Projected Income Statement: Alfa Laval AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alfa Laval AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,888 11,948 9,611 4,710 13,179 10,285 6,352 1,332
Change - 144.44% -19.56% -50.99% 179.81% -21.96% -38.24% -79.03%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/6/24 2/5/25 2/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alfa Laval AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,229 1,853 2,440 3,336 2,660 2,874 3,047 3,069
Change - 50.77% 31.68% 36.72% -20.26% 8.06% 5.99% 0.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,035 1,438 6,729 8,823 6,506 6,934 8,534 9,820
Change - -64.36% 367.94% 31.12% -26.26% 6.58% 23.07% 15.07%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/6/24 2/5/25 2/2/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alfa Laval AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.3% 18.56% 18.52% 19.2% 20.46% 20.47% 20.75% 20.9%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.97% 12.5% 16.07% 16.56% 17.7% 17.7% 18.2% 18.25%
EBT Margin (%) 15.01% 11.85% 13.6% 14.93% 16.07% 15.99% 16.9% 17.11%
Net margin (%) 11.63% 8.64% 9.95% 11.04% 11.87% 11.98% 12.43% 12.63%
FCF margin (%) 9.86% 2.76% 10.58% 13.18% 9.34% 9.4% 10.43% 11.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 31.93% 106.3% 119.37% 78.65% 78.48% 83.87% 88.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.84% 6.96% 7.74% 8.64% 8.85% 8.75% 9.28% 9.51%
ROE 15.8% 14.9% 17.48% 18.72% 19.39% 19.51% 19.62% 18.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.59x 1.23x 0.82x 0.37x 0.92x 0.68x 0.37x 0.07x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.21x 8.31x 1.43x 0.53x 2.03x 1.48x 0.74x 0.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3% 3.55% 3.84% 4.98% 3.82% 3.9% 3.72% 3.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.8% 19.15% 20.71% 25.96% 18.66% 19.04% 17.94% 16.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 30.46% 128.86% 36.26% 37.81% 40.89% 41.45% 35.7% 31.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.59 7.962 22.18 29.42 22.18 28.37 27.64 30.02
Change - -36.76% 178.61% 32.61% -24.62% 27.94% -2.57% 8.58%
Dividend per Share 1 6 6 7.5 8.5 9 9.702 10.75 11.67
Change - 0% 25% 13.33% 5.88% 7.8% 10.77% 8.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 76.78 85.6 89.6 101.4 105 118.5 133.8 150.2
Change - 11.49% 4.67% 13.18% 3.57% 12.88% 12.89% 12.25%
EPS 1 11.38 10.89 15.31 17.88 20.01 21.48 24.87 27.23
Change - -4.31% 40.59% 16.79% 11.91% 7.35% 15.8% 9.49%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 415,473 413,326 413,326 413,326 413,326 413,326 413,326 413,326
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/6/24 2/5/25 2/2/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 26.2x 22.7x
PBR 4.76x 4.21x
EV / Sales 3.3x 2.92x
Yield 1.72% 1.91%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
563.80SEK
Average target price
588.88SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise