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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 49.18 EUR | +0.82% |
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-1.05% | +5.24% |
| 02-10 | DHL Group Expands Delivery Partnership with Westwing | MT |
| 02-05 | Consumer Advocates Lose Lawsuit Against DHL | DP |
Projected Income Statement: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 66,806 | 81,747 | 94,436 | 81,758 | 84,186 | 83,498 | 85,284 | 88,680 |
| Change | - | 22.36% | 15.52% | -13.42% | 2.97% | -0.82% | 2.14% | 3.98% |
| EBITDA 1 | 8,677 | 11,746 | 12,613 | 10,822 | 10,606 | 10,954 | 11,322 | 11,982 |
| Change | - | 35.37% | 7.38% | -14.2% | -2% | 3.28% | 3.36% | 5.83% |
| EBIT 1 | 4,847 | 7,978 | 8,436 | 6,345 | 5,886 | 6,083 | 6,373 | 6,886 |
| Change | - | 64.6% | 5.74% | -24.79% | -7.23% | 3.35% | 4.76% | 8.06% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -618 | -619 | -525 | -829 | -823 | -799 | -877 | -834.8 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,171 | 7,359 | 7,911 | 5,516 | 5,063 | 5,252 | 5,391 | 5,894 |
| Change | - | 76.43% | 7.5% | -30.27% | -8.21% | 3.74% | 2.63% | 9.34% |
| Net income 1 | 2,979 | 5,053 | 5,359 | 3,677 | 3,332 | 3,514 | 3,671 | 3,985 |
| Change | - | 69.62% | 6.06% | -31.39% | -9.38% | 5.47% | 4.46% | 8.55% |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 12,928 | 16,366 | 15,856 | 17,739 | 18,998 | 21,847 | 22,646 | 22,253 |
| Change | - | 26.59% | -3.12% | 11.88% | 7.1% | 15% | 3.66% | -1.74% |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,999 | 3,546 | 4,123 | 3,370 | 3,066 | 3,173 | 3,276 | 3,369 |
| Change | - | 18.24% | 16.27% | -18.26% | -9.02% | 3.5% | 3.24% | 2.83% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,535 | 4,092 | 3,067 | 2,942 | 5,656 | 2,972 | 2,982 | 3,364 |
| Change | - | 61.42% | -25.05% | -4.08% | 92.25% | -47.46% | 0.36% | 12.82% |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 12.99% | 14.37% | 13.36% | 13.24% | 12.6% | 13.12% | 13.28% | 13.51% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 7.26% | 9.76% | 8.93% | 7.76% | 6.99% | 7.29% | 7.47% | 7.77% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 6.24% | 9% | 8.38% | 6.75% | 6.01% | 6.29% | 6.32% | 6.65% |
| Net margin (%) | 4.46% | 6.18% | 5.67% | 4.5% | 3.96% | 4.21% | 4.3% | 4.49% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.79% | 5.01% | 3.25% | 3.6% | 6.72% | 3.56% | 3.5% | 3.79% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 85.1% | 80.98% | 57.23% | 80.01% | 169.75% | 84.56% | 81.24% | 84.43% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.54% | 8.5% | 8.13% | 7.98% | 7.41% | 4.95% | 5% | 5.49% |
| ROE | 21.36% | 30.8% | 25.35% | 19.22% | 17.71% | 14.99% | 15.66% | 16.57% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.49x | 1.39x | 1.26x | 1.64x | 1.79x | 1.99x | 2x | 1.86x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.1x | 4x | 5.17x | 6.03x | 3.36x | 7.35x | 7.59x | 6.61x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.49% | 4.34% | 4.37% | 4.12% | 3.64% | 3.8% | 3.84% | 3.8% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.56% | 30.19% | 32.69% | 31.14% | 28.91% | 28.97% | 28.94% | 28.12% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 118.3% | 86.66% | 134.43% | 114.55% | 54.21% | 106.79% | 109.86% | 100.14% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.22 | 8.11 | 9.03 | 7.79 | 7.343 | 5.409 | 5.707 | 6.149 |
| Change | - | 30.39% | 11.34% | -13.73% | -5.74% | -26.33% | 5.51% | 7.74% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.35 | 1.8 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.862 | 1.922 | 1.994 |
| Change | - | 33.33% | 2.78% | 0% | 0% | 0.67% | 3.19% | 3.74% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.14 | 15.45 | 19.14 | 16.01 | 15.95 | 20.62 | 21.36 | 22.84 |
| Change | - | 38.66% | 23.91% | -16.36% | -0.4% | 29.34% | 3.57% | 6.91% |
| EPS 1 | 2.36 | 4.01 | 4.33 | 3.04 | 2.81 | 3.074 | 3.317 | 3.672 |
| Change | - | 69.92% | 7.98% | -29.79% | -7.57% | 9.4% | 7.89% | 10.72% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,239,059 | 1,224,639 | 1,205,059 | 1,182,263 | 1,153,116 | 1,069,118 | 1,069,118 | 1,069,118 |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/6/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 16x | 14.8x |
| PBR | 2.38x | 2.3x |
| EV / Sales | 0.89x | 0.88x |
| Yield | 3.79% | 3.91% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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