Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 17,989 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 20,189 18,873 17,085
Change - 7.1% -3.79% -13% 26.6% -1.11% -6.52% -9.47%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,079 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,388 4,506 4,537
Change - -8.99% 74% -4.62% 32.52% 5.45% 2.71% 0.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,990 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 5,101 4,989 5,446
Change - 32.38% -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% -25.07% -2.18% 9.15%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.69% 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.11% 18.27% 18.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.61% 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.75% 12.91% 13.09%
EBT Margin (%) 4.22% 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.86% 11.23% 11.57%
Net margin (%) 2.87% 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.6% 7.13% 7.46%
FCF margin (%) 9.23% 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 6.89% 6.56% 6.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 321.26% 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 104.41% 92.07% 92.99%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.97% 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.74% 4.86% 5.1%
ROE 6.01% 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 15.49% 16.17% 16.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.04x 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.51x 1.36x 1.18x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.51x 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 3.96x 3.78x 3.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.81% 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.93% 5.93% 5.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.12% 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 32.73% 32.44% 31.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.11% 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 86.02% 90.32% 83.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.82 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 14.86 16.11 17.82
Change - 14.65% 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 3.69% 8.44% 10.63%
Dividend per Share 1 2.04 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 4.836 5.322 5.764
Change - 42.16% 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 1.8% 10.07% 8.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 37.12 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 57.22 61.46 66.12
Change - 5.01% 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 10.28% 7.41% 7.58%
EPS 1 2.2 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.504 9.407 10.15
Change - 105% 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 0.87% 10.62% 7.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 562,062 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 536,722 536,722 536,722
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.7x 12.4x
PBR 2.04x 1.9x
EV / Sales 1.12x 1.07x
Yield 4.15% 4.57%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
116.55EUR
Average target price
135.38EUR
Spread / Average Target
+16.16%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise