End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
5.870 NZD | +0.17% |
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+0.51% | -0.68% |
12:03am | Shares of Contact, Meridian Fall After Jointly Commissioning Studies to Assess LNG Import Feasibility | MT |
06-23 | NZ Windfarms Shareholders Approve Meridian Energy Takeover Scheme | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Meridian Energy Limited
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 3,405 | 4,296 | 3,703 | 3,222 | 4,856 | 4,757 | 5,150 | 5,003 |
Change | - | 26.17% | -13.8% | -12.99% | 50.71% | -2.04% | 8.26% | -2.85% |
EBITDA 1 | 854 | 729 | 709 | 783 | 905 | 651.5 | 1,096 | 1,159 |
Change | - | -14.64% | -2.74% | 10.44% | 15.58% | -28.02% | 68.17% | 5.8% |
EBIT 1 | 542 | 426 | 416 | 489 | 571 | 234.2 | 663.2 | 712 |
Change | - | -21.4% | -2.35% | 17.55% | 16.77% | -58.98% | 183.17% | 7.35% |
Interest Paid 1 | -85 | -84 | -75 | -55 | -69 | -75 | -79.5 | -93 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 239 | 595 | 625 | 126 | 594 | 114.9 | 584 | 606.2 |
Change | - | 148.95% | 5.04% | -79.84% | 371.43% | -80.65% | 408.07% | 3.8% |
Net income 1 | 176 | 428 | 664 | 95 | 429 | 140.7 | 401.9 | 430.4 |
Change | - | 143.18% | 55.14% | -85.69% | 351.58% | -67.2% | 185.58% | 7.1% |
Announcement Date | 8/25/20 | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Meridian Energy Limited
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 1,513 | 1,625 | 847 | 1,232 | 1,274 | 1,420 | 1,547 | 1,725 |
Change | - | 7.4% | -47.88% | 45.45% | 3.41% | 11.46% | 8.94% | 11.51% |
Announcement Date | 8/25/20 | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Meridian Energy Limited
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 43 | 76 | 141 | 316 | 281 | 264.7 | 335 | 385.9 |
Change | - | 76.74% | 85.53% | 124.11% | -11.08% | -5.79% | 26.54% | 15.2% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 562 | 355 | 289 | 180 | 332 | - | - | - |
Change | - | -36.83% | -18.59% | -37.72% | 84.44% | -100% | - | - |
Announcement Date | 8/25/20 | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Meridian Energy Limited
Fiscal Period: June | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 25.08% | 16.97% | 19.15% | 24.3% | 18.64% | 13.7% | 21.27% | 23.17% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 15.92% | 9.92% | 11.23% | 15.18% | 11.76% | 4.92% | 12.88% | 14.23% |
EBT Margin (%) | 7.02% | 13.85% | 16.88% | 3.91% | 12.23% | 2.42% | 11.34% | 12.12% |
Net margin (%) | 5.17% | 9.96% | 17.93% | 2.95% | 8.83% | 2.96% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
FCF margin (%) | 16.51% | 8.26% | 7.8% | 5.59% | 6.84% | - | - | - |
FCF / Net Income (%) | 319.32% | 82.94% | 43.52% | 189.47% | 77.39% | - | - | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 3.29% | 2.38% | 2.42% | 3.25% | 3.65% | 0.8% | 4.41% | 4.54% |
ROE | 6.02% | 4.5% | 4.34% | 5.47% | 6.03% | 1.21% | 5.44% | 5.54% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.77x | 2.23x | 1.19x | 1.57x | 1.41x | 2.18x | 1.41x | 1.49x |
Debt / Free cash flow | 2.69x | 4.58x | 2.93x | 6.84x | 3.84x | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.26% | 1.77% | 3.81% | 9.81% | 5.79% | 5.57% | 6.51% | 7.71% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 5.04% | 10.43% | 19.89% | 40.36% | 31.05% | 40.64% | 30.58% | 33.3% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | 7.65% | 21.41% | 48.79% | 175.56% | 84.64% | - | - | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | 0.236 | 0.1682 | 0.1793 | 0.1971 | 0.2578 | 0.1635 | 0.3536 | 0.3235 |
Change | - | -28.74% | 6.61% | 9.92% | 30.78% | -36.56% | 116.22% | -8.51% |
Dividend per Share 1 | 0.169 | 0.169 | 0.174 | 0.179 | 0.21 | 0.2056 | 0.2463 | 0.264 |
Change | - | 0% | 2.96% | 2.87% | 17.32% | -2.1% | 19.8% | 7.19% |
Book Value Per Share 1 | 1.984 | 2.039 | 2.143 | 2.318 | 3.186 | 3.059 | 3.061 | 3.048 |
Change | - | 2.78% | 5.07% | 8.17% | 37.44% | -3.98% | 0.08% | -0.44% |
EPS 1 | 0.069 | 0.167 | 0.258 | 0.037 | 0.166 | 0.0535 | 0.1555 | 0.1652 |
Change | - | 142.03% | 54.49% | -85.66% | 348.65% | -67.75% | 190.36% | 6.28% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,562,535 | 2,562,114 | 2,577,566 | 2,583,169 | 2,588,594 | 2,615,473 | 2,615,473 | 2,615,473 |
Announcement Date | 8/25/20 | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | - | - | - |
1NZD
Estimates
2025 * | 2026 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 110x | 37.8x |
PBR | 1.92x | 1.92x |
EV / Sales | 3.53x | 3.28x |
Yield | 3.5% | 4.2% |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
5.870NZD
Average target price
6.326NZD
Spread / Average Target
+7.77%
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- MEL Stock
- Financials Meridian Energy Limited
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