Projected Income Statement: Nutrien Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,766 10,347 11,027 11,625 11,954 10,904 10,386 10,070
Change - 18.04% 6.57% 5.42% 2.83% -8.78% -4.75% -3.04%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,423 1,783 2,438 2,671 2,154 2,050 2,088 2,127
Change - 25.3% 36.74% 9.56% -19.36% -4.84% 1.87% 1.88%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,900 2,103 5,672 2,395 1,381 2,090 2,250 2,341
Change - 10.68% 169.71% -57.78% -42.34% 51.3% 7.67% 4.06%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.29% 26.53% 32.88% 21.57% 21.41% 21.57% 21.48% 20.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.5% 17.8% 29.2% 9.77% 7.42% 12.36% 12.64% 11.74%
EBT Margin (%) 1.9% 15.52% 27.68% 6.95% 4.54% 9.34% 9.06% 8.28%
Net margin (%) 2.29% 11.74% 20.7% 4.48% 2.69% 7.1% 7.34% 6.84%
FCF margin (%) 9.47% 7.83% 15.32% 8.53% 5.52% 7.97% 8.49% 8.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 413.94% 66.7% 74.05% 190.38% 204.9% 112.21% 115.65% 127.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.19% 6.49% 14.65% 4.11% 3.29% 3.23% 3.46% 3.02%
ROE 4.54% 13.7% 30.97% 8.66% 6.92% 7.94% 7.41% 6.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.39x 1.45x 0.91x 1.92x 2.23x 1.93x 1.83x 1.83x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.61x 4.92x 1.94x 4.85x 8.66x 5.22x 4.62x 4.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.1% 6.64% 6.59% 9.51% 8.61% 7.82% 7.88% 7.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.81% 25.02% 20.03% 44.09% 40.22% 36.23% 36.7% 38.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 74.89% 84.78% 42.98% 111.52% 155.97% 98.1% 92.82% 90.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.833 6.802 15.02 10.19 7.151 8.668 9.33 9.737
Change - 16.62% 120.79% -32.13% -29.85% 21.21% 7.64% 4.36%
Dividend per Share 1 1.86 1.84 1.92 2.12 2.16 2.168 2.212 2.261
Change - -1.08% 4.35% 10.42% 1.89% 0.36% 2.04% 2.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.29 42.43 50.9 50.62 49.44 51.27 52.62 54.27
Change - 7.99% 19.97% -0.55% -2.32% 3.7% 2.63% 3.14%
EPS 1 0.81 5.52 14.18 2.53 1.36 3.851 3.914 3.448
Change - 581.48% 156.88% -82.16% -46.25% 183.17% 1.62% -11.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 569,146 570,786 520,184 494,547 493,910 487,487 487,487 487,487
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.3x 16.1x
PBR 1.23x 1.2x
EV / Sales 1.58x 1.55x
Yield 3.45% 3.52%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
62.90USD
Average target price
60.97USD
Spread / Average Target
-3.06%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NTR Stock
  4. Financials Nutrien Ltd.