Projected Income Statement: Alstom

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alstom

Forecast Balance Sheet - Alstom
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 2,085 2,135 2,994 522 1,258 1,170 1,061 681
Change - 2.4% 40.23% -82.57% 141% -7% -9.32% -35.82%
Announcement Date 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/14/25 5/13/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alstom

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 428 431 485 482 567 655.8 697.7 688.6
Change - 0.7% 12.53% -0.62% 17.63% 15.65% 6.4% -1.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -992 199 -567 490 324 106.4 353.8 456.9
Change - 120.06% -384.92% 186.42% -33.88% -67.16% 232.52% 29.14%
Announcement Date 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/14/25 5/13/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alstom

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.62% 10.53% 10.4% 11.09% 10.33% 8.5% 9.01% 9.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.96% 5.16% 5.66% 6.37% 6.09% 6.64% 7% 7.26%
EBT Margin (%) -1.17% -1.1% -1.44% 1.35% 1.98% 2.88% 3.9% 4.74%
Net margin (%) -3.76% -0.8% -1.75% 0.81% 1.69% 2.75% 3.45% 3.95%
FCF margin (%) -6.41% 1.21% -3.22% 2.65% 1.69% 0.53% 1.66% 2.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 170.74% -150.76% 183.5% 328.86% 100% 19.17% 48% 51.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.21% 0.94% 0.14% 1.45% 0.93% 1.77% 2.27% 2.65%
ROE 3.98% 3.26% 0.5% 4.78% 3.07% 6.33% 7.41% 7.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.27x 1.23x 1.63x 0.25x 0.64x 0.68x 0.55x 0.32x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.1x 10.73x -5.28x 1.07x 3.88x 10.99x 3x 1.49x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.77% 2.61% 2.75% 2.61% 2.96% 3.24% 3.26% 3.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.05% 24.8% 26.46% 23.5% 28.62% 38.15% 36.24% 31.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -43.15% 216.58% -85.54% 98.37% 175% 616.31% 197.2% 150.7%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.541 1.604 -0.2132 2.152 1.915 1.69 2.579 3.319
Change - 204.07% -113.29% 1,109.47% -11.04% -11.71% 52.55% 28.71%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.25 - - - 0.2257 0.362 0.4883
Change - 0% - - - - 60.41% 34.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.86 23.96 22.57 22.67 22.91 24.64 26.02 27.52
Change - 0.39% -5.81% 0.48% 1.06% 7.54% 5.59% 5.78%
EPS 1 -1.56 -0.35 -0.81 0.31 0.6 1.15 1.529 1.83
Change - 77.56% -131.43% 138.27% 93.55% 91.58% 33.01% 19.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 373,392 380,453 384,291 461,511 462,030 462,616 462,616 462,616
Announcement Date 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/14/25 5/13/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 13.4x 10.1x
PBR 0.63x 0.59x
EV / Sales 0.43x 0.4x
Yield 1.46% 2.34%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Alstom


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Alstom
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Alstom
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - Alstom
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
16.18EUR
Average target price
21.10EUR
Spread / Average Target
+30.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Alstom