Projected Income Statement: NIO Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: NIO Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - NIO Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -37,422 -22,896 -26,881 -2,159 -2,044 -16,642 -27,235 -37,381
Change - 38.82% -17.4% 91.97% 5.33% -714.15% -63.65% -37.25%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/1/23 3/5/24 3/21/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,079 6,973 14,341 9,142 6,065 6,286 6,961 7,189
Change - 70.96% 105.67% -36.25% -33.66% 3.63% 10.74% 3.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,112 -10,839 -15,722 -16,991 -3,073 7,878 8,962 5,670
Change - -413.11% -45.06% -8.07% 81.92% 356.38% 13.77% -36.73%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/1/23 3/5/24 3/21/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -7.72% -21.3% -30.4% -21.41% -7.88% 5.68% 6.99% 7.98%
EBIT Margin (%) -12.44% -31.75% -36.47% -30.34% -16.05% -0.94% 0.75% 2.28%
EBT Margin (%) -11% -29.19% -36.78% -34.12% -16.94% -1.27% 0.64% 2.68%
Net margin (%) -29.26% -29.55% -38.02% -34.47% -17.8% -1.58% 0.4% 2.35%
FCF margin (%) -5.85% -22% -28.27% -25.85% -3.51% 6.16% 5.93% 3.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 19.98% 74.45% 74.35% 74.99% 19.73% -390.57% 1,465.58% 142.29%

Profitability

        
ROA -15.38% -16.25% -17.29% -18.12% -10.72% -1.13% 0.67% 2.53%
ROE -34.17% -49.71% -74.77% -129.35% -245.54% -20.77% 4.27% 25.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 14.15% 25.78% 13.91% 6.93% 4.91% 4.6% 4.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -146.28% -66.46% -84.82% -64.98% -87.97% 86.5% 65.82% 53.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -193.09% -64.33% -91.21% -53.81% -197.4% 79.79% 77.67% 126.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.25 -2.362 -0.8126 -3.82 1.76 4.163 5.756 3.805
Change - -288.88% 65.59% -370.14% 146.07% 136.5% 38.29% -33.9%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 21.12 14.58 15.03 2.904 1.83 1.502 2.281 4.17
Change - -30.96% 3.05% -80.67% -36.98% -17.95% 51.9% 82.79%
EPS 1 -6.72 -8.89 -12.44 -11.03 -6.85 -0.8255 0.2755 1.762
Change - -32.29% -39.93% 11.33% 37.9% 87.95% 133.37% 539.49%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,590,573 1,652,453 2,079,974 2,076,918 2,474,328 2,502,715 2,502,715 2,502,715
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/1/23 3/5/24 3/21/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -26.8x 80.4x
PBR 14.7x 9.7x
EV / Sales 0.3x 0.19x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - NIO Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - NIO Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - NIO Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - NIO Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
22.14CNY
Average target price
40.61CNY
Spread / Average Target
+83.44%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - NIO Inc.