Projected Income Statement: Allegiant Travel Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Allegiant Travel Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Allegiant Travel Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 560 1,142 1,445 1,200 961 2,104 2,079 1,848
Change - 103.93% 26.53% -16.96% -19.92% 118.92% -1.19% -11.11%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/5/24 2/4/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Allegiant Travel Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 255.5 531.2 870.5 335.2 387.6 785.6 811.2 601.8
Change - 107.91% 63.87% -61.49% 15.63% 102.69% 3.26% -25.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 232.7 -228.2 -447.4 3.249 2.163 -421.1 -197.8 289.6
Change - -198.05% -96.08% 100.73% -33.43% -19,567.12% 53.02% 246.37%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/5/24 2/4/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Allegiant Travel Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.17% 15.56% 18.81% 15.37% 16.23% 16.17% 19.53% 21.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.57% 6.98% 9.95% 5.1% 6.71% 7.22% 11.13% 13.38%
EBT Margin (%) 11.51% 0.22% 6.34% -12.28% -2.11% 1.33% 7.82% 10.97%
Net margin (%) 8.89% 0.11% 4.69% -9.56% -1.71% 0.96% 5.89% 8.28%
FCF margin (%) 13.62% -9.91% -17.83% 0.13% 0.08% -11.32% -4.35% 5.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 153.19% -9,152.51% -380.45% -1.35% -4.84% -1,175.99% -73.85% 71.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.97% 1.33% 2.81% 0.96% 1.6% 2.5% 4.68% 6.7%
ROE 3.65% 4.62% 10.34% 3.67% 6.56% 9.05% 15.65% 18.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.91x 3.19x 3.06x 3.11x 2.27x 3.5x 2.34x 1.77x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.41x -5x -3.23x 369.34x 444.34x -5x -10.51x 6.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.96% 23.08% 34.68% 13.34% 14.87% 21.12% 17.83% 12.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 87.14% 148.34% 184.35% 86.8% 91.63% 130.62% 91.31% 57.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 109.8% -232.82% -194.57% 10,317.24% 17,919.79% -186.58% -410.03% 207.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 28.33 16.8 23.48 18.96 21.59 13.14 25.65 -
Change - -40.71% 39.76% -19.26% 13.9% -39.13% 95.1% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - 1.2 1.2 - - - -
Change - - - 0% - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 71.09 67.34 72.72 59.18 57.28 76.08 89.52 104.1
Change - -5.28% 8% -18.62% -3.21% 32.82% 17.67% 16.24%
EPS 1 8.68 0.14 6.29 -13.49 -2.48 1.492 9.836 14.7
Change - -98.39% 4,392.86% -314.47% 81.62% 160.18% 559.07% 49.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 17,822 18,217 17,971 17,737 17,706 27,167 27,167 27,167
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/5/24 2/4/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 47.8x 7.25x
PBR 0.94x 0.8x
EV / Sales 1.09x 0.88x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Allegiant Travel Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Allegiant Travel Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Allegiant Travel Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Allegiant Travel Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
71.34USD
Average target price
117.43USD
Spread / Average Target
+64.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Allegiant Travel Company
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