|
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5.760 NZD | -0.52% |
|
+0.88% | +2.86% |
Projected Income Statement: Meridian Energy Limited
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,296 | 3,703 | 3,222 | 4,856 | 4,835 | 4,530 | 4,749 | 4,758 |
| Change | - | -13.8% | -12.99% | 50.71% | -0.43% | -6.3% | 4.82% | 0.19% |
| EBITDA 1 | 729 | 709 | 783 | 905 | 611 | 1,050 | 1,136 | 1,221 |
| Change | - | -2.74% | 10.44% | 15.58% | -32.49% | 71.83% | 8.24% | 7.48% |
| EBIT 1 | 426 | 416 | 489 | 571 | 164 | 576.7 | 654.6 | 728.9 |
| Change | - | -2.35% | 17.55% | 16.77% | -71.28% | 251.65% | 13.5% | 11.35% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -84 | -75 | -55 | -69 | -79 | -97 | -104 | -115.5 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 595 | 625 | 126 | 594 | -619 | 469.4 | 540.4 | 611.8 |
| Change | - | 5.04% | -79.84% | 371.43% | -204.21% | 175.84% | 15.11% | 13.21% |
| Net income 1 | 428 | 664 | 95 | 429 | -452 | 348.2 | 395.4 | 446.7 |
| Change | - | 55.14% | -85.69% | 351.58% | -205.36% | 177.03% | 13.58% | 12.96% |
| Announcement Date | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | 8/26/25 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Meridian Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,625 | 847 | 1,232 | 1,274 | 1,505 | 1,498 | 1,524 | 1,673 |
| Change | - | -47.88% | 45.45% | 3.41% | 18.13% | -0.47% | 1.74% | 9.78% |
| Announcement Date | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | 8/26/25 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Meridian Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 76 | 141 | 316 | 281 | 191 | 341.8 | 413 | 386.3 |
| Change | - | 85.53% | 124.11% | -11.08% | -32.03% | 78.97% | 20.83% | -6.49% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 355 | 289 | 180 | 332 | - | 739 | 776.5 | 872.5 |
| Change | - | -18.59% | -37.72% | 84.44% | - | - | 5.07% | 12.36% |
| Announcement Date | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | 8/26/25 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Meridian Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 16.97% | 19.15% | 24.3% | 18.64% | 12.64% | 23.17% | 23.93% | 25.67% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 9.92% | 11.23% | 15.18% | 11.76% | 3.39% | 12.73% | 13.78% | 15.32% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 13.85% | 16.88% | 3.91% | 12.23% | -12.8% | 10.36% | 11.38% | 12.86% |
| Net margin (%) | 9.96% | 17.93% | 2.95% | 8.83% | -9.35% | 7.69% | 8.33% | 9.39% |
| FCF margin (%) | 8.26% | 7.8% | 5.59% | 6.84% | - | 16.31% | 16.35% | 18.34% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 82.94% | 43.52% | 189.47% | 77.39% | - | 212.26% | 196.37% | 195.33% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 2.38% | 2.42% | 3.25% | 3.65% | 0.39% | 3.28% | 3.66% | 4.08% |
| ROE | 4.5% | 4.34% | 5.47% | 6.03% | 0.65% | 4.34% | 4.81% | 5.5% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.23x | 1.19x | 1.57x | 1.41x | 2.46x | 1.43x | 1.34x | 1.37x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.58x | 2.93x | 6.84x | 3.84x | - | 2.03x | 1.96x | 1.92x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.77% | 3.81% | 9.81% | 5.79% | 3.95% | 7.55% | 8.7% | 8.12% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 10.43% | 19.89% | 40.36% | 31.05% | 31.26% | 32.56% | 36.35% | 31.62% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 21.41% | 48.79% | 175.56% | 84.64% | - | 46.26% | 53.19% | 44.27% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.1682 | 0.1793 | 0.1971 | 0.2578 | 0.1221 | 0.3112 | 0.3243 | 0.3417 |
| Change | - | 6.61% | 9.92% | 30.78% | -52.63% | 154.86% | 4.23% | 5.34% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.169 | 0.174 | 0.179 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.2294 | 0.2434 | 0.2628 |
| Change | - | 2.96% | 2.87% | 17.32% | 0% | 9.24% | 6.1% | 7.97% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.039 | 2.143 | 2.318 | 3.186 | 3.425 | 3.418 | 3.402 | 3.399 |
| Change | - | 5.07% | 8.17% | 37.44% | 7.53% | -0.21% | -0.49% | -0.07% |
| EPS 1 | 0.167 | 0.258 | 0.037 | 0.166 | -0.174 | 0.1329 | 0.1497 | 0.1708 |
| Change | - | 54.49% | -85.66% | 348.65% | -204.82% | 176.37% | 12.67% | 14.09% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,562,114 | 2,577,566 | 2,583,169 | 2,588,594 | 2,615,473 | 2,638,773 | 2,638,773 | 2,638,773 |
| Announcement Date | 8/24/21 | 8/23/22 | 8/28/23 | 8/27/24 | 8/26/25 | - | - | - |
1NZD
Estimates
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 43.3x | 38.5x |
| PBR | 1.69x | 1.69x |
| EV / Sales | 3.69x | 3.52x |
| Yield | 3.98% | 4.23% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
5.760NZD
Average target price
6.336NZD
Spread / Average Target
+10.00%
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- MEL Stock
- Financials Meridian Energy Limited
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