Company Valuation: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 115,275 109,177 120,911 84,165 92,347 76,142 - -
Change - -5.29% 10.75% -30.39% 9.72% -17.55% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 97,554 94,874 103,330 64,933 74,410 57,034 55,860 55,167
Change - -2.75% 8.91% -37.16% 14.59% -23.35% -2.06% -1.24%
P/E ratio 61x 42.6x 39.4x 23.9x 25.4x 18.3x 17.2x 16.1x
PBR 6.57x 5.87x 5.75x 3.71x 3.8x 2.88x 2.7x 2.54x
PEG - 1x 2.3x 1.6x 14.46x 2.27x 2.59x 2.43x
Capitalization / Revenue 4.15x 3.62x 3.76x 2.48x 2.87x 2.32x 2.26x 2.19x
EV / Revenue 3.51x 3.14x 3.21x 1.91x 2.32x 1.74x 1.65x 1.58x
EV / EBITDA 22.3x 17.1x 17x 9.46x 10.6x 8.32x 7.72x 7.18x
EV / EBIT 30x 21.3x 20.7x 11.3x 12.7x 10.1x 9.12x 8.44x
EV / FCF 26.5x 21.4x 32.9x 34.5x 23.2x 14.4x 12.2x 11.2x
FCF Yield 3.77% 4.68% 3.04% 2.9% 4.32% 6.96% 8.2% 8.91%
Dividend per Share 2 0.75 1.1 1.8 2 2.2 2.395 2.534 2.695
Rate of return 0.75% 1.11% 1.67% 2.68% 2.72% 3.79% 4.01% 4.27%
EPS 2 1.629 2.324 2.728 3.132 3.187 3.444 3.673 3.916
Distribution rate 46% 47.3% 66% 63.9% 69% 69.5% 69% 68.8%
Net sales 1 27,760 30,167 32,172 33,937 32,138 32,797 33,763 34,810
EBITDA 1 4,373 5,546 6,078 6,865 7,023 6,854 7,231 7,681
EBIT 1 3,250 4,455 5,001 5,737 5,843 5,659 6,127 6,534
Net income 1 2,201 3,155 3,711 4,268 4,345 4,698 5,020 5,360
Net Debt 1 -17,722 -14,303 -17,580 -19,232 -17,937 -19,108 -20,282 -20,976
Reference price 2 99.40 99.00 107.50 74.75 80.92 63.12 63.12 63.12
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,364,183 1,364,355 1,364,233 1,364,197 1,364,197 1,364,195 - -
Announcement Date 3/5/21 3/28/22 3/22/23 3/26/24 3/30/25 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
18.01x2.98x8.32x2.06% 120B
18.87x1.82x8.3x2.73% 44.71B
14.13x2.13x6.56x7.19% 39.21B
13.7x3.93x10.65x2.87% 24.78B
17.49x - - - 19.86B
14.97x1.91x9.1x3.5% 17.38B
14.39x1.3x8.98x2.95% 16.62B
21.26x1.86x6.62x5.26% 13.45B
Average 16.60x 2.28x 8.36x 3.8% 36.97B
Weighted average by Cap. 17.00x 2.53x 8.28x 3.27%
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Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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