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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 52.75 HKD | -1.40% |
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+0.29% | -7.13% |
| 10-27 | Tsingtao Brewery's Q3 Profit Rises 2%; Hong Kong Shares Down 3% | MT |
| 10-27 | Tsingtao Brewery Q3 net profit up 1.6% y/y | RE |
Company Valuation: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 115,275 | 109,177 | 120,911 | 84,165 | 92,347 | 76,142 | - | - |
| Change | - | -5.29% | 10.75% | -30.39% | 9.72% | -17.55% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 97,554 | 94,874 | 103,330 | 64,933 | 74,410 | 57,034 | 55,860 | 55,167 |
| Change | - | -2.75% | 8.91% | -37.16% | 14.59% | -23.35% | -2.06% | -1.24% |
| P/E ratio | 61x | 42.6x | 39.4x | 23.9x | 25.4x | 18.3x | 17.2x | 16.1x |
| PBR | 6.57x | 5.87x | 5.75x | 3.71x | 3.8x | 2.88x | 2.7x | 2.54x |
| PEG | - | 1x | 2.3x | 1.6x | 14.46x | 2.27x | 2.59x | 2.43x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 4.15x | 3.62x | 3.76x | 2.48x | 2.87x | 2.32x | 2.26x | 2.19x |
| EV / Revenue | 3.51x | 3.14x | 3.21x | 1.91x | 2.32x | 1.74x | 1.65x | 1.58x |
| EV / EBITDA | 22.3x | 17.1x | 17x | 9.46x | 10.6x | 8.32x | 7.72x | 7.18x |
| EV / EBIT | 30x | 21.3x | 20.7x | 11.3x | 12.7x | 10.1x | 9.12x | 8.44x |
| EV / FCF | 26.5x | 21.4x | 32.9x | 34.5x | 23.2x | 14.4x | 12.2x | 11.2x |
| FCF Yield | 3.77% | 4.68% | 3.04% | 2.9% | 4.32% | 6.96% | 8.2% | 8.91% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.75 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.2 | 2.395 | 2.534 | 2.695 |
| Rate of return | 0.75% | 1.11% | 1.67% | 2.68% | 2.72% | 3.79% | 4.01% | 4.27% |
| EPS 2 | 1.629 | 2.324 | 2.728 | 3.132 | 3.187 | 3.444 | 3.673 | 3.916 |
| Distribution rate | 46% | 47.3% | 66% | 63.9% | 69% | 69.5% | 69% | 68.8% |
| Net sales 1 | 27,760 | 30,167 | 32,172 | 33,937 | 32,138 | 32,797 | 33,763 | 34,810 |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,373 | 5,546 | 6,078 | 6,865 | 7,023 | 6,854 | 7,231 | 7,681 |
| EBIT 1 | 3,250 | 4,455 | 5,001 | 5,737 | 5,843 | 5,659 | 6,127 | 6,534 |
| Net income 1 | 2,201 | 3,155 | 3,711 | 4,268 | 4,345 | 4,698 | 5,020 | 5,360 |
| Net Debt 1 | -17,722 | -14,303 | -17,580 | -19,232 | -17,937 | -19,108 | -20,282 | -20,976 |
| Reference price 2 | 99.40 | 99.00 | 107.50 | 74.75 | 80.92 | 63.12 | 63.12 | 63.12 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,364,183 | 1,364,355 | 1,364,233 | 1,364,197 | 1,364,197 | 1,364,195 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/5/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/26/24 | 3/30/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.01x | 2.98x | 8.32x | 2.06% | 120B | ||
| 18.87x | 1.82x | 8.3x | 2.73% | 44.71B | ||
| 14.13x | 2.13x | 6.56x | 7.19% | 39.21B | ||
| 13.7x | 3.93x | 10.65x | 2.87% | 24.78B | ||
| 17.49x | - | - | - | 19.86B | ||
| 14.97x | 1.91x | 9.1x | 3.5% | 17.38B | ||
| 14.39x | 1.3x | 8.98x | 2.95% | 16.62B | ||
| 21.26x | 1.86x | 6.62x | 5.26% | 13.45B | ||
| Average | 16.60x | 2.28x | 8.36x | 3.8% | 36.97B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 17.00x | 2.53x | 8.28x | 3.27% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
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