Projected Income Statement: CMOC Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 27,838 22,309 15,490 18,776 -922 -6,570 -26,206 -42,820
Change - -19.86% -30.57% 21.21% -104.91% -612.41% -298.87% -63.4%
Announcement Date 3/22/21 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,508 4,260 10,470 12,527 4,714 10,256 10,579 9,266
Change - -43.25% 145.75% 19.65% -62.37% 117.56% 3.15% -12.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 984.8 1,930 4,984 3,015 27,673 26,300 24,928 27,724
Change - 96.01% 158.21% -39.5% 817.79% -4.96% -5.22% 11.22%
Announcement Date 3/22/21 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.27% 7.37% 8.25% 10.25% 14.68% 19.48% 21.84% 23.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.61% 5.05% 5.72% 7.13% 11.86% 16.62% 18.35% 19.4%
EBT Margin (%) 2.55% 5.04% 5.67% 7.09% 11.79% 15.81% 17.85% 19.08%
Net margin (%) 2.06% 2.94% 3.51% 4.43% 6.35% 9.44% 10.37% 10.88%
FCF margin (%) 0.87% 1.11% 2.88% 1.62% 12.99% 12.27% 11% 11.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 42.29% 37.8% 82.15% 36.55% 204.5% 129.93% 106.07% 107.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.95% 3.16% 4.01% 4.88% 7.64% 11.86% 12.02% 12.68%
ROE 5.83% 10.42% 13.41% 15% 20.96% 25.13% 24.58% 23.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.93x 1.74x 1.09x 0.98x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 28.27x 11.56x 3.11x 6.23x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.65% 2.45% 6.05% 6.73% 2.21% 4.78% 4.67% 3.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 105.93% 33.24% 73.36% 65.62% 15.08% 24.57% 21.36% 16.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 762.38% 220.72% 210.07% 415.47% 17.04% 39% 42.44% 33.42%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3932 0.291 0.7155 0.7196 1.499 1.429 1.515 1.665
Change - -25.99% 145.88% 0.57% 108.37% -4.7% 6.02% 9.93%
Dividend per Share 1 0.033 0.0712 0.0851 0.1542 0.255 0.3479 0.4201 0.4899
Change - 115.91% 19.41% 81.3% 65.32% 36.42% 20.77% 16.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.801 2.27 2.347 2.71 3.242 3.916 4.603 5.446
Change - 26.07% 3.4% 15.47% 19.61% 20.81% 17.54% 18.3%
EPS 1 0.11 0.24 0.28 0.38 0.63 0.9271 1.104 1.22
Change - 118.18% 16.67% 35.71% 65.79% 47.16% 19.12% 10.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,550,727 21,450,727 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310
Announcement Date 3/22/21 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 26.2x 22x
PBR 6.19x 5.27x
EV / Sales 2.31x 2.1x
Yield 1.43% 1.73%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
24.25CNY
Average target price
22.49CNY
Spread / Average Target
-7.25%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise