Projected Income Statement: Athabasca Oil Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Athabasca Oil Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Athabasca Oil Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 161 8.61 -164 -149 -119 -126 -149 -336
Change - -94.65% -2,004.76% 9.15% 20.13% -6.3% -18.25% -125.5%
Announcement Date 3/2/22 3/1/23 2/29/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Athabasca Oil Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 92.14 147.4 139.8 268 322.5 420 472.3 441.5
Change - 60.02% -5.17% 91.69% 20.33% 30.21% 12.45% -6.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 90.24 168.2 155.4 292.9 181.4 130.6 350.3 274
Change - 86.36% -7.59% 88.47% -38.07% -28.02% 168.27% -21.78%
Announcement Date 3/2/22 3/1/23 2/29/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Athabasca Oil Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.15% - 27.14% 43.26% 36.25% 33.81% 36.35% 35.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 25.43% - - - - - - -
EBT Margin (%) - - - 41.08% 23.06% 21.88% 28.84% 30.4%
Net margin (%) - - - 31.12% 17.27% 17.24% 21.37% 19.31%
FCF margin (%) 8.9% - 12% 19.49% 12.78% 8.05% 16.67% 14.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - 62.62% 74% 46.69% 78.01% 75.69%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE - - -3.11% 28.09% 13.92% 13.2% 21.2% 15.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.45x 0.02x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.79x 0.05x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.09% - 10.8% 17.84% 22.73% 25.89% 22.47% 23.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.85% 30.52% 39.78% 41.23% 62.7% 76.58% 61.84% 66.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 102.11% 87.68% 89.98% 91.52% 177.82% 321.66% 134.83% 161.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3367 0.5274 0.51 1.02 1.01 1.174 1.724 1.64
Change - 56.64% -3.3% 100% -0.98% 16.27% 46.85% -4.9%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.73 0.73 -
Change - - - - - - 0% -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 0.84 - -0.09 0.85 0.49 0.54 0.9233 0.92
Change - - - 1,044.44% -42.35% 10.2% 70.99% -0.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 530,845 586,489 577,994 524,119 483,685 480,300 480,300 480,300
Announcement Date 3/2/22 3/1/23 2/29/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.2x 13x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 3.47x 2.67x
Yield 6.08% 6.08%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Athabasca Oil Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Athabasca Oil Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Athabasca Oil Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Athabasca Oil Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
12.00CAD
Average target price
12.10CAD
Spread / Average Target
+0.83%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Athabasca Oil Corporation
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