Financials Rio Tinto plc

Equities

RIO

GB0007188757

Diversified Mining

Market Closed - London S.E. Other stock markets 11:35:26 2025-04-25 EDT			5-day change	1st Jan Change
4,550.00 ^GBX	-1.37%		+3.46%	-3.66%

04-25	As China nears peak aluminium production, what next?: Andy Home	RE
04-24	As China nears peak aluminium production, what next?: Andy Home	RE

Projected Income Statement: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net sales ¹	44,611	63,495	55,554	54,041	53,658	52,167	53,215	56,133
Change	-	42.33%	-12.51%	-2.72%	-0.71%	-2.78%	2.01%	5.48%
EBITDA ¹	23,902	37,720	26,272	23,892	23,314	22,619	23,556	24,597
Change	-	57.81%	-30.35%	-9.06%	-2.42%	-2.98%	4.14%	4.42%
EBIT ¹	19,623	33,023	20,508	15,498	16,491	16,120	16,694	17,464
Change	-	68.29%	-37.9%	-24.43%	6.41%	-2.25%	3.56%	4.62%
Interest Paid ¹	-127	-179	-156	-431	-249	-636.2	-744.3	-775.4
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	15,391	30,833	18,662	13,785	15,615	15,072	15,674	16,532
Change	-	100.33%	-39.47%	-26.13%	13.28%	-3.48%	3.99%	5.48%
Net income ¹	9,769	21,094	12,420	10,058	11,552	10,310	10,431	10,978
Change	-	115.93%	-41.12%	-19.02%	14.85%	-10.75%	1.18%	5.24%
Announcement Date	2/17/21	2/23/22	2/22/23	2/21/24	2/19/25	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: December	2020 S2	2021 S1	2021 S2	2022 S1	2022 S2	2023 S1	2023 S2	2024 S1	2024 S2	2025 S1	2025 S2	2026 S1	2026 S2
Net sales ¹	25,249	33,083	30,412	29,775	25,779	26,667	27,374	26,802	26,856	25,907	26,244	24,967	26,839
Change	-	31.03%	-8.07%	-2.09%	-13.42%	3.44%	2.65%	-2.09%	0.2%	-3.53%	1.3%	-4.86%	7.5%
EBITDA ¹	14,262	21,037	16,683	15,597	10,675	11,728	12,164	12,093	11,221	12,093	11,221	-	-
Change	-	47.5%	-20.7%	-6.51%	-31.56%	9.86%	3.72%	-0.58%	-7.21%	7.77%	-7.21%	-	-
EBIT ¹	12,075	19,000	14,023	12,674	7,834	7,678	7,820	8,681	7,810	8,436	8,837	7,943	9,040
Change	-	57.35%	-26.19%	-9.62%	-38.19%	-1.99%	1.85%	11.01%	-10.03%	8.01%	4.76%	-10.11%	13.81%
Charge d'intérêts	-62	-49	-130	-	-	-	-	-109	-	-	-	-	-
Earnings before Tax (EBT)	10,112	18,049	12,784	12,315	6,347	6,930	6,855	8,115	-	-	-	-	-
Change	-	78.49%	-29.17%	-3.67%	-48.46%	9.19%	-1.08%	18.38%	-	-	-	-	-
Net income ¹	6,453	12,313	8,781	8,908	3,512	5,117	4,941	5,808	-	5,808	5,744	-	-
Change	-	90.81%	-28.69%	1.45%	-60.57%	45.7%	-3.44%	17.55%	-	-	-1.1%	-	-
Announcement Date	2/17/21	7/28/21	2/23/22	7/27/22	2/22/23	7/26/23	2/21/24	7/30/24	2/19/25	-	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Balance Sheet: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net Debt ¹	664	-1,576	4,188	4,231	5,491	12,925	13,048	11,335
Change	-	-337.35%	365.74%	1.03%	29.78%	135.39%	0.95%	-13.13%
Announcement Date	2/17/21	2/23/22	2/22/23	2/21/24	2/19/25	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
CAPEX ¹	6,189	7,384	6,750	7,086	9,621	10,817	10,444	9,391
Change	-	19.31%	-8.59%	4.98%	35.77%	12.43%	-3.45%	-10.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ¹	9,686	17,961	9,010	7,657	5,978	5,584	6,887	8,407
Change	-	85.43%	-49.84%	-15.02%	-21.93%	-6.59%	23.34%	22.07%
Announcement Date	2/17/21	2/23/22	2/22/23	2/21/24	2/19/25	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Profitability
EBITDA Margin (%)	53.58%	59.41%	47.29%	44.21%	43.45%	43.36%	44.27%	43.82%
EBIT Margin (%)	43.99%	52.01%	36.92%	28.68%	30.73%	30.9%	31.37%	31.11%
EBT Margin (%)	34.5%	48.56%	33.59%	25.51%	29.1%	28.89%	29.45%	29.45%
Net margin (%)	21.9%	33.22%	22.36%	18.61%	21.53%	19.76%	19.6%	19.56%
FCF margin (%)	21.71%	28.29%	16.22%	14.17%	11.14%	10.7%	12.94%	14.98%
FCF / Net Income (%)	99.15%	85.15%	72.54%	76.13%	51.75%	54.16%	66.03%	76.58%
Profitability
ROA	13.44%	21.06%	12.44%	10.04%	11.2%	9.85%	9.5%	9.77%
ROE	28.42%	42.84%	24.45%	19.12%	21.04%	18.16%	17.38%	16.81%
Financial Health
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	0.03x	-	0.16x	0.18x	0.24x	0.57x	0.55x	0.46x
Debt / Free cash flow	0.07x	-	0.46x	0.55x	0.92x	2.31x	1.89x	1.35x
Capital Intensity
CAPEX / Current Assets (%)	13.87%	11.63%	12.15%	13.11%	17.93%	20.74%	19.63%	16.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%)	25.89%	19.58%	25.69%	29.66%	41.27%	47.82%	44.34%	38.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%)	63.9%	41.11%	74.92%	92.54%	160.94%	193.71%	151.65%	111.69%
Items per share
Cash flow per share ¹	9.747	15.56	9.901	9.292	9.55	9.545	9.753	10.25
Change	-	59.63%	-36.37%	-6.15%	2.77%	-0.05%	2.18%	5.08%
Dividend per Share ¹	4.64	10.4	4.92	4.35	4.02	3.652	3.603	4.121
Change	-	124.14%	-52.69%	-11.59%	-7.59%	-9.15%	-1.35%	14.37%
Book Value Per Share ¹	29.09	31.78	30.98	33.67	42.79	36.31	38.71	41.41
Change	-	9.24%	-2.53%	8.68%	27.11%	-15.16%	6.62%	6.99%
EPS ¹	5.998	12.95	7.621	6.165	7.072	6.049	6.075	6.405
Change	-	115.91%	-41.15%	-19.11%	14.71%	-14.47%	0.43%	5.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	1,616,304	1,618,208	1,619,647	1,621,558	1,623,047	1,624,607	1,624,607	1,624,607
Announcement Date	2/17/21	2/23/22	2/22/23	2/21/24	2/19/25	-	-	-