Projected Income Statement: Alcon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,911 3,700 3,600 2,800 3,210 2,631 1,452 6.27
Change - 27.1% -2.7% -22.22% 14.64% -18.04% -44.81% -99.57%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 700 636 658 473 543 621.4 697.2 753.2
Change - -9.14% 3.46% -28.12% 14.8% 14.43% 12.21% 8.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 645 581 730 1,604 1,733 1,473 1,724 1,917
Change - -9.92% 25.65% 119.73% 8.04% -15.01% 17.07% 11.18%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.7% 20.59% 24.59% 25.24% 25.74% 26.96% 27.69% 28.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.4% 18.02% 19.56% 20.45% 19.6% 21.06% 22.04% 23.01%
EBT Margin (%) 5.04% 5.31% 8.8% 12.67% 11.15% 8.72% 15.13% 16.55%
Net margin (%) 4.54% 3.84% 10.3% 10.27% 9.42% 6.86% 10.6% 13%
FCF margin (%) 7.78% 6.67% 7.72% 16.18% 16.66% 13.29% 14.65% 15.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 171.54% 173.43% 74.95% 157.56% 176.84% 193.65% 138.14% 117.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.82% 3.87% 3.31% 5.05% 4.91% 6% 7.69% 8.76%
ROE 5.58% 5.69% 4.83% 7.18% 6.98% 9.63% 10.31% 11.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.62x 2.06x 1.55x 1.12x 1.2x 0.88x 0.45x 0x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.51x 6.37x 4.93x 1.75x 1.85x 1.79x 0.84x 0x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.44% 7.3% 6.96% 4.77% 5.22% 5.61% 5.92% 6.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.91% 35.43% 28.3% 18.9% 20.28% 20.79% 21.39% 21.03%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 108.53% 109.47% 90.14% 29.49% 31.33% 42.19% 40.44% 39.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.726 2.462 2.796 4.175 4.577 4.813 5.355 5.706
Change - -9.7% 13.57% 49.34% 9.63% 5.17% 11.25% 6.56%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2159 0.2239 0.273 0.3138 0.362 0.372 0.4156 0.4726
Change - 3.72% 21.94% 14.91% 15.37% 2.78% 11.71% 13.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.3 40.04 41.81 43.59 44.68 45.83 48.42 51.39
Change - 1.9% 4.42% 4.26% 2.48% 2.58% 5.65% 6.13%
EPS 1 0.76 0.68 1.96 2.05 1.98 1.798 2.806 3.383
Change - -10.53% 188.24% 4.59% -3.41% -9.22% 56.09% 20.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 490,100 491,700 493,200 494,600 491,200 483,400 483,400 483,400
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 38.4x 24.6x
PBR 1.51x 1.43x
EV / Sales 3.25x 2.96x
Yield 0.54% 0.6%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
69.01USD
Average target price
91.40USD
Spread / Average Target
+32.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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