Projected Income Statement: Aspen Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aspen Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 - - 195 121 154 158 161 185
Change - - - -37.95% 27.27% 2.77% 1.9% 14.91%
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/17/23 8/15/24 8/20/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aspen Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 1.619 2.268 1.829 1.521 34.09 24.5 27.55 42
Change - 40.09% -19.36% -16.84% 2,141.03% -28.12% 12.45% 52.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - 52.02 2.7 12.7 19.2
Change - - - - - -94.81% 370.37% 51.18%
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/17/23 8/15/24 8/20/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aspen Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 91.66% 101.19% 104.62% 118.36% 127.69% 147.97% 158.89% 167.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 85.01% 96.25% 99.76% 113.94% 123.58% 147.07% 154.59% 163.44%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - 231.05% 175.35% 171.62% 172.73%
Net margin (%) 508.1% 223.75% 157.33% 163.14% 171.02% 147.98% 160.33% 180.18%
FCF margin (%) - - - - 122.59% 6.01% 26.17% 37.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - 71.68% 4.06% 16.32% 21.04%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 4.13% 4.86% - 6.19% 6.62% 6.66%
ROE - - 6.3% 6.9% 18% 10.03% 10.66% 10.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 6.07x 2.92x 2.84x 2.38x 2.09x 2.18x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - 2.96x 58.61x 12.7x 9.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.91% 9.33% 5.94% 4.35% 80.33% 54.51% 56.77% 82.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.91% 9.22% 5.68% 3.67% 62.91% 36.84% 35.73% 49.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - 65.52% 907.41% 216.93% 218.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 0.1669 0.1111 0.2399 0.3926 0.4413 0.5023
Change - - - -33.42% 115.93% 63.64% 12.42% 13.82%
Dividend per Share 1 0.066 0.0775 0.085 0.1 0.11 0.1202 0.1307 0.1413
Change - 17.42% 9.68% 17.65% 10% 9.25% 8.75% 8.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 2.948 3.279 3.632
Change - - - - - - 11.24% 10.77%
EPS 1 - - 0.2612 0.2768 0.3137 0.3471 0.402 0.4432
Change - - - 5.97% 13.33% 10.65% 15.81% 10.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 155,043 179,421 199,109 226,385 227,665 227,665 227,665 227,665
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/17/23 8/15/24 8/20/25 8/17/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.8x 12.8x
PBR 1.74x 1.56x
EV / Sales 29.5x 27.4x
Yield 2.34% 2.55%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
5.130AUD
Average target price
6.327AUD
Spread / Average Target
+23.34%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. APZ Stock
  4. Financials Aspen Group