Projected Income Statement: Securitas AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,551 40,534 37,530 37,923 31,301 28,388 25,124 21,412
Change - 178.57% -7.41% 1.05% -17.46% -9.31% -11.5% -14.77%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/4/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,824 3,567 4,114 4,029 3,974 3,257 3,353 3,367
Change - 26.31% 15.34% -2.07% -1.37% -18.04% 2.94% 0.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,999 3,422 4,938 5,077 6,832 6,510 7,191 7,626
Change - -14.43% 44.3% 2.81% 34.57% -4.71% 10.45% 6.06%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/4/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.79% 8.06% 8.38% 8.82% 9.7% 10.16% 10.33% 10.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 5.72% 6.12% 6.52% 7.05% 7.52% 7.65% 7.63%
EBT Margin (%) 4.02% 4.3% 1.8% 4.33% 4.7% 6.24% 6.59% 6.88%
Net margin (%) 2.91% 3.23% 0.82% 3.19% 3.3% 4.52% 4.76% 4.92%
FCF margin (%) 3.71% 2.57% 3.14% 3.14% 4.4% 4.34% 4.64% 4.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.64% 79.4% 384.28% 98.39% 133.57% 95.97% 97.47% 96.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.2% 5.64% 1.11% 4.3% - - - -
ROE 19.73% 17.64% 15.05% 15.61% 16.2% 17.99% 17.54% 17.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.73x 3.77x 2.85x 2.65x 2.08x 1.86x 1.57x 1.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.64x 11.85x 7.6x 7.47x 4.58x 4.36x 3.49x 2.81x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.62% 2.68% 2.62% 2.49% 2.56% 2.17% 2.16% 2.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.65% 33.22% 31.21% 28.21% 26.42% 21.34% 20.94% 20.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 70.62% 104.24% 83.31% 79.36% 58.17% 50.03% 46.63% 44.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.28 12.21 - 16.4 17.74 14.7 15.87 20.38
Change - -20.04% - - 8.17% -17.1% 7.92% 28.42%
Dividend per Share 1 4.4 3.45 3.8 4.5 - 5.834 6.52 6.913
Change - -21.59% 10.14% 18.42% - - 11.77% 6.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 56.96 63.52 64 74.49 68.13 74.69 81.53 88.87
Change - 11.52% 0.74% 16.4% -8.54% 9.62% 9.17% 9%
EPS 1 8.59 9.2 2.24 9.01 8.93 11.8 12.81 13.68
Change - 7.1% -75.65% 302.23% -0.89% 32.15% 8.58% 6.72%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 364,584 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/4/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.3x 13.1x
PBR 2.25x 2.06x
EV / Sales 0.83x 0.78x
Yield 3.47% 3.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
168.20SEK
Average target price
158.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
-6.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SECU B Stock
  4. Financials Securitas AB