Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 17,989 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 19,732 18,132 16,264
Change - 7.1% -3.79% -13% 26.6% -3.35% -8.11% -10.3%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,079 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,484 4,752 4,852
Change - -8.99% 74% -4.62% 32.52% 7.76% 5.98% 2.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,990 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 4,985 5,296 5,577
Change - 32.38% -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% -26.77% 6.24% 5.3%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.69% 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.1% 18.26% 18.42%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.61% 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.77% 12.91% 13.14%
EBT Margin (%) 4.22% 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.76% 11.26% 11.7%
Net margin (%) 2.87% 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.57% 7.23% 7.54%
FCF margin (%) 9.23% 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 6.72% 6.94% 7.09%
FCF / Net Income (%) 321.26% 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 102.31% 96.03% 94.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.97% 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 4.33% 4.99% 5.22%
ROE 6.01% 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 15.48% 16.3% 16.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.04x 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.47x 1.3x 1.12x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.51x 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 3.96x 3.42x 2.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.81% 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 6.05% 6.23% 6.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.12% 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 33.42% 34.12% 33.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.11% 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 89.94% 89.73% 86.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.82 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 14.75 16.78 18.03
Change - 14.65% 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 2.92% 13.76% 7.49%
Dividend per Share 1 2.04 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 4.822 5.412 5.792
Change - 42.16% 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 1.52% 12.23% 7.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 37.12 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 57.54 62.07 67.01
Change - 5.01% 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 10.89% 7.88% 7.95%
EPS 1 2.2 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.498 9.62 10.31
Change - 105% 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 0.81% 13.2% 7.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 562,062 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 544,904 544,904 544,904
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.8x 13.1x
PBR 2.19x 2.03x
EV / Sales 1.19x 1.14x
Yield 3.83% 4.3%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
125.80EUR
Average target price
137.13EUR
Spread / Average Target
+9.01%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise