Projected Income Statement: Big River Industries Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Big River Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 45.3 44 38.1 58.3 52.7 43.7 47.6 45.9
Change - -2.87% -13.41% 53.02% -9.61% -17.08% 8.92% -3.57%
Announcement Date 8/23/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/25/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Big River Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1.7 6.065 4.342 2.86 2.165 3.033 4.95 7.2
Change - 256.76% -28.41% -34.13% -24.3% 40.11% 63.19% 45.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12.1 31.1 40.9 15.79 21.13 19.1 22.5 32.8
Change - 156.98% 31.54% -61.41% 33.83% -9.59% 17.8% 45.78%
Announcement Date 8/23/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/25/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Big River Industries Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.8% 11.74% 11.47% 7.86% 7.08% 7.25% 8.11% 8.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.45% 8.75% 8.39% 4.17% 2.91% 3.02% 3.79% 4.77%
EBT Margin (%) 0.16% - 7.07% 2.71% -3.28% - 2.52% 3.7%
Net margin (%) 0.65% 5.2% 4.92% 1.94% -3.64% 1.04% 1.75% 2.54%
FCF margin (%) 4.3% 7.6% 9.1% 3.81% 5.22% 4.47% 4.85% 6.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 666.19% 145.99% 185.08% 196.49% -143.19% 429.21% 276.87% 263.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.95% 9.64% 8.64% 2.93% 1.65% 2.41% 3.53% 5.37%
ROE 2.16% 21.92% 19.9% 6.7% 3.88% 4.79% 7.26% 10.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.07x 0.92x 0.74x 1.79x 1.84x 1.41x 1.27x 1.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.75x 1.41x 0.93x 3.69x 2.49x 2.29x 2.12x 1.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.6% 1.48% 0.97% 0.69% 0.53% 0.71% 1.07% 1.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.75% 12.62% 8.42% 8.78% 7.55% 9.78% 13.15% 16.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.05% 19.5% 10.62% 18.12% 10.25% 15.88% 22% 21.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 0.5375 0.2199 0.2728 0.1937 0.2684 0.2586
Change - - - -59.09% 24.06% -29.01% 38.57% -3.63%
Dividend per Share 1 0.056 0.155 0.186 0.14 0.04 0.0408 0.055 0.0838
Change - 176.79% 20% -24.73% -71.43% 1.97% 34.84% 52.4%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 0.7219 0.6148 0.6669 0.6368 0.6394 0.6839
Change - - - -14.84% 8.47% -4.51% 0.41% 6.95%
EPS 1 0.0258 0.2551 0.2634 0.0947 -0.1728 0.0494 0.0848 0.1294
Change - 888.76% 3.25% -64.05% -282.47% 128.59% 71.6% 52.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 80,625 82,228 83,015 85,363 85,391 94,191 94,191 94,191
Announcement Date 8/23/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/25/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27.9x 16.3x
PBR 2.17x 2.16x
EV / Sales 0.41x 0.38x
Yield 2.96% 3.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
1.380AUD
Average target price
1.675AUD
Spread / Average Target
+21.38%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. BRI Stock
  4. Financials Big River Industries Limited