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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 61.40 CAD | -0.52% |
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-1.08% | +17.42% |
| 04-08 | Pembina Pipeline's Low-End of New Fee-Based Adjusted EBITDA Per Share Growth Outlook 'Deliverable,' RBC Says | MT |
| 04-08 | CIBC Raises Pembina Pipeline's Price Target to C$66.00 from C$64.00 | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Pembina Pipeline Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 8,627 | 11,611 | 9,125 | 7,384 | 7,778 | 7,967 | 8,695 | 9,150 |
| Change | - | 34.59% | -21.41% | -19.08% | 5.34% | 2.42% | 9.15% | 5.22% |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,433 | 3,746 | 3,824 | 4,408 | 4,289 | 4,363 | 4,551 | 4,766 |
| Change | - | 9.12% | 2.08% | 15.27% | -2.7% | 1.73% | 4.31% | 4.72% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,710 | 3,063 | 3,161 | 3,546 | 3,302 | 3,067 | 3,268 | 3,502 |
| Change | - | 13.03% | 3.2% | 12.18% | -6.88% | -7.12% | 6.56% | 7.16% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -450 | -486 | -466 | -561 | -602 | -593.1 | -608.2 | -632.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,665 | 3,219 | 2,189 | 1,720 | 2,207 | 2,454 | 2,674 | 2,890 |
| Change | - | 93.33% | -32% | -21.43% | 28.31% | 11.2% | 8.96% | 8.09% |
| Net income 1 | 1,098 | 2,842 | 1,648 | 1,721 | 1,550 | 1,661 | 1,772 | 1,932 |
| Change | - | 158.83% | -42.01% | 4.43% | -9.94% | 7.15% | 6.67% | 9.05% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/26/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Pembina Pipeline Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 11,196 | 10,506 | 10,362 | 12,515 | 13,204 | 16,056 | 16,079 | 15,731 |
| Change | - | -6.16% | -1.37% | 20.78% | 5.51% | 21.6% | 0.14% | -2.16% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/26/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Pembina Pipeline Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 658 | 605 | 606 | 955 | 784 | 1,321 | 1,205 | 969.8 |
| Change | - | -8.05% | 0.17% | 57.59% | -17.91% | 68.51% | -8.79% | -19.51% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,992 | 2,324 | 2,029 | 2,259 | 2,517 | 1,666 | 2,126 | 2,644 |
| Change | - | 16.67% | -12.69% | 11.34% | 11.42% | -33.8% | 27.59% | 24.37% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/26/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Pembina Pipeline Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 39.79% | 32.26% | 41.91% | 59.7% | 55.14% | 54.77% | 52.34% | 52.1% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 31.41% | 26.38% | 34.64% | 48.02% | 42.45% | 38.5% | 37.59% | 38.28% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 19.3% | 27.72% | 23.99% | 23.29% | 28.37% | 30.81% | 30.75% | 31.59% |
| Net margin (%) | 12.73% | 24.48% | 18.06% | 23.31% | 19.93% | 20.85% | 20.37% | 21.11% |
| FCF margin (%) | 23.09% | 20.02% | 22.24% | 30.59% | 32.36% | 20.91% | 24.45% | 28.9% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 181.42% | 81.77% | 123.12% | 131.26% | 162.39% | 100.32% | 119.99% | 136.85% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 3.85% | 3.49% | 5.14% | 5.02% | 4.33% | 4.25% | 4.45% | 4.9% |
| ROE | 8.28% | 12.1% | 10.45% | 10.33% | 9.04% | 9.72% | 10.33% | 11.17% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.26x | 2.8x | 2.71x | 2.84x | 3.08x | 3.68x | 3.53x | 3.3x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.62x | 4.52x | 5.11x | 5.54x | 5.25x | 9.64x | 7.56x | 5.95x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.63% | 5.21% | 6.64% | 12.93% | 10.08% | 16.58% | 13.86% | 10.6% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 19.17% | 16.15% | 15.85% | 21.67% | 18.28% | 30.28% | 26.47% | 20.35% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 33.03% | 26.03% | 29.87% | 42.28% | 31.15% | 79.29% | 56.68% | 36.68% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.82 | 5.3 | 4.79 | 5.599 | 5.68 | 5.26 | 5.36 | 5.5 |
| Change | - | 9.96% | -9.62% | 16.9% | 1.44% | -7.39% | 1.9% | 2.61% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.52 | 2.55 | 2.66 | 2.738 | 2.84 | 2.903 | 2.993 | 3.086 |
| Change | - | 1.19% | 4.31% | 2.91% | 3.74% | 2.23% | 3.1% | 3.09% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 26.01 | 28.44 | 28.75 | 30.56 | 28.87 | 25.75 | 25.64 | 25.66 |
| Change | - | 9.37% | 1.08% | 6.29% | -5.54% | -10.81% | -0.41% | 0.08% |
| EPS 1 | 1.99 | 5.12 | 2.99 | 3 | 2.66 | 2.889 | 3.086 | 3.295 |
| Change | - | 157.29% | -41.6% | 0.33% | -11.33% | 8.6% | 6.85% | 6.76% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 550,363 | 549,455 | 549,370 | 580,530 | 581,048 | 581,305 | 581,305 | 581,305 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/26/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 21.3x | 19.9x |
| PBR | 2.38x | 2.39x |
| EV / Sales | 6.5x | 5.95x |
| Yield | 4.73% | 4.88% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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