Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 33,333 29,799 27,250
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -15.41% -10.6% -8.55%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,322 6,417 6,435
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 6.58% 1.5% 0.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 5,745 5,800 6,307
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,081.12% 0.95% 8.75%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7.19% 7.5% 7.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.76% 4.84% 4.81%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.69% 3.94% 3.78%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.34% 2.49% 2.49%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.02% 2.1% 2.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 86.26% 84.58% 92.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 6.1% 6.11% 6.26%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 18.24% 17.05% 15.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.63x 1.44x 1.32x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.8x 5.14x 4.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.22% 2.33% 2.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 30.87% 31.01% 31.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 110.04% 110.64% 102.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 0.9427 1.244 1.053
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 101.53% 31.91% -15.34%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2144 0.2333 0.2668
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 114.37% 8.85% 14.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.566 3.873 4.111
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 9.48% 8.61% 6.15%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.5766 0.5973 0.5972
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,822.13% 3.58% -0.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,715,401 11,715,401 11,715,401
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.9x 11.5x
PBR 1.92x 1.77x
EV / Sales 0.4x 0.4x
Yield 3.13% 3.4%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.859USD
Average target price
8.397USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.43%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc