Projected Income Statement: Aspen Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aspen Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - - - 195 121 147 160 173
Change - - - - -37.95% 21.47% 8.84% 8.12%
Announcement Date 8/19/21 8/17/22 8/17/23 8/15/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aspen Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1.068 1.619 2.268 1.829 1.521 15.55 23.3 25.75
Change - 51.59% 40.09% -19.36% -16.84% 922.35% 49.84% 10.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - - 27 12.8 16.4
Change - - - - - - -52.59% 28.12%
Announcement Date 8/19/21 8/17/22 8/17/23 8/15/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aspen Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 69.68% 91.66% 101.19% 104.62% 118.36% 131.29% 146.29% 150.96%
EBIT Margin (%) 64.76% 85.01% 96.25% 99.76% 113.94% 130.31% 147.32% 151.65%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - 159.03% 146.64% 149.85%
Net margin (%) 171.1% 508.1% 223.75% 157.33% 163.14% 143.79% 145.44% 151.03%
FCF margin (%) - - - - - 65.69% 28.96% 33.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - 45.69% 19.91% 22.44%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 4.13% 4.86% 6.07% 6.7% 6.96%
ROE 6.12% - - 6.3% 6.9% 10.45% 11.06% 11.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 6.07x 2.92x 2.72x 2.48x 2.37x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - 5.43x 12.53x 10.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.2% 10.91% 9.33% 5.94% 4.35% 37.83% 52.71% 53.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.33% 11.91% 9.22% 5.68% 3.67% 28.82% 36.04% 35.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - - 57.59% 182.03% 157.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - 0.1669 0.1111 0.258 0.3738 0.4541
Change - - - - -33.42% 132.24% 44.86% 21.49%
Dividend per Share 1 0.066 0.066 0.0775 0.085 0.1 0.11 0.1236 0.1364
Change - 0% 17.42% 9.68% 17.65% 10% 12.36% 10.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 2.658 2.931 3.24
Change - - - - - - 10.27% 10.54%
EPS 1 0.2181 - - 0.2612 0.2768 0.2855 0.3388 0.3842
Change - - - - 5.97% 3.13% 18.68% 13.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 116,368 155,043 179,421 199,109 226,385 227,665 227,665 227,665
Announcement Date 8/19/21 8/17/22 8/17/23 8/15/24 8/20/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.4x 14.6x
PBR 1.87x 1.69x
EV / Sales 31x 29.2x
Yield 2.22% 2.49%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
4.960AUD
Average target price
5.998AUD
Spread / Average Target
+20.93%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. APZ Stock
  4. Financials Aspen Group