Projected Income Statement: Wayfair Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Wayfair Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 68.1 653 1,859 1,741 1,510 1,366 1,104 899
Change - 858.88% 184.69% -6.35% -13.27% -9.54% -19.18% -18.57%
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Wayfair Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 186 101 186 148 73 161.4 216.2 248.1
Change - -45.71% 84.16% -20.43% -50.68% 121.03% 34.01% 14.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,231 130 -1,132 -2 83 189.8 281.1 426.7
Change - -89.44% -970.77% 99.82% 4,250% 128.62% 48.13% 51.79%
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Wayfair Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.69% 4.48% -3.4% 2.55% 3.82% 4.17% 4.74% 5.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.67% 2.13% -6.44% -0.92% 0.56% 1.44% 2.07% 2.71%
EBT Margin (%) 1.45% -0.95% -10.8% -6.07% -4.07% -2.44% -1.41% -0.76%
Net margin (%) 1.31% -0.96% -10.89% -6.15% -4.15% -2.49% -1.44% -0.43%
FCF margin (%) 8.7% 0.95% -9.27% -0.02% 0.7% 1.6% 2.29% 3.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 665.25% -99.24% 85.05% 0.27% -16.87% -64.3% -158.31% -770.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.69% 6.04% -32.66% -3.6% -14.19% -8.53% -5.88% -3.2%
ROE -48.21% - - - - 7.4% 4.7% 3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.07x 1.06x -4.47x 5.69x 3.33x 2.77x 1.89x 1.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.06x 5.02x -1.64x -870.5x 18.19x 7.2x 3.93x 2.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.32% 0.74% 1.52% 1.23% 0.62% 1.36% 1.76% 1.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.65% 16.45% -44.71% 48.37% 16.11% 32.74% 37.08% 35.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.12% 77.69% -16.43% -7,400% 87.95% 85.03% 76.93% 58.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.26 3.942 -6.358 3.061 2.577 2.796 3.694 5.41
Change - -72.36% -261.29% 148.15% -15.81% 8.5% 32.1% 46.45%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.00859 0.01 -
Change - - - - - - 17% -
Book Value Per Share 1 -11.97 -15.44 -23.48 -23.75 -22.4 -20.67 -18.79 -14.27
Change - -28.97% -52.06% -1.12% 5.67% 7.71% 9.09% 24.05%
EPS 1 1.86 -1.26 -12.54 -6.47 -4.01 -2.313 -1.4 -0.5278
Change - -167.74% -895.24% 48.41% 38.02% 42.32% 39.47% 62.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,448 104,544 107,122 117,947 125,319 128,315 128,315 128,315
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -24.4x -40.3x
PBR -2.73x -3x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.68x
Yield 0.02% 0.02%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
34
Last Close Price
56.44USD
Average target price
48.62USD
Spread / Average Target
-13.85%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. W Stock
  4. Financials Wayfair Inc.