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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 101.47 CAD | -1.09% |
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-5.18% | +19.77% |
| 04-14 | Canpotex is fully committed on volumes for potash sales through June 30, 2026 | RE |
| 04-13 | US deputy farm secretary to meet with Mosaic amid high fertilizer prices | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 26,861 | 37,012 | 28,082 | 25,016 | 25,949 | 27,049 | 26,906 | 27,110 |
| Change | - | 37.79% | -24.13% | -10.92% | 3.73% | 4.24% | -0.53% | 0.76% |
| EBITDA 1 | 7,126 | 12,170 | 6,058 | 5,355 | 6,046 | 6,451 | 6,257 | 6,154 |
| Change | - | 70.78% | -50.22% | -11.6% | 12.9% | 6.7% | -3% | -1.66% |
| EBIT 1 | 4,781 | 10,809 | 2,745 | 1,856 | 3,736 | 4,008 | 3,870 | 3,621 |
| Change | - | 126.08% | -74.6% | -32.39% | 101.29% | 7.28% | -3.44% | -6.44% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -613 | -563 | -793 | -720 | -687 | -678.4 | -646.6 | -614.9 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,168 | 10,246 | 1,952 | 1,136 | 3,049 | 3,159 | 3,147 | 2,916 |
| Change | - | 145.83% | -80.95% | -41.8% | 168.4% | 3.6% | -0.38% | -7.33% |
| Net income 1 | 3,153 | 7,660 | 1,258 | 674 | 2,267 | 2,317 | 2,296 | 2,418 |
| Change | - | 142.94% | -83.58% | -46.42% | 236.35% | 2.23% | -0.92% | 5.3% |
| Announcement Date | 2/16/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 10,347 | 11,027 | 11,625 | 11,954 | 11,318 | 9,332 | 8,879 | 7,374 |
| Change | - | 6.57% | 5.42% | 2.83% | -5.32% | -17.55% | -4.85% | -16.95% |
| Announcement Date | 2/16/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,783 | 2,438 | 2,671 | 2,154 | 2,005 | 2,051 | 2,087 | 2,150 |
| Change | - | 36.74% | 9.56% | -19.36% | -6.92% | 2.28% | 1.77% | 3.01% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,103 | 5,672 | 2,395 | 1,381 | 2,002 | 2,749 | 2,513 | 2,079 |
| Change | - | 169.71% | -57.78% | -42.34% | 44.97% | 37.29% | -8.57% | -17.26% |
| Announcement Date | 2/16/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 26.53% | 32.88% | 21.57% | 21.41% | 23.3% | 23.85% | 23.26% | 22.7% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 17.8% | 29.2% | 9.77% | 7.42% | 14.4% | 14.82% | 14.38% | 13.36% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 15.52% | 27.68% | 6.95% | 4.54% | 11.75% | 11.68% | 11.7% | 10.76% |
| Net margin (%) | 11.74% | 20.7% | 4.48% | 2.69% | 8.74% | 8.57% | 8.53% | 8.92% |
| FCF margin (%) | 7.83% | 15.32% | 8.53% | 5.52% | 7.72% | 10.16% | 9.34% | 7.67% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 66.7% | 74.05% | 190.38% | 204.9% | 88.31% | 118.6% | 109.45% | 86% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6.49% | 14.65% | 4.11% | 3.29% | 4.26% | 5.74% | 4.77% | 4.26% |
| ROE | 13.7% | 30.97% | 8.66% | 6.92% | 8.91% | 9.89% | 9.09% | 7.94% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.45x | 0.91x | 1.92x | 2.23x | 1.87x | 1.45x | 1.42x | 1.2x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.92x | 1.94x | 4.85x | 8.66x | 5.65x | 3.4x | 3.53x | 3.55x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 6.64% | 6.59% | 9.51% | 8.61% | 7.73% | 7.58% | 7.76% | 7.93% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 25.02% | 20.03% | 44.09% | 40.22% | 33.16% | 31.79% | 33.35% | 34.94% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 84.78% | 42.98% | 111.52% | 155.97% | 100.15% | 74.61% | 83.05% | 103.39% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.802 | 15.02 | 10.19 | 7.151 | 8.236 | 10.23 | 10.37 | 10.46 |
| Change | - | 120.79% | -32.13% | -29.85% | 15.18% | 24.17% | 1.38% | 0.89% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.84 | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.16 | 2.18 | 2.203 | 2.232 | 2.231 |
| Change | - | 4.35% | 10.42% | 1.89% | 0.93% | 1.06% | 1.33% | -0.04% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 42.43 | 50.9 | 50.62 | 49.44 | 52.05 | 55.2 | 56.77 | 60.95 |
| Change | - | 19.97% | -0.55% | -2.32% | 5.27% | 6.05% | 2.84% | 7.37% |
| EPS 1 | 5.52 | 14.18 | 2.53 | 1.36 | 4.66 | 5.672 | 5.053 | 4.67 |
| Change | - | 156.88% | -82.16% | -46.25% | 242.65% | 21.72% | -10.92% | -7.57% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 570,786 | 520,184 | 494,547 | 493,910 | 483,341 | 480,859 | 480,859 | 480,859 |
| Announcement Date | 2/16/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 13x | 14.6x |
| PBR | 1.34x | 1.3x |
| EV / Sales | 1.66x | 1.65x |
| Yield | 2.99% | 3.03% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Nutrien Ltd.
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