Projected Income Statement: CMOC Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 27,838 22,309 15,490 18,776 -922 5,498 -2,913 -16,454
Change - -19.86% -30.57% 21.21% -104.91% 696.17% -152.98% -464.85%
Announcement Date 3/22/21 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,508 4,260 10,470 12,527 4,714 10,710 10,653 9,009
Change - -43.25% 145.75% 19.65% -62.37% 127.19% -0.54% -15.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 984.8 1,930 4,984 3,015 27,673 10,998 17,333 21,722
Change - 96.01% 158.21% -39.5% 817.79% -60.26% 57.6% 25.32%
Announcement Date 3/22/21 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.27% 7.37% 8.25% 10.25% 14.68% 16.92% 17.05% 18.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.61% 5.05% 5.72% 7.13% 11.86% 13.47% 13.92% 15.32%
EBT Margin (%) 2.55% 5.04% 5.67% 7.09% 11.79% 13.43% 13.67% 15.01%
Net margin (%) 2.06% 2.94% 3.51% 4.43% 6.35% 7.05% 7.45% 8.16%
FCF margin (%) 0.87% 1.11% 2.88% 1.62% 12.99% 5.24% 7.98% 9.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 42.29% 37.8% 82.15% 36.55% 204.5% 74.29% 107.24% 115.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.95% 3.16% 4.01% 4.88% 7.64% 8.85% 8.84% 10.47%
ROE 5.83% 10.42% 13.41% 15% 20.96% 19.06% 18.35% 18.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.93x 1.74x 1.09x 0.98x - 0.15x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 28.27x 11.56x 3.11x 6.23x - 0.5x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.65% 2.45% 6.05% 6.73% 2.21% 5.1% 4.91% 3.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 105.93% 33.24% 73.36% 65.62% 15.08% 30.16% 28.78% 21.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 762.38% 220.72% 210.07% 415.47% 17.04% 97.38% 61.46% 41.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3933 0.291 - 0.7159 - 1.259 1.177 1.122
Change - -26.01% - - - - -6.56% -4.66%
Dividend per Share 1 0.033 0.0712 - 0.1542 - 0.2768 0.2981 0.3891
Change - 115.91% - - - - 7.69% 30.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.801 1.85 - 2.783 - 3.68 4.094 4.498
Change - 2.7% - - - - 11.25% 9.86%
EPS 1 0.11 0.24 0.28 0.38 0.63 0.6763 0.7426 0.8593
Change - 118.18% 16.67% 35.71% 65.79% 7.34% 9.81% 15.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,550,727 21,450,727 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310
Announcement Date 3/22/21 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 9.74x 8.87x
PBR 1.79x 1.61x
EV / Sales 0.81x 0.74x
Yield 4.2% 4.53%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
6.586CNY
Average target price
7.742CNY
Spread / Average Target
+17.54%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 3993 Stock
  4. Financials CMOC Group Limited