Projected Income Statement: Alligo AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,272 - 2,640 2,903 3,143 2,686 2,296 1,887
Change - - - 9.96% 8.27% -14.54% -14.52% -17.81%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 171 215 111 103 122.7 128.7 134.3
Change - - -48.37% -7.21% 19.09% 4.89% 4.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 772 778 841 695 1,064 1,061 1,158
Change - - 8.1% -17.36% 53.02% -0.24% 9.1%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.2% 12.38% 13.54% 12.14% 11.36% 13.23% 14.29% 14.75%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.02% 7.17% 7.91% 5.35% 4.93% 7.1% 8.1% 8.71%
EBT Margin (%) 4.45% 6.56% 6.7% 3.8% 3.72% 6.04% 7.24% 7.95%
Net margin (%) 5.04% 43.51% 5.25% 2.9% 2.73% 4.51% 5.34% 5.84%
FCF margin (%) 9.07% - 8.22% 8.91% 7.28% 10.42% 9.86% 10.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 179.95% - 156.54% 306.93% 266.28% 231.2% 184.68% 175.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.2% - 5.8% 3.02% - 5.5% 5.9% 6.4%
ROE 13.3% - 14.16% 7.61% 7% 12.53% 13.8% 14.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.88x - 2.06x 2.53x 2.9x 1.99x 1.49x 1.14x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.94x - 3.39x 3.45x 4.52x 2.53x 2.16x 1.63x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.01% - 2.27% 1.18% 1.08% 1.2% 1.2% 1.19%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.16% - 16.78% 9.69% 9.49% 9.08% 8.37% 8.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.15% - 27.63% 13.2% 14.82% 11.53% 12.13% 11.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.81 - 19.5 18.66 15.93 24.8 26.3 29.5
Change - - - -4.29% -14.65% 55.69% 6.05% 12.17%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 - 3.5 2 2.2 3.683 4.38 5.127
Change - - - -42.86% 10% 67.42% 18.91% 17.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 67.95 - 70.95 73.06 74.89 83.5 91.8 101
Change - - - 2.97% 2.51% 11.49% 9.94% 10.03%
EPS 1 8.48 80.44 9.76 5.47 5.21 9.19 11.48 13.14
Change - 848.56% -87.87% -43.95% -4.75% 76.39% 24.97% 14.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 50,481 50,481 50,051 50,068 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.6x 11.7x
PBR 1.6x 1.46x
EV / Sales 0.92x 0.84x
Yield 2.75% 3.27%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
134.00SEK
Average target price
172.67SEK
Spread / Average Target
+28.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise