103.04% 1,557.19% 86.25%
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/27/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.58% 9.75% 13.33% 14.77% 14.68% 14.08% 14.5% 15.34%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 5.08% 6.33% 6.5% 5% 5.51% 5.85% 6.32%
EBT Margin (%) 2.14% 4.97% 6.19% 6.39% 4.94% 5.41% 6.1% 6.74%
Net margin (%) 1.44% 3.92% 4.99% 5.18% 4.06% 4.45% 5.02% 5.53%
FCF margin (%) 13.31% 10.29% 7.99% 4.64% -12.15% 0.32% 4.74% 8.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 923.53% 262.59% 160.12% 89.67% -299.43% 7.21% 94.4% 147.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.23% 4.21% 5.12% 5.5% 3.91% 4.12% 4.95% 5.4%
ROE 4.01% 16.14% 24.4% 24.84% 15.31% 14.71% 16.45% 17.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.24x 0.77x 0.54x 0.12x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -0.29x 35.5x 1.73x 0.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.67% 22.92% 20.19% 12.53% 19.24% 11.18% 9.45% 8.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 184.54% 235.17% 151.53% 84.85% 131.05% 76.16% 62.72% 53.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.79% 222.66% 252.84% 269.74% -158.4% 3,489.25% 199.51% 95.59%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.596 16.13 19.45 15.29 6.552 13.68 16.12 19.9
Change - 112.3% 20.64% -21.38% -57.17% 108.78% 17.82% 23.47%
Dividend per Share 1 0.035 0.3807 1.032 1.325 0.358 0.9032 1.156 1.386
Change - 987.63% 171.1% 28.36% -72.97% 152.29% 28.03% 19.84%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.89 12.71 15.92 21.23 27.01 31.02 35.73 41.1
Change - 16.79% 25.23% 33.33% 27.26% 14.83% 15.18% 15.04%
EPS 1 0.3533 1.903 3.44 4.613 3.58 4.21 5.546 6.765
Change - 438.68% 80.74% 34.11% -22.4% 17.6% 31.72% 21.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,733,429 8,716,895 8,716,895 8,716,224 9,105,624 9,085,053 9,085,053 9,085,053
Announcement Date 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/27/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.2x 12.3x
PBR 2.2x 1.91x
EV / Sales 0.9x 0.77x
Yield 1.32% 1.69%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
28
Last Close Price
68.30CNY
Average target price
107.93CNY
Spread / Average Target
+58.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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