Projected Income Statement: APi Group Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: APi Group Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - APi Group Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 579 2,182 1,848 2,254 1,847 2,516 1,657 732
Change - 276.86% -15.31% 21.97% -18.06% 36.22% -34.14% -55.82%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: APi Group Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 55 79 86 84 96 101.5 114.2 121.5
Change - 43.64% 8.86% -2.33% 14.29% 5.73% 12.56% 6.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 127 191 428 668 663 746.4 894.8 995.2
Change - 50.39% 124.08% 56.07% -0.75% 12.59% 19.88% 11.22%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: APi Group Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.33% 10.26% 11.29% 12.72% 13.16% 13.63% 14.37% 14.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.22% 8.95% 9.96% 11.68% 11.84% 12.53% 13.29% 13.78%
EBT Margin (%) 2.01% 1.42% 3.35% 4.7% 5.22% 6.29% 8.14% 10.2%
Net margin (%) -3.48% 0.44% -2.32% -3.19% -3.64% 4.59% 6.03% 6.67%
FCF margin (%) 3.22% 2.91% 6.18% 9.52% 8.38% 8.3% 9.23% 9.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) -92.7% 658.62% -265.84% -298.21% -230.21% 180.85% 153.07% 144.46%

Profitability

        
ROA - 5.4% 5.48% 6.52% 7.34% 8% 8.11% 8.53%
ROE 11.23% 13.65% 14.85% 20.42% 19.71% 21.25% 20.8% 19.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.42x 3.24x 2.36x 2.52x 1.77x 2.05x 1.19x 0.48x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.56x 11.42x 4.32x 3.37x 2.79x 3.37x 1.85x 0.74x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.4% 1.2% 1.24% 1.2% 1.21% 1.13% 1.18% 1.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.51% 11.74% 11% 9.41% 9.22% 8.28% 8.2% 7.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.31% 41.36% 20.09% 12.57% 14.48% 13.6% 12.77% 12.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.6767 1.46 - 1.794 2.085 2.378 -
Change - - 115.76% - - 16.22% 14.05% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 6.774 8.352 7.029 7.165 8.194 8.644 10.2 11.89
Change - 23.29% -15.83% 1.92% 14.37% 5.49% 17.98% 16.6%
EPS 1 -0.4467 0.0667 -0.4533 -0.56 -0.69 0.9696 1.313 1.572
Change - 114.93% -779.96% -23.53% -23.21% 240.52% 35.4% 19.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 336,938 350,860 353,339 412,164 415,906 432,160 432,160 432,160
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 41.7x 30.8x
PBR 4.67x 3.96x
EV / Sales 2.22x 1.97x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - APi Group Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - APi Group Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - APi Group Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Ratings Surperformance© - APi Group Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
40.39USD
Average target price
52.36USD
Spread / Average Target
+29.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - APi Group Corporation
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