Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - Glencore plc
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 39,174 34,586 30,618
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -0.59% -11.71% -11.47%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 7,107 6,936 7,016
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 19.8% -2.4% 1.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 4,906 7,666 7,472
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 1,791.9% 56.24% -2.53%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 6.21% 7.25% 7.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.13% 4.8% 4.61%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 2.98% 3.71% 3.75%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.29% 2.72% 2.69%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 1.47% 2.58% 2.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 64.24% 94.66% 95.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 6.13% 6.49% 6.43%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 18.72% 18.15% 16.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.89x 1.6x 1.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 7.98x 4.51x 4.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.13% 2.33% 2.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 34.3% 32.15% 32.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 144.84% 90.48% 93.89%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 0.8744 1.24 1.074
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 86.91% 41.82% -13.42%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2341 0.2398 0.2882
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 134.1% 2.42% 20.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.516 3.777 4.131
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 7.94% 7.41% 9.38%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.6404 0.6708 0.6629
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 2,034.57% 4.75% -1.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,736,770 11,736,770 11,736,770
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.3x 9.87x
PBR 1.88x 1.75x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.38x
Yield 3.54% 3.62%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Glencore plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Glencore plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Glencore plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Glencore plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
6.617USD
Average target price
9.009USD
Spread / Average Target
+36.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Glencore plc
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