Projected Income Statement: Aramark

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aramark

Forecast Balance Sheet - Aramark
Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 6,920 7,081 6,300 4,557 4,767 4,600 4,229 3,767
Change - 2.33% -11.03% -27.67% 4.61% -3.5% -8.07% -10.92%
Announcement Date 11/16/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/11/24 11/17/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aramark

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 375.3 364.8 432.2 403.5 466.6 497.5 613.1 626.4
Change - -2.82% 18.48% -6.64% 15.64% 6.62% 23.25% 2.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 281.7 329.7 334.3 323 454.5 562.3 674.5 822
Change - 17.04% 1.37% -3.36% 40.69% 23.73% 19.95% 21.87%
Announcement Date 11/16/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/11/24 11/17/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aramark

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.02% 7.37% 7.77% 6.96% 7.2% 7.74% 8.21% 8.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.42% 4.78% 5.49% 5.07% 5.3% 5.64% 6.04% 6.39%
EBT Margin (%) -1.1% 1.57% 4.51% 2.1% 2.33% 3.28% 4.1% 4.76%
Net margin (%) -0.75% 1.19% 3.58% 1.51% 1.76% 2.38% 3.02% 3.46%
FCF margin (%) 2.33% 2.02% 1.77% 1.86% 2.46% 2.8% 3.08% 3.48%
FCF / Net Income (%) -310.17% 169.55% 49.59% 123.05% 139.24% 117.28% 101.74% 100.72%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.6% 1.32% 4.22% 2.79% 2.51% 3.73% 4.84% 5.57%
ROE -3.33% 6.76% 20% 12.2% 15.74% 17.67% 19.37% 20.23%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.5x 5.88x 4.3x 3.76x 3.58x 2.96x 2.35x 1.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 24.56x 21.48x 18.85x 14.11x 10.49x 8.18x 6.27x 4.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.1% 2.23% 2.29% 2.32% 2.52% 2.47% 2.8% 2.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 51.54% 30.3% 29.49% 33.33% 35% 31.97% 34.08% 31.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 133.23% 110.62% 129.29% 124.9% 102.66% 88.47% 90.91% 76.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.579 2.681 2.919 2.729 3.445 3.803 4.581 4.416
Change - 3.94% 8.88% -6.49% 26.23% 10.38% 20.47% -3.6%
Dividend per Share 1 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.39 0.435 0.4756 0.5161 0.5506
Change - 0% 0% -11.36% 11.54% 9.33% 8.52% 6.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.69 11.69 14.14 11.42 11.97 13.28 15.03 17.11
Change - 9.41% 20.9% -19.26% 4.89% 10.91% 13.21% 13.81%
EPS 1 -0.36 0.75 2.57 0.99 1.22 1.808 2.495 3.052
Change - 308.33% 242.67% -61.48% 23.23% 48.21% 37.96% 22.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 255,242 257,717 261,050 263,449 262,851 263,625 263,625 263,625
Announcement Date 11/16/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/11/24 11/17/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.8x 21.6x
PBR 4.06x 3.59x
EV / Sales 0.94x 0.84x
Yield 0.88% 0.96%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Aramark


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Aramark
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Aramark
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Aramark
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
53.96USD
Average target price
68.53USD
Spread / Average Target
+27.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Aramark