Projected Income Statement: Asia Aviation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 39,780 42,957 41,777 7,833 7,893 -487 -1,575 -2,520
Change - 7.99% -2.75% -81.25% 0.77% -106.17% -223.41% -60%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/24/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 99.6 596.4 - 346.2 516.6 7,294 6,254 6,798
Change - 498.83% - - 49.22% 1,311.91% -14.26% 8.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,447 -32.42 5,937 7,090 9,188 1,429 5,565 5,234
Change - 99.27% 18,414.28% 19.4% 29.6% -84.45% 289.43% -5.94%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/24/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -200.72% -5.14% 15.65% 21.84% 22.43% 13.65% 17.61% 14.98%
EBIT Margin (%) -309.54% -48.29% 3.55% 13.55% 11.75% 0.7% 6.22% 6.85%
EBT Margin (%) -357.82% -60.76% 1.28% 8.46% 6.24% -4.21% 2.32% 5.3%
Net margin (%) -173.63% -45.75% 1.13% 7.04% 5.11% -4.47% 1.77% 2.92%
FCF margin (%) -116.15% -0.18% 14.4% 14.34% 20.11% 2.99% 10.99% 9.9%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.89% 0.4% 1,274.63% 203.85% 393.28% -67.02% 620.65% 338.74%

Profitability

        
ROA -9.55% -11.82% 0.7% 4.86% 3.1% -1.2% 1.7% 3.18%
ROE -51.57% -57.04% 5.69% 35.15% 18.7% -13% 7.76% 9.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -5.18x -47.65x 6.47x 0.73x 0.77x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -8.95x -1,325.03x 7.04x 1.1x 0.86x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.6% 3.4% - 0.7% 1.13% 15.29% 12.35% 12.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -1.3% -66.16% - 3.21% 5.04% 111.99% 70.09% 85.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -2.24% -1,839.73% - 4.88% 5.62% 510.46% 112.38% 129.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.8392 0.0486 0.5076 0.5808 0.7552 0.365 0.495 0.59
Change - 105.79% 944.29% 14.41% 30.03% -51.67% 35.62% 19.19%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.02 0.05
Change - - - - - - - 150%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.045 0.6539 0.6844 0.8856 1.055 0.9229 0.9829 1.136
Change - -68.02% 4.67% 29.39% 19.13% -12.53% 6.5% 15.58%
EPS 1 -1.283 -0.6921 0.0379 0.2707 0.1818 -0.1686 0.0696 0.1214
Change - 46.07% 105.48% 614.25% -32.84% -192.72% 141.29% 74.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,878,571 12,164,286 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/24/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -6.11x 14.8x
PBR 1.12x 1.05x
EV / Sales 0.27x 0.23x
Yield - 1.94%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
1.030THB
Average target price
1.160THB
Spread / Average Target
+12.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise