Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 35,428 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 33,962 32,061 30,033
Change - -11.37% -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% -6.71% -5.6% -6.33%
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,921 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,968 6,047 5,956
Change - -7.73% 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 6.36% 1.33% -1.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,257 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 3,520 4,530 5,299
Change - 517.02% 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -20.79% 28.68% 16.98%
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.12% 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.96% 7.05% 7.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.1% 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.5% 3.55% 4%
EBT Margin (%) -3.59% 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 1.24% 2.37% 3.2%
Net margin (%) -1.34% 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.94% 1.66% 2.1%
FCF margin (%) -0.88% 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% 1.59% 2% 2.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.05% 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% 169.14% 120.82% 107.8%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.57% 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 2.22% 3.82% 4.22%
ROE -4.89% 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 4.45% 10.05% 12.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.06x 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.57x 2.01x 1.75x
Debt / Free cash flow -28.18x 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x 9.65x 7.08x 5.67x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.75% 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.7% 2.68% 2.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.92% 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 45.24% 37.95% 34.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -311.93% 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% 169.54% 133.5% 112.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2016 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.7376 0.7982 0.9048
Change - 229.53% 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -9.98% 8.22% 13.36%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1039 0.1577 0.2538
Change - - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 3.92% 51.71% 61%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.848 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.221 3.399 3.559
Change - -1.82% 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -12.85% 5.52% 4.71%
EPS 1 -0.14 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.1777 0.3155 0.4178
Change - 371.43% 250% -74.44% -138.24% 236.71% 77.52% 32.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,221,312 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,902,642 11,902,642 11,902,642
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 23.5x 13.2x
PBR 1.3x 1.23x
EV / Sales 0.38x 0.36x
Yield 2.49% 3.78%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
4.172USD
Average target price
5.119USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.71%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc