Projected Income Statement: Parkland Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Parkland Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 3,713 5,272 6,256 5,971 6,256 5,669 5,199 5,319
Change - 41.99% 18.66% -4.56% 4.77% -9.38% -8.29% 2.31%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/27/24 3/5/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Parkland Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 345 396 503 482 555 477.4 541.5 542.3
Change - 14.78% 27.02% -4.17% 15.15% -13.98% 13.43% 0.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 589 508 823 1,298 980 1,093 1,187 859.9
Change - -13.75% 62.01% 57.72% -24.5% 11.57% 8.56% -27.56%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/27/24 3/5/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Parkland Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.9% 5.87% 4.57% 5.89% 5.97% 6.34% 6.84% 6.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.56% 3% 2.47% 3.36% 3.06% 3.46% 4.16% 4.5%
EBT Margin (%) 1.1% 0.75% 1.17% 1.57% 0.45% 1.98% 2.75% 3.26%
Net margin (%) 0.59% 0.45% 0.87% 1.45% 0.45% 1.51% 2.09% 2.33%
FCF margin (%) 4.2% 2.37% 2.32% 4% 3.46% 3.83% 4.1% 2.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 718.29% 523.71% 265.48% 275.58% 771.65% 253.21% 195.8% 121.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.89% 0.94% 3.62% 3.35% 0.91% 3.15% 4.13% -
ROE 4.23% 4.99% 18.25% 15.15% 4% 12.37% 16.11% -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.84x 4.18x 3.86x 3.12x 3.7x 3.13x 2.63x 2.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.3x 10.38x 7.6x 4.6x 6.38x 5.18x 4.38x 6.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.46% 1.84% 1.42% 1.49% 1.96% 1.67% 1.87% 1.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.68% 31.43% 31.05% 25.2% 32.84% 26.36% 27.35% 26.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 58.57% 77.95% 61.12% 37.13% 56.63% 43.66% 45.62% 63.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.189 5.947 8.236 9.944 8.672 8.579 9.193 9.392
Change - -3.91% 38.48% 20.74% -12.79% -1.08% 7.16% 2.17%
Dividend per Share 1 1.211 1.231 1.289 1.36 1.4 1.437 1.462 1.49
Change - 1.68% 4.69% 5.5% 2.94% 2.62% 1.74% 1.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 0.54 0.64 1.92 2.63 0.72 2.462 3.402 4.32
Change - 18.52% 200% 36.98% -72.62% 242% 38.18% 26.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 149,717 153,720 175,942 176,214 173,804 174,426 174,426 174,426
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/27/24 3/5/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.6x 11.3x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 0.43x 0.41x
Yield 3.73% 3.8%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
38.49CAD
Average target price
43.27CAD
Spread / Average Target
+12.43%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PKI Stock
  4. Financials Parkland Corporation