Projected Income Statement: Rio Tinto plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 664 -1,576 4,188 4,231 5,491 14,223 14,551 13,318
Change - -337.35% 365.74% 1.03% 29.78% 159.02% 2.31% -8.47%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 6,189 7,384 6,750 7,086 9,621 10,615 11,201 9,534
Change - 19.31% -8.59% 4.98% 35.77% 10.33% 5.52% -14.88%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,686 17,961 9,010 7,657 5,978 5,376 6,544 9,346
Change - 85.43% -49.84% -15.02% -21.93% -10.08% 21.73% 42.83%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 53.58% 59.41% 47.29% 44.21% 43.45% 42.91% 44.99% 44.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.99% 52.01% 36.92% 28.68% 30.73% 30.47% 32.72% 31.77%
EBT Margin (%) 34.5% 48.56% 33.59% 25.51% 29.1% 27.56% 30.4% 29.82%
Net margin (%) 21.9% 33.22% 22.36% 18.61% 21.53% 18.8% 20.85% 20.32%
FCF margin (%) 21.71% 28.29% 16.22% 14.17% 11.14% 9.77% 11.58% 16.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.15% 85.15% 72.54% 76.13% 51.75% 51.98% 55.56% 79.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.44% 21.06% 12.44% 10.04% 11.2% 9.8% 9.85% 9.44%
ROE 28.42% 42.84% 24.45% 19.12% 21.04% 17.6% 18.18% 16.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.03x - 0.16x 0.18x 0.24x 0.6x 0.57x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.07x - 0.46x 0.55x 0.92x 2.65x 2.22x 1.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.87% 11.63% 12.15% 13.11% 17.93% 19.3% 19.83% 16.45%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.89% 19.58% 25.69% 29.66% 41.27% 44.97% 44.08% 37.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 63.9% 41.11% 74.92% 92.54% 160.94% 197.46% 171.17% 102.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.747 15.56 9.901 9.292 9.55 9.73 10.64 10.51
Change - 59.63% -36.37% -6.15% 2.77% 1.89% 9.39% -1.27%
Dividend per Share 1 4.64 10.4 4.92 4.35 4.02 3.719 4.058 4.227
Change - 124.14% -52.69% -11.59% -7.59% -7.48% 9.11% 4.15%
Book Value Per Share 1 29.09 31.78 30.98 33.67 42.79 38.11 40.93 43.66
Change - 9.24% -2.53% 8.68% 27.11% -10.95% 7.39% 6.68%
EPS 1 5.998 12.95 7.621 6.165 7.072 6.139 7.045 6.827
Change - 115.91% -41.15% -19.11% 14.71% -13.19% 14.75% -3.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,616,304 1,618,208 1,619,647 1,621,558 1,623,047 1,624,916 1,624,916 1,624,916
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12x 10.4x
PBR 1.93x 1.8x
EV / Sales 2.55x 2.49x
Yield 5.05% 5.51%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
72.90USD
Average target price
77.68USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.56%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RIO Stock
  4. Financials Rio Tinto plc