Projected Income Statement: Alcon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,911 3,700 3,600 2,800 3,210 2,535 1,428 -22.3
Change - 27.1% -2.7% -22.22% 14.64% -21.03% -43.67% -101.56%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 700 636 658 473 543 616.1 689.4 742.1
Change - -9.14% 3.46% -28.12% 14.8% 13.47% 11.89% 7.64%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 645 581 730 1,604 1,733 1,543 1,795 2,006
Change - -9.92% 25.65% 119.73% 8.04% -10.96% 16.33% 11.78%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alcon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.7% 20.59% 24.59% 25.24% 25.74% 26.89% 27.61% 28.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.4% 18.02% 19.56% 20.45% 19.6% 21.06% 22% 22.93%
EBT Margin (%) 5.04% 5.31% 8.8% 12.67% 11.15% 8.59% 14.92% 16.36%
Net margin (%) 4.54% 3.84% 10.3% 10.27% 9.42% 7% 10.63% 12.94%
FCF margin (%) 7.78% 6.67% 7.72% 16.18% 16.66% 13.91% 15.25% 16.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) 171.54% 173.43% 74.95% 157.56% 176.84% 198.81% 143.48% 123.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.82% 3.87% 3.31% 5.05% 4.91% 4.12% 5.54% 5.63%
ROE 5.58% 5.69% 4.83% 7.18% 6.98% 7.88% 8.78% 9.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.62x 2.06x 1.55x 1.12x 1.2x 0.85x 0.44x -
Debt / Free cash flow 4.51x 6.37x 4.93x 1.75x 1.85x 1.64x 0.8x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.44% 7.3% 6.96% 4.77% 5.22% 5.56% 5.86% 5.93%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.91% 35.43% 28.3% 18.9% 20.28% 20.66% 21.21% 20.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 108.53% 109.47% 90.14% 29.49% 31.33% 39.93% 38.41% 36.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.726 2.462 2.796 4.175 4.577 4.763 5.322 5.715
Change - -9.7% 13.57% 49.34% 9.63% 4.06% 11.74% 7.38%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2159 0.2239 0.273 0.3138 0.362 0.3676 0.4126 0.4731
Change - 3.72% 21.94% 14.91% 15.37% 1.56% 12.24% 14.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.3 40.04 41.81 43.59 44.68 44.63 46.8 50.26
Change - 1.9% 4.42% 4.26% 2.48% -0.09% 4.86% 7.39%
EPS 1 0.76 0.68 1.96 2.05 1.98 1.696 2.737 3.349
Change - -10.53% 188.24% 4.59% -3.41% -14.34% 61.34% 22.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 490,100 491,700 493,200 494,600 491,200 483,400 483,400 483,400
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 43.8x 27.1x
PBR 1.66x 1.59x
EV / Sales 3.47x 3.17x
Yield 0.5% 0.56%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
74.25USD
Average target price
91.40USD
Spread / Average Target
+23.10%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise