Projected Income Statement: Lufthansa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 9,922 9,023 6,871 5,682 5,744 5,714 5,114 4,592
Change - -9.06% -23.85% -17.3% 1.09% -0.52% -10.5% -10.21%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,273 1,329 2,286 4,115 3,743 3,170 3,200 3,302
Change - 4.4% 72.01% 80.01% -9.04% -15.32% 0.97% 3.18%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,669 -855 2,882 2,134 840 1,282 1,294 1,500
Change - 76.7% 437.08% -25.95% -60.64% 52.56% 0.94% 15.98%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -18.67% 0.2% 11.55% 13.85% 10.6% 10.99% 11.86% 12.24%
EBIT Margin (%) -40.11% -13.97% 4.6% 7.57% 4.38% 4.8% 5.65% 6.07%
EBT Margin (%) -63.51% -15.5% 3.2% 6.54% 4.19% 3.98% 4.92% 5.45%
Net margin (%) -49.49% -13.03% 2.41% 4.72% 3.67% 3% 3.87% 4.29%
FCF margin (%) -27% -5.09% 8.79% 6.02% 2.24% 3.22% 3.12% 3.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.56% 39.02% 364.35% 127.56% 60.87% 107.22% 80.61% 80.61%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.37% -5.34% 1.84% 3.77% 2.99% 2.43% 2.69% 3.06%
ROE -487.8% -75.59% 12.31% 18.62% 13.02% 9.94% 12.11% 12.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -3.91x 273.42x 1.81x 1.16x 1.44x 1.31x 1.04x 0.87x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.7x -10.55x 2.38x 2.66x 6.84x 4.46x 3.95x 3.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.37% 7.91% 6.98% 11.61% 9.96% 7.96% 7.72% 7.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -50.18% 4,027.27% 60.38% 83.81% 94% 72.43% 65.12% 62.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -34.7% -155.44% 79.32% 192.83% 445.6% 247.33% 247.39% 220.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -4.33 0.8367 4.325 4.138 3.228 3.655 3.572 3.931
Change - 119.32% 416.88% -4.32% -21.99% 13.24% -2.27% 10.03%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.3 0.3 0.2785 0.3308 0.3873
Change - - - - 0% -7.18% 18.8% 17.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.253 3.722 7.031 8.083 9.645 10.45 11.46 12.63
Change - 65.18% 88.88% 14.97% 19.33% 8.36% 9.67% 10.18%
EPS 1 -12.51 -2.99 0.66 1.4 1.15 0.9995 1.285 1.505
Change - 76.1% 122.07% 112.12% -17.86% -13.09% 28.54% 17.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 597,743 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,198,299 1,198,293 1,198,293 1,198,293
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 6.89x 5.36x
PBR 0.66x 0.6x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.32x
Yield 4.05% 4.81%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
6.882EUR
Average target price
6.933EUR
Spread / Average Target
+0.75%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise