Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 19,075 18,464 17,030 15,398
Change - -3.79% -13% 26.6% -6.56% -3.2% -7.77% -9.58%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,184 4,663 4,722 4,779
Change - 74% -4.62% 32.52% 0.55% 11.45% 1.27% 1.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 7,702 6,077 5,476 5,814
Change - -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% 13.13% -21.1% -9.9% 6.18%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.11% 18.21% 18.31% 18.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.81% 12.83% 12.98% 13.11%
EBT Margin (%) 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.64% 10.95% 11.21% 11.53%
Net margin (%) 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.57% 6.72% 7.25% 7.51%
FCF margin (%) 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 10.32% 7.91% 6.89% 7.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 157.09% 117.78% 95.13% 94.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.73% 4.43% 4.8% 5%
ROE 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 16.16% 15.79% 16.62% 16.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.41x 1.32x 1.17x 1.02x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 2.48x 3.04x 3.11x 2.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.61% 6.07% 5.94% 5.82%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 30.98% 33.34% 32.47% 31.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 54.32% 76.74% 86.24% 82.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 20.97 16.59 17.19 18.43
Change - 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 46.35% -20.89% 3.64% 7.18%
Dividend per Share 1 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 5 5.314 5.883 6.4
Change - 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 5.26% 6.27% 10.71% 8.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 52.86 58.97 63.16 67.65
Change - 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 1.86% 11.58% 7.1% 7.1%
EPS 1 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.65 9.066 10.13 10.82
Change - 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 2.61% 4.81% 11.7% 6.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 556,784 550,892 550,892 550,892
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.2x 12.7x
PBR 2.19x 2.04x
EV / Sales 1.17x 1.11x
Yield 4.12% 4.56%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
129.10EUR
Average target price
143.50EUR
Spread / Average Target
+11.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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