Projected Income Statement: Santos Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Santos Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,073 3,450 4,264 4,891 5,764 4,414 3,923 3,343
Change - -31.99% 23.59% 14.7% 17.85% -23.42% -11.12% -14.78%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 1/21/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Santos Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,103 1,707 2,625 2,401 2,403 1,875 2,097 1,984
Change - 54.76% 53.78% -8.53% 0.08% -21.98% 11.83% -5.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,169 2,851 2,128 449 757 2,008 2,453 2,272
Change - 143.88% -25.36% -78.9% 68.6% 165.23% 22.16% -7.37%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 1/21/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Santos Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.84% 70.58% 67.87% 67.59% 67.67% 71.17% 70.36% 69%
EBIT Margin (%) 30.47% 48.15% 35.24% 37.41% 31.87% 43.1% 40.67% 39.61%
EBT Margin (%) 25.57% 37.84% 30.89% 32.5% 24.09% 38.18% 37.88% 36.37%
Net margin (%) 13.96% 27.11% 24.04% 22.75% 16.56% 26.6% 25.88% 25.15%
FCF margin (%) 24.8% 36.6% 36.14% 8.34% 15.33% 28.64% 34.77% 32.41%
FCF / Net Income (%) 177.66% 134.99% 150.28% 36.68% 92.54% 107.68% 134.33% 128.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.97% 8.36% 4.86% 4.04% 2.99% 6.71% 6.28% 6.1%
ROE 9.08% 17.3% 9.45% 7.8% 5.76% 10.8% 9.74% 9.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.89x 0.63x 1.07x 1.34x 1.72x 0.88x 0.79x 0.69x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.34x 1.21x 2x 10.89x 7.61x 2.2x 1.6x 1.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 23.4% 21.91% 44.57% 44.62% 48.65% 26.74% 29.72% 28.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.17% 31.05% 65.67% 66.02% 71.9% 37.58% 42.23% 41.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 94.35% 59.87% 123.36% 534.74% 317.44% 93.38% 85.48% 87.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.056 1.355 0.9945 0.876 0.8646 1.121 1.319 1.318
Change - 28.24% -26.6% -11.92% -1.3% 29.62% 17.67% -0.09%
Dividend per Share 1 0.14 0.151 0.262 0.233 0.237 0.3294 0.3678 0.3452
Change - 7.86% 73.51% -11.07% 1.72% 38.99% 11.65% -6.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.03 4.48 4.703 4.776 4.834 5.158 5.231 5.349
Change - 11.17% 4.99% 1.54% 1.23% 6.7% 1.41% 2.26%
EPS 1 0.306 0.628 0.432 0.376 0.251 0.5882 0.5683 0.5457
Change - 105.23% -31.21% -12.96% -33.24% 134.34% -3.39% -3.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,379,649 3,303,215 3,238,575 3,239,501 3,239,897 3,240,271 3,240,271 3,240,271
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 1/21/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.01x 9.33x
PBR 1.03x 1.01x
EV / Sales 3.08x 2.99x
Yield 6.22% 6.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
5.300USD
Average target price
6.120USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. STO Stock
  4. Financials Santos Limited