Projected Income Statement: Diageo plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,871 16,657 19,195 20,371 21,548 20,040 17,445 15,608
Change - -1.27% 15.24% 6.13% 5.78% -7% -12.95% -10.53%
Announcement Date 7/29/21 7/28/22 8/1/23 7/30/24 8/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 874.5 1,330 1,504 1,510 1,549 1,225 1,199 1,154
Change - 52.14% 13.02% 0.42% 2.58% -20.95% -2.1% -3.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,230 3,442 3,511 2,595 2,748 3,058 3,453 3,593
Change - -18.63% 2% -26.08% 5.9% 11.28% 12.92% 4.05%
Announcement Date 7/29/21 7/28/22 8/1/23 7/30/24 8/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.93% 36.4% 35.76% 34.72% 32.82% 32.54% 32.26% 32.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.42% 31.04% 30.7% 29.33% 28.17% 28.53% 28.17% 28.58%
EBT Margin (%) 29.11% 28.39% 27.67% 26.94% 17.47% 24.45% 25.16% 26.72%
Net margin (%) 20.89% 21.03% 21.82% 19.09% 11.63% 17.47% 17.82% 18.92%
FCF margin (%) 23.78% 18.37% 16.1% 12.8% 13.57% 15.59% 17.75% 18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.83% 87.35% 73.78% 67.05% 116.74% 89.26% 99.62% 95.13%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.41% 10.28% 10.26% 8.88% 7.7% 6.87% 6.9% 7.07%
ROE 40.18% 47.91% 47.39% 40.35% 34.54% 28.88% 24.82% 22.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.88x 2.44x 2.46x 2.89x 3.24x 3.14x 2.78x 2.39x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.99x 4.84x 5.47x 7.85x 7.84x 6.55x 5.05x 4.34x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.92% 7.1% 6.9% 7.45% 7.65% 6.24% 6.16% 5.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.93% 19.5% 19.28% 21.46% 23.31% 19.19% 19.11% 17.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.67% 38.65% 42.83% 58.19% 56.37% 40.04% 34.72% 32.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.171 2.053 1.697 1.833 1.929 1.898 2.047 2.204
Change - -5.45% -17.33% 8.05% 5.19% -1.59% 7.84% 7.7%
Dividend per Share 1 1.013 0.9239 1.019 1.035 1.035 0.5385 0.5631 0.6043
Change - -8.84% 10.34% 1.51% 0% -47.96% 4.56% 7.31%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.11 4.151 4.394 4.491 4.991 5.84 6.872 7.984
Change - 1% 5.84% 2.21% 11.14% 17.01% 17.67% 16.17%
EPS 1 1.584 1.694 2.095 1.728 1.057 1.547 1.573 1.718
Change - 6.95% 23.65% -17.52% -38.83% 46.33% 1.7% 9.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,334,775 2,278,906 2,245,879 2,219,979 2,222,295 2,223,602 2,223,602 2,223,602
Announcement Date 7/29/21 7/28/22 8/1/23 7/30/24 8/5/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.1x 12.9x
PBR 3.48x 2.96x
EV / Sales 3.33x 3.22x
Yield 2.65% 2.77%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
20.32USD
Average target price
26.23USD
Spread / Average Target
+29.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DGE Stock
  4. Financials Diageo plc