Projected Income Statement: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -81.3 -451 2,250 2,203 3,612 4,225 4,752
Change - -454.74% 598.89% -2.09% 63.96% 16.99% 12.47%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/25/25 3/1/26 - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 523.6 1,542 1,467 1,273 1,878 1,164 1,192
Change - 194.52% -4.88% -13.24% 47.57% -38.04% 2.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,199 -2,389 -1,894 -392.8 -1,513 -590.6 -526.5
Change - -99.24% 20.71% 79.26% -285.25% 60.97% 10.86%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/25/25 3/1/26 - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

       
EBITDA Margin (%) 30.17% 42.21% 39.56% 36.59% 42.63% 36.41% 36.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.99% 33.04% 27.4% 27.7% 28.07% 26.88% 27.21%
EBT Margin (%) 20.02% 28.47% 21.2% 15.16% 9.12% 14.83% 15.18%
Net margin (%) 18.25% 23.92% 17.81% 13.51% 5.34% 13.21% 13.52%
FCF margin (%) -27.91% -56.77% -53.97% -7.57% -40.35% -10.96% -9.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) -152.92% -237.34% -302.98% -56.04% -755.09% -82.96% -67.86%

Profitability

       
ROA 3.95% 4.37% 2.3% 2.36% 0.64% 4.02% 4.19%
ROE 6.63% 8.08% 4.7% 4.96% 1.36% 4.55% 4.74%

Financial Health

       
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 1.62x 1.16x 2.26x 2.15x 2.26x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -1.19x -5.61x -2.39x -7.15x -9.03x

Capital Intensity

       
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.19% 36.65% 41.79% 24.53% 50.07% 21.6% 20.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.4% 86.82% 105.64% 67.05% 117.47% 59.33% 56.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -43.67% -64.55% -77.44% -324.01% -124.11% -197.05% -226.42%

Items per share

       
Cash flow per share 1 -0.108 -0.1355 -0.0684 0.1407 0.0584 0.0917 0.1064
Change - -25.43% 49.51% 305.7% -58.49% 56.99% 16.11%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.9 2.1 2.21 2.36 2.4 2.558 2.682
Change - 10.53% 5.24% 6.79% 1.69% 6.57% 4.85%
EPS 1 0.13 0.16 0.1 0.11 0.03 0.1139 0.1241
Change - 23.08% -37.5% 10% -72.73% 279.53% 8.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,252,148 6,252,148 6,252,148 6,252,148 6,252,148 6,252,148 6,252,148
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/25/25 3/1/26 - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.22x 8.46x
PBR 0.41x 0.39x
EV / Sales 2x 1.97x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
1.050PHP
Average target price
2.600PHP
Spread / Average Target
+147.62%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ALLHC Stock
  4. Financials AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.