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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 44.06 CAD | +5.10% |
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-16.25% | -16.94% |
| 12:14pm | Alamos Gold Rejects Buyout Speculation | MT |
| 09:53am | Alamos Gold Price Target Lowered to $61 at TD | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Alamos Gold Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 823.6 | 821.2 | 1,023 | 1,347 | 1,809 | 2,624 | 3,283 | 3,759 |
| Change | - | -0.29% | 24.61% | 31.62% | 34.29% | 45.09% | 25.1% | 14.5% |
| EBITDA 1 | 402 | 351.7 | 486.4 | 691.5 | 1,074 | 1,843 | 2,522 | 2,945 |
| Change | - | -12.51% | 38.3% | 42.17% | 55.27% | 71.67% | 36.84% | 16.76% |
| EBIT 1 | 14.9 | 111.5 | 318.1 | 561.9 | 1,098 | 1,637 | 2,154 | 2,845 |
| Change | - | 648.32% | 185.29% | 76.64% | 95.32% | 49.13% | 31.62% | 32.07% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4.5 | -5.7 | -2.5 | -3.8 | 6.4 | -1 | -6.1 | -5.9 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2.3 | 52.6 | 293.7 | 502.2 | 1,090 | 1,561 | 2,087 | 2,731 |
| Change | - | 2,186.96% | 458.37% | 70.99% | 116.99% | 43.23% | 33.71% | 30.86% |
| Net income 1 | -66.7 | 37.1 | 210 | 284.3 | 885.8 | 1,022 | 1,389 | 1,738 |
| Change | - | 155.62% | 466.04% | 35.38% | 211.57% | 15.41% | 35.87% | 25.16% |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Alamos Gold Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -173 | -130 | -225 | -77.2 | -423 | -1,260 | -2,503 | -3,697 |
| Change | - | 24.86% | -73.08% | 65.69% | -447.93% | -197.8% | -98.65% | -47.7% |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Alamos Gold Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 348.6 | 313.7 | 348.9 | 417.6 | 507.1 | 926 | 895.8 | 671 |
| Change | - | -10.01% | 11.22% | 19.69% | 21.43% | 82.6% | -3.25% | -25.1% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 7.9 | -15.2 | 123.8 | 272.3 | 351.7 | 712.9 | 1,235 | 1,496 |
| Change | - | -292.41% | 914.47% | 119.95% | 29.16% | 102.7% | 73.28% | 21.09% |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Alamos Gold Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 48.81% | 42.83% | 47.53% | 51.34% | 59.36% | 70.23% | 76.82% | 78.33% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 1.81% | 13.58% | 31.09% | 41.72% | 60.68% | 62.36% | 65.61% | 75.68% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 0.28% | 6.41% | 28.7% | 37.29% | 60.24% | 59.47% | 63.56% | 72.64% |
| Net margin (%) | -8.1% | 4.52% | 20.52% | 21.11% | 48.97% | 38.95% | 42.3% | 46.24% |
| FCF margin (%) | 0.96% | -1.85% | 12.1% | 20.22% | 19.44% | 27.16% | 37.62% | 39.79% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -11.84% | -40.97% | 58.95% | 95.78% | 39.7% | 69.73% | 88.94% | 86.04% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -1.84% | - | - | 6.09% | 15.12% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.55% |
| ROE | -2.39% | 3.95% | 7.44% | 8.74% | 22.06% | 19.76% | 20.78% | 21.32% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 42.33% | 38.2% | 34.1% | 31% | 28.04% | 35.28% | 27.28% | 17.85% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 86.72% | 89.2% | 71.73% | 60.39% | 47.23% | 50.24% | 35.52% | 22.78% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 4,412.66% | -2,063.82% | 281.83% | 153.36% | 144.19% | 129.89% | 72.52% | 44.86% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.9079 | 0.7611 | 1.195 | 1.61 | 1.882 | 3.698 | 4.575 | 5.803 |
| Change | - | -16.17% | 57.04% | 34.73% | 16.85% | 96.53% | 23.73% | 26.84% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Change | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 0% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 6.97 | 6.91 | - | - | - | 11.72 | 14.64 | - |
| Change | - | -0.87% | - | - | - | - | 24.91% | - |
| EPS 1 | -0.17 | 0.09 | 0.53 | 0.69 | 2.1 | 2.473 | 3.329 | 4.213 |
| Change | - | 152.94% | 488.89% | 30.19% | 204.35% | 17.78% | 34.58% | 26.58% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 391,963 | 393,458 | 396,858 | 420,282 | 419,834 | 419,965 | 419,965 | 419,965 |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12x | 8.88x |
| PBR | 2.52x | 2.02x |
| EV / Sales | 4.25x | 3.02x |
| Yield | 0.54% | 0.54% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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