Projected Income Statement: Safran

Forecast Balance Sheet: Safran

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,792 1,544 -14 -374 -1,738 -1,170 -3,214 -4,687
Change - -44.7% -100.91% -2,571.43% -364.71% 32.68% -174.7% -45.83%
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/17/23 2/15/24 2/14/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Safran

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 449 387 498 823 1,044 1,748 1,731 1,740
Change - -13.81% 28.68% 65.26% 26.85% 67.4% -0.94% 0.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,417 1,680 2,666 2,945 3,189 3,482 4,166 4,473
Change - 18.56% 58.69% 10.47% 8.29% 9.19% 19.63% 7.38%
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/17/23 2/15/24 2/14/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Safran

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.01% 18.21% 19.26% 19.82% 19.82% 20.33% 20.8% 20.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.22% 11.83% 12.65% 13.65% 15.08% 15.94% 16.44% 16.7%
EBT Margin (%) 3.45% 1.76% -16.39% 20.5% -3.14% 15.22% 16.09% 15.17%
Net margin (%) 2.13% 0.28% -12.92% 14.85% -2.44% 12.58% 11.7% 11.95%
FCF margin (%) 8.59% 11.01% 14.01% 12.69% 11.67% 11.3% 12.15% 12.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) 402.56% 3,906.98% -108.42% 85.51% -478.11% 89.86% 103.86% 100.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.05% 1.87% 2.66% 4.17% 5.82% 6.66% 7.48% 7.79%
ROE 6.83% 6.03% 10.13% 18.45% 28.21% 29.82% 31.67% 30.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.13x 0.56x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.97x 0.92x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.72% 2.54% 2.62% 3.55% 3.82% 5.67% 5.05% 4.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.13% 13.93% 13.58% 17.9% 19.29% 27.9% 24.27% 22.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 31.69% 23.04% 18.68% 27.95% 32.74% 50.19% 41.56% 38.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.236 5.535 8.054 9.899 11.25 11.74 14.53 16.07
Change - 30.66% 45.5% 22.9% 13.65% 4.36% 23.76% 10.61%
Dividend per Share 1 0.43 0.5 1.35 1.35 2.9 3.164 3.911 4.442
Change - 16.28% 170% 0% 114.81% 9.1% 23.6% 13.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.93 30.09 24.52 26.84 24.19 27.66 33.07 39.11
Change - 4.02% -18.5% 9.44% -9.88% 14.36% 19.56% 18.27%
EPS 1 0.8 0.1 -5.76 8.07 -1.6 8.912 9.654 10.84
Change - -87.5% -5,860% 240.1% -119.83% 656.99% 8.33% 12.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 426,872 426,262 426,828 417,625 416,751 416,775 416,775 416,775
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/17/23 2/15/24 2/14/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 28.4x 26.2x
PBR 9.15x 7.66x
EV / Sales 3.39x 2.98x
Yield 1.25% 1.54%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
253.20EUR
Average target price
267.98EUR
Spread / Average Target
+5.84%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise