Projected Income Statement: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet - DHL Group
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,366 15,856 17,739 18,998 21,516 22,917 23,128 23,006
Change - -3.12% 11.88% 7.1% 13.25% 6.51% 0.92% -0.53%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,546 4,123 3,370 3,066 2,950 3,003 3,212 3,317
Change - 16.27% -18.26% -9.02% -3.78% 1.78% 6.98% 3.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,092 3,067 2,942 5,656 2,295 3,649 3,812 4,051
Change - -25.05% -4.08% 92.25% -59.42% 59% 4.47% 6.26%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.37% 13.36% 13.24% 12.6% 13.24% 13.51% 13.74% 13.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.76% 8.93% 7.76% 6.99% 7.37% 7.92% 8.09% 8.2%
EBT Margin (%) 9% 8.38% 6.75% 6.01% 6.33% 6.78% 7.01% 7.17%
Net margin (%) 6.18% 5.67% 4.5% 3.96% 4.23% 4.49% 4.67% 4.78%
FCF margin (%) 5.01% 3.25% 3.6% 6.72% 2.77% 4.08% 4.17% 4.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.98% 57.23% 80.01% 169.75% 65.55% 90.91% 89.33% 89.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.5% 8.13% 7.98% 7.41% 4.97% 5.49% 5.86% 6.04%
ROE 30.8% 25.35% 19.22% 17.71% 16% 17.34% 17.76% 18.02%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.26x 1.64x 1.79x 1.96x 1.9x 1.84x 1.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 4x 5.17x 6.03x 3.36x 9.38x 6.28x 6.07x 5.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.34% 4.37% 4.12% 3.64% 3.56% 3.36% 3.51% 3.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.19% 32.69% 31.14% 28.91% 26.89% 24.88% 25.57% 25.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.66% 134.43% 114.55% 54.21% 128.54% 82.28% 84.25% 81.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.11 9.03 7.79 7.343 7.928 6.779 7.293 7.284
Change - 11.34% -13.73% -5.74% 7.97% -14.49% 7.57% -0.12%
Dividend per Share 1 1.8 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.9 2.007 2.128 2.241
Change - 2.78% 0% 0% 2.7% 5.65% 6.03% 5.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.45 19.14 16.01 15.95 19.6 21.38 22.68 24.44
Change - 23.91% -16.36% -0.4% 22.93% 9.07% 6.06% 7.8%
EPS 1 4.01 4.33 3.04 2.81 3.04 3.565 3.857 4.134
Change - 7.98% -29.79% -7.57% 8.19% 17.27% 8.19% 7.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,224,639 1,205,059 1,182,263 1,153,116 1,121,383 1,107,603 1,107,603 1,107,603
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.4x 15.2x
PBR 2.74x 2.58x
EV / Sales 0.98x 0.96x
Yield 3.43% 3.64%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - DHL Group


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - DHL Group
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - DHL Group
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - DHL Group
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
58.54EUR
Average target price
58.01EUR
Spread / Average Target
-0.91%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - DHL Group
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  4. Financials DHL Group