Projected Income Statement: Accor SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Accor SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,844 1,658 2,074 2,495 3,064 3,110 3,128 3,030
Change - -10.09% 25.09% 20.3% 22.81% 1.5% 0.58% -3.13%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Accor SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 354 343 478 293 197 230.2 241 255.8
Change - -3.11% 39.36% -38.7% -32.76% 16.85% 4.68% 6.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -588 400 398 440 613 700.5 751.8 831.8
Change - 168.03% -0.5% 10.55% 39.32% 14.27% 7.33% 10.64%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Accor SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 1% 15.98% 19.84% 19.98% 21.3% 21.92% 22.58% 23.17%
EBIT Margin (%) -10.34% 10.58% 14.3% 14.02% 14.31% 16.14% 16.94% 17.65%
EBT Margin (%) -2.54% 10.87% 13.43% 15.16% 11.54% 13.24% 14.89% 15.67%
Net margin (%) 3.86% 9.52% 12.52% 10.88% 7.96% 9.13% 10.05% 10.66%
FCF margin (%) -26.68% 9.47% 7.87% 7.85% 10.87% 12.09% 12.14% 12.68%
FCF / Net Income (%) -691.76% 99.5% 62.88% 72.13% 136.53% 132.5% 120.79% 119%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.15% 3.58% 5.53% 5.23% 3.77% 4.64% 5.08% 5.71%
ROE -13.02% 8.61% 15.84% 12.25% 12.51% 13.91% 16.67% 20.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 83.82x 2.46x 2.07x 2.23x 2.55x 2.45x 2.24x 1.99x
Debt / Free cash flow -3.14x 4.14x 5.21x 5.67x 5x 4.44x 4.16x 3.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.06% 8.12% 9.45% 5.23% 3.49% 3.97% 3.89% 3.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1,609.09% 50.81% 47.66% 26.16% 16.4% 18.13% 17.24% 16.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -60.2% 85.75% 120.1% 66.59% 32.14% 32.86% 32.05% 30.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.8944 1.943 2.522 2.976 3.378 4.185 4.764 5.142
Change - 317.24% 29.81% 17.97% 13.53% 23.87% 13.86% 7.93%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.71 1.05 1.18 1.26 1.453 1.641 1.841
Change - - 47.89% 12.38% 6.78% 15.29% 12.97% 12.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.63 16.59 15.3 20.48 17.9 15.25 17.07 16.86
Change - 6.09% -7.74% 33.83% -12.6% -14.81% 11.95% -1.22%
EPS 1 0.19 1.39 2.22 2.33 1.61 2.234 2.702 3.101
Change - 631.58% 59.71% 4.95% -30.9% 38.74% 20.96% 14.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 258,225 257,174 260,110 238,847 234,673 232,589 232,589 232,589
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.8x 16.4x
PBR 2.9x 2.59x
EV / Sales 2.31x 2.17x
Yield 3.29% 3.71%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
44.20EUR
Average target price
55.18EUR
Spread / Average Target
+24.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise