Projected Income Statement: Assa Abloy AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Assa Abloy AB

Forecast Balance Sheet - Assa Abloy AB
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 27,071 31,732 64,109 70,253 64,277 56,841 48,690 39,230
Change - 17.22% 102.03% 9.58% -8.51% -11.57% -14.34% -19.43%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,629 1,990 2,419 2,063 2,598 2,979 3,082 3,216
Change - 22.16% 21.56% -14.72% 25.93% 14.67% 3.45% 4.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,827 12,367 18,875 19,328 18,814 20,343 20,474 23,388
Change - 14.22% 52.62% 2.4% -2.66% 8.13% 0.64% 14.23%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.97% 18.73% 19.44% 19.94% 20.17% 20.58% 20.74% 20.9%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.93% 15.34% 15.77% 16.18% 16.18% 16.76% 17.05% 17.29%
EBT Margin (%) 14.25% 14.5% 13.68% 13.91% 13.01% 14.71% 15.55% 16.09%
Net margin (%) 11.47% 11% 9.69% 10.41% 9.65% 10.99% 11.57% 11.97%
FCF margin (%) 11.4% 10.24% 13.41% 12.87% 12.34% 12.85% 11.83% 12.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.32% 93.05% 138.45% 123.59% 127.98% 116.92% 102.2% 106.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 9.34% 7.77% 7.45% 6.81% 8.18% 8.73% 9.21%
ROE 16.97% 17.08% 15.35% 16.2% 14.09% 16.11% 16.59% 16.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.5x 1.4x 2.34x 2.35x 2.09x 1.74x 1.36x 1.02x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.5x 2.57x 3.4x 3.63x 3.42x 2.79x 2.38x 1.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.71% 1.65% 1.72% 1.37% 1.7% 1.88% 1.78% 1.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.04% 8.8% 8.84% 6.89% 8.45% 9.14% 8.59% 8.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.05% 16.09% 12.82% 10.67% 13.81% 14.64% 15.05% 13.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.21 12.93 19.17 19.26 19.27 20.17 21.54 23.25
Change - 15.31% 48.22% 0.49% 0.06% 4.69% 6.75% 7.95%
Dividend per Share 1 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.897 7.71 8.442
Change - 14.29% 12.5% 9.26% 8.47% 7.76% 11.79% 9.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 62.64 77.44 82.49 96.39 91.47 104.6 115.9 128.8
Change - 23.63% 6.52% 16.85% -5.1% 14.35% 10.78% 11.16%
EPS 1 9.81 11.97 12.27 14.08 13.23 15.66 18.05 19.78
Change - 22.02% 2.51% 14.75% -6.04% 18.35% 15.26% 9.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.7x 21.4x
PBR 3.7x 3.34x
EV / Sales 3.07x 2.76x
Yield 1.78% 1.99%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Assa Abloy AB


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Assa Abloy AB
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Assa Abloy AB
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Assa Abloy AB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
386.80SEK
Average target price
413.95SEK
Spread / Average Target
+7.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Assa Abloy AB
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