Projected Income Statement: Aygaz

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aygaz

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 604 859 - -1,154 -1,843 - 134 746
Change - 42.22% - - -59.71% - - 456.72%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/16/22 2/8/23 3/4/24 2/17/25 2/10/26 - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aygaz

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 22.65 173.9 771.5 3,113 1,622 2,111 2,217
Change - 667.46% - 303.53% -47.9% 41.11% 5.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 254.9 61.15 3,987 -2,706 1,173 -3,216 958
Change - -76.01% - -167.87% 143.34% -502% 129.79%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/16/22 3/4/24 2/17/25 2/10/26 - -
1TRY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aygaz

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.11% 4.44% 1.43% 1.8% 2.14% 3.53% 3.48% 3.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.84% 2.63% 0.91% 0.54% 0.76% - 1.79% 1.59%
EBT Margin (%) 0.31% 4.39% 11.99% 8.43% 3.23% - 7.44% 5.52%
Net margin (%) -0.25% 4.22% 12.62% 9.18% 2.6% 5.57% 4.23% 4.9%
FCF margin (%) 2.51% 0.38% - 6.15% -3.31% 1.31% -2.92% 0.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) -1,024.32% 9.13% - 66.96% -127.48% 23.47% -69.01% 15.01%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.48% 9.76% - 12.95% - 6.12% 8% 8%
ROE -1.04% 26.72% - 17.83% 4.06% 7.24% 10.3% 8.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.45x 1.22x - - - - 0.03x 0.19x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.37x 14.05x - - - - -0.04x 0.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.22% 1.09% - 1.19% 3.81% 1.81% 1.91% 1.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.44% 24.64% - 66.21% 177.63% 51.3% 54.99% 55.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 8.89% 284.29% - 19.35% -115.05% 138.31% -65.64% 231.42%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.263 1.069 -0.5457 21.65 - - - -
Change - -15.34% -151.04% 4,067.04% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.6824 0.6824 - - 12.55 14.25 17.85 15.05
Change - 0% - - - 13.55% 25.26% -15.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.54 12.27 - - - - - -
Change - 16.41% - - - - - -
EPS 1 -0.1132 3.049 17.32 27.09 9.657 - 21.2 22.65
Change - 2,792.5% 468.16% 56.38% -64.35% - - 6.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 219,801 219,801 219,801 219,801 219,801 219,801 219,801 219,801
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/16/22 2/8/23 3/4/24 2/17/25 - - -
1TRY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E - 14.7x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 0.49x 0.62x
Yield 4.57% 5.72%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
312.00TRY
Average target price
343.56TRY
Spread / Average Target
+10.12%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise