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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 22.60 PHP | -0.88% |
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-3.21% | -0.66% |
| 11-26 | SM Prime invests 3.6 bln pesos for SMX Seaside Cebu | RE |
| 11-24 | SM Prime says Costa del Hamilo invests 3 billion pesos to build eco-resort community in Batangas | RE |
Projected Income Statement: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 81,899 | 82,315 | 105,786 | 128,098 | 140,391 | 144,330 | 154,774 | 163,925 |
| Change | - | 0.51% | 28.51% | 21.09% | 9.6% | 2.81% | 7.24% | 5.91% |
| EBITDA 1 | 39,416 | 43,107 | 61,088 | 74,083 | 82,167 | 87,206 | 94,066 | 99,363 |
| Change | - | 9.36% | 41.71% | 21.27% | 10.91% | 6.13% | 7.87% | 5.63% |
| EBIT 1 | 29,074 | 32,415 | 49,243 | 61,279 | 68,037 | 71,837 | 77,086 | 81,475 |
| Change | - | 11.49% | 51.92% | 24.44% | 11.03% | 5.58% | 7.31% | 5.69% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -8,597 | -9,358 | -11,466 | -13,963 | -13,934 | -11,068 | -13,800 | -14,344 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 22,464 | 27,734 | 38,714 | 49,840 | 56,842 | 60,333 | 64,495 | 67,801 |
| Change | - | 23.46% | 39.59% | 28.74% | 14.05% | 6.14% | 6.9% | 5.13% |
| Net income 1 | 18,007 | 21,787 | 30,100 | 40,011 | 45,632 | 48,549 | 51,779 | 54,445 |
| Change | - | 20.99% | 38.16% | 32.93% | 14.05% | 6.39% | 6.65% | 5.15% |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/21 | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 241,807 | 273,942 | 310,337 | 334,841 | 358,674 | 391,901 | 397,219 | 433,506 |
| Change | - | 13.29% | 13.29% | 7.9% | 7.12% | 9.26% | 1.36% | 9.14% |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/21 | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 37,673 | 39,463 | 38,964 | 64,113 | 69,726 | 75,466 | 62,338 | 78,121 |
| Change | - | 4.75% | -1.26% | 64.54% | 8.75% | 8.23% | -17.4% | 25.32% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -20,482 | -8,796 | -4,031 | -2,172 | -2,437 | 9,099 | 61,732 | 64,491 |
| Change | - | 57.06% | 54.17% | 46.13% | -12.2% | 473.41% | 578.46% | 4.47% |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/21 | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 48.13% | 52.37% | 57.75% | 57.83% | 58.53% | 60.42% | 60.78% | 60.62% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 35.5% | 39.38% | 46.55% | 47.84% | 48.46% | 49.77% | 49.81% | 49.7% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 27.43% | 33.69% | 36.6% | 38.91% | 40.49% | 41.8% | 41.67% | 41.36% |
| Net margin (%) | 21.99% | 26.47% | 28.45% | 31.23% | 32.5% | 33.64% | 33.45% | 33.21% |
| FCF margin (%) | -25.01% | -10.69% | -3.81% | -1.7% | -1.74% | 6.3% | 39.89% | 39.34% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -113.75% | -40.37% | -13.39% | -5.43% | -5.34% | 18.74% | 119.22% | 118.45% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 2.59% | 2.85% | 3.59% | 4.4% | 4.65% | 4.88% | 4.9% | 4.93% |
| ROE | 5.9% | 6.78% | 8.65% | 10.54% | 11.01% | 10.76% | 10.55% | 10.34% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 6.13x | 6.35x | 5.08x | 4.52x | 4.37x | 4.49x | 4.22x | 4.36x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -11.81x | -31.14x | -76.98x | -154.18x | -147.2x | 43.07x | 6.43x | 6.72x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 46% | 47.94% | 36.83% | 50.05% | 49.67% | 52.29% | 40.28% | 47.66% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 95.58% | 91.55% | 63.78% | 86.54% | 84.86% | 86.54% | 66.27% | 78.62% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -183.93% | -448.65% | -966.58% | -2,952.11% | -2,861.5% | 829.41% | 100.98% | 121.13% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.5957 | 1.063 | 1.211 | 2.146 | 2.332 | 2.674 | 2.566 | 2.814 |
| Change | - | 78.41% | 13.91% | 77.31% | 8.64% | 14.67% | -4.04% | 9.67% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.185 | 0.082 | 0.097 | 0.237 | 0.346 | 0.4424 | 0.4597 | 0.4872 |
| Change | - | -55.68% | 18.29% | 144.33% | 45.99% | 27.86% | 3.92% | 5.96% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 10.71 | 11.54 | 12.59 | 13.73 | 15.01 | 16.15 | 17.62 | 18.9 |
| Change | - | 7.73% | 9.1% | 9.08% | 9.31% | 7.6% | 9.07% | 7.28% |
| EPS 1 | 0.624 | 0.755 | 1.043 | 1.387 | 1.581 | 1.682 | 1.798 | 1.887 |
| Change | - | 20.99% | 38.15% | 32.98% | 13.99% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.91% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 28,879,232 | 28,856,412 | 28,856,412 | 28,856,000 | 28,879,232 | 28,820,859 | 28,820,859 | 28,820,859 |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/21 | 3/1/22 | 3/1/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/3/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 13.6x | 12.7x |
| PBR | 1.41x | 1.29x |
| EV / Sales | 7.27x | 6.81x |
| Yield | 1.94% | 2.02% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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- SMPH Stock
- Financials SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
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