Projected Income Statement: Mattel, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mattel, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Mattel, Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,840 1,564 1,069 946 1,089 1,727 1,773 1,929
Change - -15% -31.65% -11.51% 15.12% 58.63% 2.66% 8.8%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/4/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 151.4 186.5 160.3 202.6 182 227.4 221.8 239
Change - 23.22% -14.05% 26.39% -10.17% 24.97% -2.49% 7.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 334.1 256.3 709.5 597.9 411.3 273.8 457 210
Change - -23.29% 176.82% -15.73% -31.21% -33.42% 66.87% -54.04%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/4/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.45% 17.82% 17.42% 19.66% 17.34% 15.07% 15.49% 15.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.99% 12.67% 11.78% 13.72% 11.59% 10.25% 11.07% 11.33%
EBT Margin (%) 8.63% 9.28% 8.55% 11.57% 8.59% 9.64% 8.84% 8.36%
Net margin (%) 16.55% 7.25% 3.94% 10.07% 7.44% 8.15% 6.77% 6.07%
FCF margin (%) 6.12% 4.72% 13.04% 11.11% 7.69% 4.83% 7.65% 3.41%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37% 65.07% 330.92% 110.35% 103.45% 59.29% 113.09% 56.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.79% 7.15% 6.93% 8.57% 6.03% 5.67% 6.07% 7.3%
ROE 42.63% 24.8% 20.89% 25.2% 17.68% 17.31% 19.89% 24.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.83x 1.62x 1.13x 0.89x 1.17x 2.02x 1.92x 2.05x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.51x 6.1x 1.51x 1.58x 2.65x 6.31x 3.88x 9.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.77% 3.43% 2.95% 3.77% 3.4% 4.01% 3.71% 3.88%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.03% 19.26% 16.91% 19.16% 19.63% 26.63% 23.98% 25.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 45.3% 72.77% 22.59% 33.89% 44.25% 83.06% 48.53% 113.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.359 1.231 2.436 2.332 1.844 1.733 2.33 2.77
Change - -9.38% 97.8% -4.25% -20.94% -5.99% 34.45% 18.87%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 4.473 5.802 6.167 6.595 7.018 7.387 8.289 9.868
Change - 29.71% 6.29% 6.94% 6.41% 5.27% 12.2% 19.06%
EPS 1 2.53 1.1 0.6 1.58 1.24 1.598 1.432 1.425
Change - -56.52% -45.45% 163.33% -21.52% 28.83% -10.33% -0.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 350,341 354,402 353,233 336,900 310,824 285,700 285,700 285,700
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/4/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.3x 11.5x
PBR 2.22x 1.98x
EV / Sales 1.13x 1.08x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Mattel, Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Mattel, Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Mattel, Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Mattel, Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
16.41USD
Average target price
18.46USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Mattel, Inc.
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