Projected Income Statement: Lufthansa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,023 6,871 5,682 5,744 6,406 6,571 6,368 6,425
Change - -23.85% -17.3% 1.09% 11.53% 2.58% -3.09% 0.9%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/6/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,329 2,286 4,115 3,743 2,781 3,405 3,619 3,636
Change - 72.01% 80.01% -9.04% -25.7% 22.43% 6.3% 0.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -855 2,882 2,134 840 1,256 1,639 1,640 2,023
Change - 437.08% -25.95% -60.64% 49.52% 30.49% 0.09% 23.32%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/6/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 0.2% 11.55% 13.85% 10.6% 10.93% 9.95% 11.1% 11.81%
EBIT Margin (%) -13.97% 4.6% 7.57% 4.38% 4.95% 4.31% 5.39% 6.05%
EBT Margin (%) -15.5% 3.2% 6.54% 4.19% 4.85% 3.59% 4.86% 5.6%
Net margin (%) -13.03% 2.41% 4.72% 3.67% 3.38% 2.82% 3.55% 4.06%
FCF margin (%) -5.09% 8.79% 6.02% 2.24% 3.17% 3.79% 3.69% 4.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 39.02% 364.35% 127.56% 60.87% 93.8% 134.59% 104.08% 108.04%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.34% 1.84% 3.77% 2.99% 2.81% 2.56% 3.23% 3.51%
ROE -75.59% 12.31% 18.62% 13.02% 11.55% 10.01% 12.42% 13.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 273.42x 1.81x 1.16x 1.44x 1.48x 1.53x 1.29x 1.18x
Debt / Free cash flow -10.55x 2.38x 2.66x 6.84x 5.1x 4.01x 3.88x 3.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.91% 6.98% 11.61% 9.96% 7.02% 7.88% 8.15% 7.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4,027.27% 60.38% 83.81% 94% 64.24% 79.26% 73.42% 66.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -155.44% 79.32% 192.83% 445.6% 221.42% 207.74% 220.62% 179.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8367 4.325 4.138 3.228 3.374 3.074 3.35 3.19
Change - 416.88% -4.32% -21.99% 4.5% -8.89% 8.98% -4.77%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.3 0.3 0.33 0.2921 0.3721 0.4737
Change - - - 0% 10% -11.48% 27.39% 27.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.722 7.031 8.083 9.645 9.721 10.5 11.57 12.81
Change - 88.88% 14.97% 19.33% 0.79% 7.98% 10.21% 10.73%
EPS 1 -2.99 0.66 1.4 1.15 1.12 1.044 1.354 1.569
Change - 122.07% 112.12% -17.86% -2.61% -6.77% 29.66% 15.89%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,198,299 1,198,293 1,199,265 1,199,265 1,199,265
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/6/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 7.58x 5.84x
PBR 0.75x 0.68x
EV / Sales 0.37x 0.36x
Yield 3.69% 4.7%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
7.912EUR
Average target price
8.544EUR
Spread / Average Target
+7.99%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise