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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 19.46 PHP | +2.10% |
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+9.33% | -14.46% |
| 06-03 | SM Prime Defers Bond Issue Worth Up to PHP12 Billion | MT |
| 06-03 | SM Prime Holdings, Inc. Decides to Defer the Fourth Tranche of Fixed Rate Bonds | CI |
Projected Income Statement: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 82,315 | 105,786 | 128,098 | 140,391 | 141,107 | 144,554 | 152,800 | 157,669 |
| Change | - | 28.51% | 21.09% | 9.6% | 0.51% | 2.44% | 5.7% | 3.19% |
| EBITDA 1 | 43,107 | 61,088 | 74,083 | 82,167 | 86,388 | 87,757 | 93,633 | 95,882 |
| Change | - | 41.71% | 21.27% | 10.91% | 5.14% | 1.58% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| EBIT 1 | 32,415 | 49,243 | 61,279 | 68,037 | 71,731 | 72,056 | 76,585 | 79,084 |
| Change | - | 51.92% | 24.44% | 11.03% | 5.43% | 0.45% | 6.28% | 3.26% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9,358 | -11,466 | -13,963 | -13,934 | -13,076 | -13,278 | -14,390 | -14,803 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 27,734 | 38,714 | 49,840 | 56,842 | 60,998 | 59,337 | 61,947 | 64,391 |
| Change | - | 39.59% | 28.74% | 14.05% | 7.31% | -2.72% | 4.4% | 3.95% |
| Net income 1 | 21,787 | 30,100 | 40,011 | 45,632 | 48,848 | 47,492 | 49,568 | 51,448 |
| Change | - | 38.16% | 32.93% | 14.05% | 7.05% | -2.78% | 4.37% | 3.79% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | 2/16/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 273,942 | 310,337 | 334,841 | 358,674 | 395,109 | 428,333 | 451,291 | 482,745 |
| Change | - | 13.29% | 7.9% | 7.12% | 10.16% | 8.41% | 5.36% | 6.97% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | 2/16/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 39,463 | 38,964 | 64,113 | 69,726 | 81,900 | 66,024 | 70,621 | 75,583 |
| Change | - | -1.26% | 64.54% | 8.75% | 17.46% | -19.38% | 6.96% | 7.03% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -8,796 | -4,031 | -2,172 | -2,437 | -1,735 | 9,095 | 47,944 | 50,210 |
| Change | - | 54.17% | 46.13% | -12.2% | 28.79% | 624.16% | 427.13% | 4.73% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | 2/16/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 52.37% | 57.75% | 57.83% | 58.53% | 61.22% | 60.71% | 61.28% | 60.81% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 39.38% | 46.55% | 47.84% | 48.46% | 50.83% | 49.85% | 50.12% | 50.16% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 33.69% | 36.6% | 38.91% | 40.49% | 43.23% | 41.05% | 40.54% | 40.84% |
| Net margin (%) | 26.47% | 28.45% | 31.23% | 32.5% | 34.62% | 32.85% | 32.44% | 32.63% |
| FCF margin (%) | -10.69% | -3.81% | -1.7% | -1.74% | -1.23% | 6.29% | 31.38% | 31.85% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -40.37% | -13.39% | -5.43% | -5.34% | -3.55% | 19.15% | 96.72% | 97.59% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 2.85% | 3.59% | 4.4% | 4.65% | 4.62% | 4.53% | 4.45% | 4.45% |
| ROE | 6.78% | 8.65% | 10.54% | 11.01% | 10.87% | 9.85% | 9.68% | 9.29% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 6.35x | 5.08x | 4.52x | 4.37x | 4.57x | 4.88x | 4.82x | 5.03x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -31.14x | -76.98x | -154.18x | -147.2x | -227.7x | 47.09x | 9.41x | 9.61x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 47.94% | 36.83% | 50.05% | 49.67% | 58.04% | 45.67% | 46.22% | 47.94% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 91.55% | 63.78% | 86.54% | 84.86% | 94.8% | 75.24% | 75.42% | 78.83% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -448.65% | -966.58% | -2,952.11% | -2,861.5% | -4,719.88% | 725.92% | 147.3% | 150.53% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.063 | 1.211 | 2.146 | 2.332 | 2.597 | 2.386 | 2.47 | 2.819 |
| Change | - | 13.91% | 77.31% | 8.64% | 11.37% | -8.13% | 3.51% | 14.15% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.082 | 0.097 | 0.237 | 0.346 | 0.48 | 0.457 | 0.4702 | 0.4581 |
| Change | - | 18.29% | 144.33% | 45.99% | 38.73% | -4.78% | 2.87% | -2.57% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.54 | 12.59 | 13.73 | 15.01 | 16.15 | 17.28 | 18.52 | 19.84 |
| Change | - | 9.1% | 9.08% | 9.31% | 7.63% | 6.95% | 7.2% | 7.15% |
| EPS 1 | 0.755 | 1.043 | 1.387 | 1.581 | 1.694 | 1.649 | 1.719 | 1.787 |
| Change | - | 38.15% | 32.98% | 13.99% | 7.15% | -2.68% | 4.28% | 3.92% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 28,856,412 | 28,856,412 | 28,856,000 | 28,879,232 | 28,820,859 | 28,697,966 | 28,697,966 | 28,697,966 |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | 2/16/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.6x | 11.1x |
| PBR | 1.1x | 1.03x |
| EV / Sales | 6.75x | 6.53x |
| Yield | 2.4% | 2.47% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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