Projected Income Statement: SAF-Holland SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAF-Holland SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 197 198 511 450 473 414 380 322
Change - 0.51% 158.08% -11.94% 5.11% -12.56% -8.21% -15.26%
Announcement Date 3/25/21 3/17/22 3/30/23 3/14/24 3/21/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAF-Holland SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 24.46 24.65 36.25 61.68 57.44 59.93 59.68 60.26
Change - 0.78% 47.04% 70.15% -6.87% 4.32% -0.41% 0.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 113.5 15 117.1 141 143.2 74.4 80.6 94.87
Change - -86.78% 681.09% 20.4% 1.54% -48.05% 8.33% 17.7%
Announcement Date 3/25/21 3/17/22 3/30/23 3/14/24 3/21/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAF-Holland SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.23% 10.6% 10.4% 12.54% 13.75% 12.39% 12.92% 13.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.13% 7.47% 7.96% 9.59% 10.15% 9.31% 9.65% 9.94%
EBT Margin (%) 2.01% 5.03% 5.65% 5.78% 6.4% 4.75% 6.15% 6.75%
Net margin (%) 1.44% 2.95% 3.9% 3.8% 4.12% 2.88% 4.06% 4.44%
FCF margin (%) 11.82% 1.2% 7.48% 6.7% 7.63% 4.31% 4.44% 4.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 822.46% 40.82% 191.78% 176.45% 185.14% 149.59% 109.2% 110.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.5% 6.33% 4.86% 5.07% 4.58% 3.12% 4.35% 5.03%
ROE 4.58% 18.33% 15.07% 17.5% 15.52% 12.04% 14.5% 15.82%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 1.5x 3.14x 1.7x 1.84x 1.94x 1.62x 1.26x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.73x 13.21x 4.36x 3.19x 3.31x 5.57x 4.72x 3.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.55% 1.98% 2.32% 2.93% 3.06% 3.47% 3.29% 3.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.93% 18.66% 22.28% 23.35% 22.27% 28.05% 25.42% 23.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.56% 164.39% 30.95% 43.73% 40.11% 80.54% 74.04% 63.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.038 0.8735 3.379 4.466 4.42 3.672 2.973 3.248
Change - -71.25% 286.85% 32.16% -1.02% -16.92% -19.05% 9.24%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.35 0.6 0.85 0.85 0.6126 0.8085 0.9419
Change - - 71.43% 41.67% 0% -27.93% 31.98% 16.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.561 8.156 9.705 10.42 11.53 11.98 13.19 14.28
Change - 24.31% 18.99% 7.38% 10.66% 3.86% 10.09% 8.3%
EPS 1 0.3 0.81 1.35 1.76 1.7 1.169 1.663 1.963
Change - 170% 66.67% 30.37% -3.41% -31.22% 42.19% 18.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 45,394 45,394 45,394 45,394 45,394 44,897 44,897 44,897
Announcement Date 3/25/21 3/17/22 3/30/23 3/14/24 3/21/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.1x 11.3x
PBR 1.57x 1.43x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.67x
Yield 3.26% 4.3%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
18.80EUR
Average target price
18.92EUR
Spread / Average Target
+0.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SFQ Stock
  4. Financials SAF-Holland SE