Projected Income Statement: Big River Industries Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Big River Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 44 38.1 58.3 52.7 57.8 25.6 18.4 11
Change - -13.41% 53.02% -9.61% 9.68% -55.72% -28.13% -40.22%
Announcement Date 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/25/25 8/24/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Big River Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 6.065 4.342 2.86 2.165 2.533 4.4 5.633 6.85
Change - -28.41% -34.13% -24.3% 17% 73.71% 28.03% 21.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 31.1 40.9 15.79 21.13 22.64 16.05 18.95 17.1
Change - 31.54% -61.41% 33.83% 7.14% -29.09% 18.07% -9.76%
Announcement Date 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/25/25 8/24/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Big River Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.74% 11.47% 7.86% 7.08% 7.3% 7.6% 8.04% 8.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.75% 8.39% 4.17% 2.91% 3.07% 3.31% 3.92% 4.16%
EBT Margin (%) - 7.07% 2.71% -3.28% - 2.13% 2.68% 3.13%
Net margin (%) 5.2% 4.92% 1.94% -3.64% 1.15% 1.55% 2.07% 2.29%
FCF margin (%) 7.6% 9.1% 3.81% 5.22% 5.31% 3.52% 3.97% 3.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 145.99% 185.08% 196.49% -143.19% 461.84% 227.34% 191.67% 147.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.64% 8.64% 2.93% 1.65% 2.01% 3.19% 4.44% 5.17%
ROE 21.92% 19.9% 6.7% 3.88% 4.84% 6.45% 8.73% 9.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.92x 0.74x 1.79x 1.84x 1.86x 0.74x 0.48x 0.26x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.41x 0.93x 3.69x 2.49x 2.55x 1.59x 0.97x 0.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.48% 0.97% 0.69% 0.53% 0.59% 0.97% 1.18% 1.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.62% 8.42% 8.78% 7.55% 8.13% 12.7% 14.66% 16.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.5% 10.62% 18.12% 10.25% 11.19% 27.41% 29.73% 40.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.5375 0.2199 0.2728 0.2728 0.273 0.28 -
Change - - -59.09% 24.06% -0.01% 0.09% 2.56% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.155 0.186 0.14 0.04 0.04 0.0473 0.0649 0.0734
Change - 20% -24.73% -71.43% 0% 18.27% 37.2% 13.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 0.7219 0.6148 0.6669 0.61 0.6491 0.6982 0.7584
Change - - -14.84% 8.47% -8.53% 6.42% 7.56% 8.61%
EPS 1 0.2551 0.2634 0.0947 -0.1728 0.0531 0.0704 0.0932 0.1098
Change - 3.25% -64.05% -282.47% 130.73% 32.67% 32.35% 17.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 82,228 83,015 85,363 85,391 94,191 94,191 94,191 94,191
Announcement Date 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/25/25 8/24/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 18x 13.6x
PBR 1.95x 1.81x
EV / Sales 0.32x 0.29x
Yield 3.74% 5.13%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
1.265AUD
Average target price
1.600AUD
Spread / Average Target
+26.48%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. BRI Stock
  4. Financials Big River Industries Limited
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