Projected Income Statement: Abacus Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Abacus Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,533 935 916 918 910 702 701 720
Change - -39.01% -2.03% 0.22% -0.87% -22.85% -0.14% 2.71%
Announcement Date 8/15/22 8/17/23 8/22/24 8/24/25 8/24/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Abacus Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 3.745 8.304 188.1 55.54 39.61 42.03 42.68 44.39
Change - 121.74% 2,164.64% -70.47% -28.69% 6.12% 1.54% 4.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 154.5 144.7 75.95 9.879 45.08 216 45.55 47.24
Change - -6.32% -47.53% -86.99% 356.36% 379.01% -78.91% 3.72%
Announcement Date 8/15/22 8/17/23 8/22/24 8/24/25 8/24/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Abacus Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.66% 51.57% 43.32% 91.2% 93.38% 72.49% 71.67% 72.52%
EBIT Margin (%) 48.56% 48.83% 40.49% 88.26% 89.76% 65.25% 64.44% 65.07%
EBT Margin (%) 188.14% 12.2% -165.12% 22.23% -50.44% 45.24% 47.62% 48.07%
Net margin (%) 177.67% 7.55% -166.96% 17.63% -51.16% 60.8% 55.1% 62.56%
FCF margin (%) 53.08% 42.88% 52.6% 6.47% 30.96% 135.75% 28.34% 28.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) 29.88% 567.63% -31.51% 36.71% -60.52% 223.27% 51.44% 45.73%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.02% 0.46% 1.53% 4.13% 3.11% 2.66% 2.85% 2.96%
ROE 4.46% 0.74% 2.54% 6.79% 5.26% 4.59% 4.92% 5.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.19x 5.37x 14.64x 6.6x 6.69x 6.08x 6.09x 6.02x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.92x 6.46x 12.06x 92.94x 20.18x 3.25x 15.39x 15.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.29% 2.46% 130.26% 36.39% 27.2% 26.42% 26.55% 26.88%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.49% 4.77% 300.68% 39.9% 29.13% 36.44% 37.05% 37.07%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.42% 5.74% 247.62% 562.18% 87.85% 19.46% 93.69% 93.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.187 0.1713 0.085 0.0732 0.0948 0.0744 0.0778 0.0797
Change - -8.4% -50.38% -13.88% 29.51% -21.5% 4.54% 2.47%
Dividend per Share 1 0.18 0.184 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.0675 0.0686 0.071
Change - 2.22% -53.8% 0% 0% -20.59% 1.57% 3.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.923 3.762 1.76 1.72 1.59 1.693 1.744 1.791
Change - -4.11% -53.21% -2.27% -7.56% 6.47% 3% 2.74%
EPS 1 0.6111 0.0285 -0.2697 0.0301 -0.0834 0.1185 0.1016 0.1226
Change - -95.34% -1,046.32% 111.16% -377.08% 242.09% -14.22% 20.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 892,429 893,658 893,658 893,658 893,658 893,658 893,658 893,658
Announcement Date 8/15/22 8/17/23 8/22/24 8/24/25 8/24/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 6.88x 8.02x
PBR 0.48x 0.47x
EV / Sales 8.99x 8.89x
Yield 8.28% 8.41%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
0.8150AUD
Average target price
1.092AUD
Spread / Average Target
+33.95%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ABG Stock
  4. Financials Abacus Group