Analysis: Currencies

Tariffs: how the White House tripped over its own feet

The White House loves to dramatise the stakes. But it is a double-edged strategy.

Winners and losers from Trump's new 15% global tariff

The U.S. Supreme Court annulment of President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs justified on national emergency grounds and Trump's subsequent move to impose a temporary 15% global tariff have thrown...

EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD): Without a pivot, no salvation

For several months, the market had been operating on a simple script: solid growth, easing inflation, two rate cuts starting in June. However, the PCE has now complicated that equation. While most...

Currencies: Tariffs, Act 2

Equities are consolidating because leadership is changing. The dollar is resisting because the Fed is not pivoting . The yen is hesitating because global stress is not taking hold. However,...

With US tariff rates up in the air, the economic fog again thickens

U.S. and foreign officials, corporate executives, analysts and investors had begun to hope the tumultuous U.S. trade policy reversals of last year were finished. Now they face rekindled uncertainty...

Reaction to US Supreme Court ruling and Trump's new tariff threat

U.S. President Donald Trump said he will raise a temporary tariff on U.S. imports from all countries to 15% from 10%, following a Supreme Court decision striking down a large swath of his tariffs. The...

Tariff ruling limits Trump's leverage but won't end uncertainty for trade partners

The U.S. Supreme Court's decision to strike down a large swath of President Donald Trump's tariffs has weakened his ability to threaten and impose tariffs at a moment's notice, but it won't end...

Supreme Court tariff ruling clouds Fed's rate path after a year of upheaval

The Supreme Court's ruling against a broad set of the Trump administration's tariffs poses new questions for Federal Reserve policymakers who have spent the last year trying to understand how the...

Trump nodded to low GDP numbers in social post ahead of public release, blaming shutdown

President Donald Trump seemingly flagged a disappointing end-of-year reading on U.S. economic growth before it was made public, criticizing the role Democrats played in an extended government shutdown...

Dollar set for best week in four months on hawkish Fed, geopolitics

The dollar was poised on Friday to cap its strongest weekly performance since October, buoyed by a run of better-than-expected economic data, a more hawkish Federal Reserve outlook and as tensions...

Japan's core inflation slows to 2-year low, complicates BOJ rate-hike timing

Japan's annual core consumer inflation hit a two-year low to match the central bank's 2% target in January, data showed on Friday, suggesting weakening price pressure that could complicate its...

Fed's Kashkari: Hassett comments about Fed researchers represent another attack on independence

The call by a top Trump administration official for New York Federal Reserve staff to be disciplined for recent research on tariffs was just the latest move by the administration to undermine the...

Visa strikes deal for Prisma, Newpay to boost Argentina presence

Card giant Visa said on Thursday it would buy payment platforms Prisma and Newpay from private-equity firm Advent International, bolstering its presence in Argentina. The deal will help...

ECB's Lagarde signals no imminent exit as politics and central banks collide

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has told colleagues she remains focussed on her job and she would tell them first if she was about to step down, a message they took to mean she was...

ECB's Lagarde hints her exit is not imminent in message to colleagues

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has told colleagues she remains focussed on her job and she would tell them first if she was about to step down, a message they took to mean she was...

Fed minutes downplay impact of Trump mortgage buying on housing affordability 

An effort launched by the Trump administration to improve home borrowing costs is not coming to much so far, meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's January 27-28 meeting, released on Wednesday,...

ECB succession talk puts Knot and De Cos in frame for top job

The former governors of the Spanish and Dutch central banks are seen as the front-runners to replace Christine Lagarde at the helm of the European Central Bank, likely in a broader political deal that...

Fed minutes could highlight shift in balance of risks as policymakers put rates on hold

Minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's January 16-17 meeting released on Wednesday are expected to provide more detail on why central bankers kept interest rates on hold last month and what it may take...

ECB President Lagarde plans to quit before Macron's term ends, FT reports

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde plans to leave her job early, ahead of next year's French presidential election, to give outgoing French leader Emmanuel Macron a say in picking her...