Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 19,075 18,586 17,262 15,937
Change - -3.79% -13% 26.6% -6.56% -2.56% -7.12% -7.68%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,184 4,663 4,722 4,779
Change - 74% -4.62% 32.52% 0.55% 11.45% 1.26% 1.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 7,702 5,476 5,465 5,739
Change - -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% 13.13% -28.9% -0.2% 5.01%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.11% 18.2% 18.33% 18.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.81% 12.82% 12.98% 13.11%
EBT Margin (%) 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.64% 10.89% 11.17% 11.45%
Net margin (%) 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.57% 6.7% 7.16% 7.44%
FCF margin (%) 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 10.32% 7.16% 6.91% 7.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 157.09% 106.82% 96.6% 94.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.73% 4.4% 4.81% 5.02%
ROE 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 16.16% 15.71% 16.54% 16.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.41x 1.33x 1.19x 1.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 2.48x 3.39x 3.16x 2.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.61% 6.1% 5.97% 5.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 30.98% 33.49% 32.59% 31.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 54.32% 85.15% 86.4% 83.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 20.97 16.32 17.28 18.43
Change - 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 46.35% -22.15% 5.88% 6.64%
Dividend per Share 1 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 5 5.29 5.802 6.362
Change - 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 5.26% 5.8% 9.69% 9.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 52.86 59.08 63.03 67.44
Change - 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 1.86% 11.77% 6.69% 7%
EPS 1 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.65 9.008 10.02 10.77
Change - 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 2.61% 4.14% 11.29% 7.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 556,784 528,293 528,293 528,293
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.1x 11.8x
PBR 2x 1.87x
EV / Sales 1.06x 1.01x
Yield 4.48% 4.92%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
117.95EUR
Average target price
142.90EUR
Spread / Average Target
+21.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise