Projected Income Statement: Securitas AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Securitas AB

Forecast Balance Sheet - Securitas AB
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,551 40,534 37,530 37,923 31,301 29,908 26,429 22,922
Change - 178.57% -7.41% 1.05% -17.46% -4.45% -11.63% -13.27%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/4/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,824 3,567 4,114 4,029 3,974 4,097 4,173 4,317
Change - 26.31% 15.34% -2.07% -1.37% 3.09% 1.85% 3.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,999 3,422 4,938 5,077 6,832 6,719 7,435 8,066
Change - -14.43% 44.3% 2.81% 34.57% -1.65% 10.65% 8.48%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/4/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.79% 8.06% 8.38% 8.82% 9.7% 9.98% 10.2% 10.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 5.72% 6.12% 6.52% 7.05% 7.3% 7.55% 7.74%
EBT Margin (%) 4.02% 4.3% 1.8% 4.33% 4.7% 6.31% 6.61% 6.83%
Net margin (%) 2.91% 3.23% 0.82% 3.19% 3.3% 4.68% 4.78% 4.94%
FCF margin (%) 3.71% 2.57% 3.14% 3.14% 4.4% 4.43% 4.7% 4.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.64% 79.4% 384.28% 98.39% 133.57% 94.67% 98.44% 99.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.2% 5.64% 1.11% 4.3% - 6.76% 6.92% 7.11%
ROE 19.73% 17.64% 15.05% 15.61% 16.2% 18.12% 17.95% 17.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.73x 3.77x 2.85x 2.65x 2.08x 1.98x 1.64x 1.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.64x 11.85x 7.6x 7.47x 4.58x 4.45x 3.55x 2.84x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.62% 2.68% 2.62% 2.49% 2.56% 2.7% 2.64% 2.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.65% 33.22% 31.21% 28.21% 26.42% 27.08% 25.86% 25.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 70.62% 104.24% 83.31% 79.36% 58.17% 60.97% 56.12% 53.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.28 12.21 - 16.4 17.74 14.06 15.63 16.86
Change - -20.04% - - 8.17% -20.77% 11.21% 7.87%
Dividend per Share 1 4.4 3.45 3.8 4.5 5.3 6.006 6.52 6.94
Change - -21.59% 10.14% 18.42% 17.78% 13.32% 8.56% 6.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 56.96 63.52 64 74.49 68.13 74.38 82.98 88.37
Change - 11.52% 0.74% 16.4% -8.54% 9.17% 11.57% 6.5%
EPS 1 8.59 9.2 2.24 9.01 8.93 12.32 13.16 14.11
Change - 7.1% -75.65% 302.23% -0.89% 37.93% 6.83% 7.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 364,584 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/4/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.7x 11.9x
PBR 2.1x 1.89x
EV / Sales 0.79x 0.73x
Yield 3.84% 4.17%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Securitas AB


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Securitas AB
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Securitas AB
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Securitas AB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
156.50SEK
Average target price
167.57SEK
Spread / Average Target
+7.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Securitas AB
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