Projected Income Statement: First Quantum Minerals Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: First Quantum Minerals Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 7,409 6,053 5,692 6,420 5,530 5,838 5,807 4,808
Change - -18.3% -5.96% 12.79% -13.86% 5.57% -0.53% -17.2%
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: First Quantum Minerals Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 610 999 1,167 1,300 1,286 1,310 1,144 981.6
Change - 63.77% 16.82% 11.4% -1.08% 1.86% -12.67% -14.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,003 1,886 1,165 127 365 93.9 183 1,336
Change - 88.04% -38.23% -89.1% 187.4% -74.27% 94.89% 630.27%
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: First Quantum Minerals Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 41.39% 51.08% 43.48% 36.06% 31.05% 34.17% 39.04% 49.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.98% 34.8% 27.35% 18.7% 17.87% 20.99% 29.34% 36.01%
EBT Margin (%) 0.62% 26.36% 19.26% -7.53% 5.83% 7.57% 20.76% 32.78%
Net margin (%) -3.46% 11.54% 13.56% -14.78% 0.04% 0.09% 11.23% 19.08%
FCF margin (%) 19.29% 26.15% 15.28% 1.97% 7.6% 1.98% 2.89% 14.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) -557.22% 226.68% 112.67% -13.31% 18,250% 2,104.74% 25.71% 76.9%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.19% 3.36% 4.11% 1.07% -0.07% -0.26% 1.37% 6.3%
ROE -0.5% 8.81% 9.89% 2.47% -0.16% -0.08% 4.87% 10.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.44x 1.64x 1.72x 2.76x 3.71x 3.59x 2.35x 1.07x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.39x 3.21x 4.89x 50.55x 15.15x 62.17x 31.73x 3.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.73% 13.85% 15.3% 20.14% 26.78% 27.56% 18.05% 10.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.35% 27.12% 35.19% 55.84% 86.25% 80.64% 46.23% 21.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 60.82% 52.97% 100.17% 1,023.62% 352.33% 1,395.07% 625.16% 73.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.34 4.171 3.365 2.066 2.033 1.442 1.585 3.736
Change - 78.24% -19.32% -38.62% -1.59% -29.07% 9.9% 135.78%
Dividend per Share 1 0.00793 0.00788 0.2129 0.0592 - 0.00778 0.014 0.2197
Change - -0.63% 2,601.9% -72.18% - - 79.95% 1,469.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.88 14.48 15.74 14.83 14.12 13.6 14.18 15.72
Change - 12.43% 8.69% -5.78% -4.8% -3.66% 4.22% 10.85%
EPS 1 -0.26 1.2 1.5 -1.38 - 0.0534 0.8066 1.904
Change - 561.54% 25% -192% - - 1,411.68% 136.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 687,049 688,851 687,504 687,342 827,393 828,045 828,045 828,045
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/11/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 319x 21.1x
PBR 1.25x 1.2x
EV / Sales 4.2x 3.14x
Yield 0.05% 0.08%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
17.04USD
Average target price
16.89USD
Spread / Average Target
-0.86%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. FM Stock
  4. Financials First Quantum Minerals Ltd.