Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 34,144 30,452 27,588
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -13.35% -10.81% -9.4%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,322 6,417 6,435
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 6.58% 1.5% 0.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,052 5,692 5,902
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,187.01% -5.96% 3.7%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7.15% 7.5% 7.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.73% 4.85% 4.81%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.64% 3.94% 3.76%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.32% 2.49% 2.48%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.14% 2.07% 2.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 92.33% 83.11% 86.11%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 6.1% 6.11% 6.26%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 17.84% 17.13% 15.72%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.69x 1.47x 1.34x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.64x 5.35x 4.67x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.23% 2.33% 2.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 31.24% 31.07% 31.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 104.46% 112.74% 109.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 0.9736 1.234 1.053
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 108.12% 26.8% -14.72%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2006 0.2306 0.2553
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 100.57% 14.99% 10.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.573 3.886 4.129
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 9.68% 8.79% 6.23%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.5629 0.5936 0.5958
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,776.43% 5.44% 0.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,715,401 11,715,401 11,715,401
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.1x 11.5x
PBR 1.9x 1.75x
EV / Sales 0.4x 0.4x
Yield 2.95% 3.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.802USD
Average target price
8.383USD
Spread / Average Target
+23.24%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc