Projected Income Statement: Afry AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,565 - 6,842 6,135 5,321 5,358 4,776 4,198
Change - - - -10.33% -13.27% 0.7% -10.86% -12.1%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 52 147 107 88 114.7 168 159.3
Change - - -27.21% -17.76% 30.3% 46.51% -5.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,446 1,647 1,887 2,132 1,428 1,591 1,765
Change - - 14.57% 12.98% -33.01% 11.38% 10.93%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.73% 10.32% 10.07% 10.46% 8.61% 9.93% 10.92% 11.07%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.58% 6.13% 6.59% 7.15% 5.38% 6.57% 7.78% 8.09%
EBT Margin (%) 6.93% 5.18% 5.34% 6.02% 4.12% 5.55% 6.9% 7.31%
Net margin (%) 5.62% 4.14% 4.08% 4.53% 3.11% 4.12% 5.32% 5.63%
FCF margin (%) 7.19% - 6.1% 6.95% 8.28% 5.66% 6.02% 6.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.08% - 149.73% 153.54% 266.5% 137.43% 113.1% 113.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.57% - 3.92% 3.7% - - - -
ROE 10.8% - 8.8% 9.6% 6.2% 8.52% 10.6% 11.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x - 2.52x 2.16x 2.4x 2.14x 1.65x 1.37x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.47x - 4.15x 3.25x 2.5x 3.75x 3x 2.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.26% - 0.54% 0.39% 0.34% 0.45% 0.64% 0.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.2% - 5.41% 3.76% 3.97% 4.58% 5.82% 5.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3.6% - 8.93% 5.67% 4.13% 8.03% 10.56% 9.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.26 - 15.84 17.61 19.6 18.1 16.1 17.3
Change - - - 11.15% 11.33% -7.66% -11.05% 7.45%
Dividend per Share 1 5.5 - 5.5 6 6 6.05 7.712 8.458
Change - - - 9.09% 0% 0.83% 27.47% 9.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 97.09 - 110 115.9 111.9 116.1 122.7 129.5
Change - - - 5.41% -3.44% 3.7% 5.7% 5.53%
EPS 1 9.973 8.603 9.71 10.85 7.07 9.178 12.43 13.73
Change - -13.74% 12.87% 11.74% -34.84% 29.81% 35.4% 10.49%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 113,212 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.3x 8.32x
PBR 0.89x 0.84x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.62x
Yield 5.85% 7.46%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
103.40SEK
Average target price
140.60SEK
Spread / Average Target
+35.98%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise