Projected Income Statement: Nutrien Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,766 10,347 11,027 11,625 11,954 10,388 9,659 8,951
Change - 18.04% 6.57% 5.42% 2.83% -13.1% -7.02% -7.33%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,423 1,783 2,438 2,671 2,154 2,013 2,057 2,128
Change - 25.3% 36.74% 9.56% -19.36% -6.53% 2.18% 3.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,900 2,103 5,672 2,395 1,381 2,574 2,600 2,452
Change - 10.68% 169.71% -57.78% -42.34% 86.42% 0.98% -5.7%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.29% 26.53% 32.88% 21.57% 21.41% 22.98% 22.29% 21.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.5% 17.8% 29.2% 9.77% 7.42% 13.46% 13.12% 12.49%
EBT Margin (%) 1.9% 15.52% 27.68% 6.95% 4.54% 10.61% 10.19% 9.54%
Net margin (%) 2.29% 11.74% 20.7% 4.48% 2.69% 7.86% 7.55% 7.12%
FCF margin (%) 9.47% 7.83% 15.32% 8.53% 5.52% 9.73% 9.75% 9.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 413.94% 66.7% 74.05% 190.38% 204.9% 123.84% 129.18% 128.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.19% 6.49% 14.65% 4.11% 3.29% 4.12% 3.9% 3.7%
ROE 4.54% 13.7% 30.97% 8.66% 6.92% 8.81% 8.09% 7.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.39x 1.45x 0.91x 1.92x 2.23x 1.71x 1.63x 1.55x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.61x 4.92x 1.94x 4.85x 8.66x 4.04x 3.72x 3.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.1% 6.64% 6.59% 9.51% 8.61% 7.61% 7.71% 7.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.81% 25.02% 20.03% 44.09% 40.22% 33.12% 34.61% 36.93%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 74.89% 84.78% 42.98% 111.52% 155.97% 78.2% 79.13% 86.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.833 6.802 15.02 10.19 7.151 9.627 9.638 9.743
Change - 16.62% 120.79% -32.13% -29.85% 34.63% 0.11% 1.1%
Dividend per Share 1 1.86 1.84 1.92 2.12 2.16 2.173 2.217 2.262
Change - -1.08% 4.35% 10.42% 1.89% 0.62% 1.99% 2.03%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.29 42.43 50.9 50.62 49.44 52.1 53.24 55.05
Change - 7.99% 19.97% -0.55% -2.32% 5.37% 2.19% 3.41%
EPS 1 0.81 5.52 14.18 2.53 1.36 4.256 4.352 4.123
Change - 581.48% 156.88% -82.16% -46.25% 212.95% 2.24% -5.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 569,146 570,786 520,184 494,547 493,910 483,341 483,341 483,341
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.1x 13.8x
PBR 1.15x 1.13x
EV / Sales 1.49x 1.45x
Yield 3.61% 3.68%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
60.16USD
Average target price
63.04USD
Spread / Average Target
+4.78%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NTR Stock
  4. Financials Nutrien Ltd.